Bahrain

Tropical nights in Bahrain

Tropical nights in Bahrain: 254.4 nights in 1950 and 267.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
267.9 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+13.5 nights
Projected, 2100
310.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in BahrainTropical nights in Bahrain: 254.4 nights in 1950 and 267.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 310.3 nights in 2100, between 286.4 nights and 327.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 310.3 nights in 2100, between 286.4 nights and 327.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 274.5 nights in 2012, the lowest 250.7 nights in 1971.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearBahrain
2014267.9
2013270.8
2012274.5
2011268
2010267.9
2009262.4
2008267.9
2007264.8
2006266.3
2005263.8
2004262.5
2003261.4
2002267.8
2001273
2000259.7
1999267.1
1998262.7
1997260.5
1996259.7
1995260.9
1994260.4
1993253.7
1992254.8
1991258.7
1990258
1989255.9
1988257.5
1987252.5
1986259.8
1985254.1
1984258.5
1983251.6
1982255.2
1981256.3
1980256
1979256.3
1978254.7
1977252.2
1976256
1975255.7
1974251.3
1973251.8
1972255.2
1971250.7
1970252.3
1969255.1
1968252.6
1967252.6
1966253.3
1965251.4
1964251.5
1963252.8
1962257.8
1961258.6
1960257.6
1959254.5
1958256.9
1957255.9
1956251.8
1955251.1
1954255.4
1953254.2
1952256.3
1951253.8
1950254.4
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearBahrain
2015278256.9–285.6
2016270.2257.3–281.8
2017270.4250.9–291.1
2018271.6258.8–287.6
2019273.2250.2–286.7
2020274.7259.8–287
2021274.6255.9–292.7
2022277.2262.5–296.6
2023274.5258.6–289.3
2024278.7260.9–297.2
2025279.8262–293.5
2026276.8262.2–294.7
2027276.7262.1–293.8
2028277.1265.8–295.8
2029275.4263.4–291.4
2030282.4256.5–299.3
2031283.2264.4–296.5
2032276.8259.2–297.4
2033279.9268.6–294.3
2034282.6261.7–301.6
2035285.2267.1–303.2
2036286.5267.8–295.7
2037287.9266–298.7
2038285263.1–299.4
2039287.2268–301.4
2040282267.5–304.3
2041289.1274.1–302
2042283.1274.2–296.2
2043282.5262.6–301.5
2044289.5267.5–306.3
2045289.5270–306.2
2046292.8280.6–304.3
2047290.3275.6–306.8
2048287.8265–310.5
2049288.7265–302.9
2050291.3274.9–309.9
2051295.6278.7–315.8
2052291.1274.3–309.7
2053296.1271.3–308.7
2054297272–315.3
2055296.7275.4–314.9
2056293.3262.8–319.5
2057294.5275.1–316.4
2058294.1273.3–310.4
2059291.4275.1–313.5
2060290.3269.8–309.9
2061292.8275–309.2
2062300.1278.7–319.6
2063295.1276.3–323.3
2064293.9281–320.3
2065298.9274.4–316
2066300.3284.9–334.7
2067295.4278.6–318.1
2068301.3279.6–323.7
2069295.5281.3–318.4
2070296.8279.6–313
2071299.9278.3–319.9
2072299.6278.2–326.2
2073300.6279.8–319.4
2074307.1273.3–332.6
2075307.8282.3–324.9
2076300.4276.3–319.6
2077306.2280.7–324.4
2078303.9282.9–328
2079301.6282.8–328.2
2080300.4280.5–324
2081307.3283–336.6
2082300.9286.4–319.4
2083302.9287.4–321.6
2084306.6278–329.4
2085307.3291.7–336.5
2086305.6289.4–331.2
2087306.5278.7–337.5
2088305.4281.4–325.2
2089305.6278.8–326.4
2090304.1287.1–332.9
2091303.7293–332.6
2092305286–337
2093303.9289.6–320.4
2094311.3289.5–328.1
2095304.5286–328.6
2096306.7278.1–326.4
2097309.8287.5–344.5
2098311.5284.6–336.9
2099307.6277.3–328.8
2100310.3286.4–327.9

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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