Days above 35 °C in Bahrain

Days above 35 °C in Bahrain: 9.9 days in 1950 and 37.2 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 37.2 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +27.3 days
Projected, 2100: 117.5 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 117.5 days in 2100, between 93.4 days and 140.2 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 38.2 days in 2013, the lowest 4.4 days in 1965.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Bahrain
2014	37.2
2013	38.2
2012	34.6
2011	35.8
2010	30.1
2009	33.7
2008	32.7
2007	27.7
2006	29.3
2005	29.8
2004	28.6
2003	33.4
2002	24.7
2001	28.2
2000	26
1999	22.7
1998	24.2
1997	20
1996	19.3
1995	19.6
1994	12.9
1993	11.4
1992	12.7
1991	15.8
1990	19.7
1989	16
1988	13.5
1987	10.4
1986	14.3
1985	8.6
1984	12
1983	6.8
1982	11.1
1981	16.2
1980	12
1979	12.6
1978	8.1
1977	10.7
1976	7.3
1975	7.8
1974	9
1973	9
1972	7.2
1971	11.5
1970	7.4
1969	8.4
1968	9.1
1967	7.6
1966	7.6
1965	4.4
1964	7.2
1963	9.3
1962	7.8
1961	8.8
1960	10.9
1959	9
1958	12.9
1957	8.5
1956	10.4
1955	11.8
1954	12
1953	13.6
1952	8.4
1951	9.3
1950	9.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Bahrain
2015	50.324.2–76.4
2016	4417.9–62.7
2017	49.828–62
2018	50.922.3–63.5
2019	47.616.6–66.2
2020	51.738.1–68.2
2021	57.920.9–79.9
2022	4834.9–72.8
2023	58.538.6–82.8
2024	58.439.3–80.3
2025	54.133.7–80
2026	59.441.5–84
2027	66.741.8–83.6
2028	63.435.4–78.4
2029	62.844.4–84.5
2030	65.740.9–91
2031	66.349.3–88.8
2032	70.351.3–94.1
2033	68.542.5–88.5
2034	77.146.5–95
2035	70.956.5–92.8
2036	71.352–89.3
2037	77.455.5–94.2
2038	78.448.4–97.3
2039	77.655.2–97.5
2040	75.257.3–90.4
2041	73.851.8–97.5
2042	84.651.3–103.6
2043	78.751.5–104.2
2044	80.557.6–103.3
2045	85.958.8–103.8
2046	83.862.9–109.5
2047	86.661.1–111.3
2048	91.567.4–108.2
2049	8362.5–110
2050	92.661.8–112.3
2051	94.672.7–112.1
2052	97.967.5–112.6
2053	86.767.3–108.2
2054	90.559–119.3
2055	97.368.9–120
2056	96.669.5–119.9
2057	95.865.1–121.7
2058	96.465.4–113.8
2059	10061.4–116.7
2060	101.473.2–119.9
2061	105.373.6–117.3
2062	93.167–117.3
2063	100.470.9–123.7
2064	101.280.2–120.6
2065	101.272.6–121.8
2066	100.875.1–131.1
2067	104.270–126.2
2068	105.583.5–121
2069	105.987.6–125.6
2070	10374.1–122.6
2071	109.678.7–127.2
2072	111.285.2–128
2073	112.470.8–127.5
2074	104.779.1–128.9
2075	107.288.7–128.2
2076	109.577.2–129.4
2077	116.173.5–130.4
2078	110.482.3–129.4
2079	111.777–134.5
2080	112.873.5–131.1
2081	112.480.5–133.8
2082	115.193.4–129
2083	113.876.8–139.6
2084	115.894.3–135.3
2085	113.784.8–138.5
2086	112.585.8–135.6
2087	118.586.4–139.3
2088	116.383.1–138.2
2089	11489.3–135.3
2090	118.283.4–131.1
2091	116.783.6–139.3
2092	117.987.7–143
2093	12189.6–139.5
2094	123.893.3–139.8
2095	120.589.6–136.9
2096	121.187.9–135.1
2097	124.489.3–136.6
2098	119.299.5–135.2
2099	114.782.5–137.8
2100	117.593.4–140.2

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Bahrain

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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