Eritrea

Tropical nights in Eritrea

Tropical nights in Eritrea: 209.9 nights in 1950 and 236.3 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
236.3 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+26.4 nights
Projected, 2100
289.6 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in EritreaTropical nights in Eritrea: 209.9 nights in 1950 and 236.3 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 289.6 nights in 2100, between 267.4 nights and 314 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 289.6 nights in 2100, between 267.4 nights and 314 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 238.4 nights in 2011, the lowest 204.9 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearEritrea
2014236.3
2013237.5
2012236.3
2011238.4
2010233.8
2009232.2
2008231.3
2007231.9
2006229.9
2005228.5
2004228.6
2003230.2
2002229.6
2001229.6
2000225.7
1999225
1998224.3
1997224.5
1996221.6
1995219.6
1994219.8
1993214.3
1992212
1991220.1
1990224.1
1989221.4
1988217.8
1987216.8
1986221.3
1985214.5
1984217.3
1983212.2
1982214
1981219.6
1980215.8
1979216.5
1978212.9
1977216.5
1976214.5
1975209.8
1974213
1973214.7
1972212.2
1971211.4
1970213.1
1969211.3
1968210.8
1967206.9
1966207.9
1965208
1964207.7
1963204.9
1962211.9
1961215
1960216
1959211.5
1958213.4
1957213.8
1956211.2
1955211.8
1954213.3
1953209.4
1952214.1
1951214
1950209.9
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEritrea
2015242.1223.3–257.3
2016239.9217.6–255.9
2017240.5217.7–256.2
2018241.6222.4–259.1
2019240.7216.5–259.9
2020243224.2–258.8
2021245.1227.4–259.9
2022248.8228.6–264
2023246.7224.6–263.1
2024250230.4–264.3
2025249.5223.9–268.1
2026248.7223–267.9
2027248.1223.1–268.2
2028250.3225.1–268
2029251.3226.8–268.5
2030251.3228.3–269.1
2031253.2230.5–270.2
2032254.5232.2–273.2
2033253.9233.4–270.6
2034253.2232.9–273.4
2035256.4233.1–272.6
2036255.6237.4–271.9
2037259.4239.5–274.3
2038259.6240.6–276
2039259.3236.9–278.2
2040258.9237.6–278.3
2041262.2235.6–276.6
2042260.5237.9–282.9
2043261.6236.4–282.9
2044259.6235.2–282.9
2045261.4243.5–280.5
2046265.4241.5–285.5
2047266.9242.2–284.1
2048268.2246.5–289.4
2049267.2245.9–284.9
2050268247.7–285.7
2051267.6249.1–288.1
2052267.1243.8–291.6
2053266.7242.7–288.9
2054270.9250–291.4
2055271.8248.4–291.5
2056269246.8–293.3
2057271.9251.9–292.6
2058273.1248.5–293.4
2059276.4256.3–297
2060274.4254.3–296.3
2061273.8250.1–292.4
2062273.1247.6–297.2
2063276.6253.2–296.8
2064274.4252.8–294.9
2065276.4254.3–298.3
2066278.3258.2–298.6
2067277.4252.3–300.6
2068281.8251.5–300.5
2069278.3257.1–298.4
2070278254.1–299.4
2071283.5258.5–303.6
2072284.3258.8–301.3
2073283.6259.5–302.3
2074279.8251.9–302.4
2075283.1258.1–303.2
2076283.6260.9–301.3
2077284.3261–306.5
2078286.3261.5–304.3
2079283.2260.8–303.8
2080287.1260.3–305.6
2081286.1261.1–305.7
2082284.1261.9–301.4
2083284.2263.3–307.9
2084287.4261.5–306.2
2085286.5265.4–309.8
2086287.5258.5–312.8
2087287.2260.7–309.6
2088286.4260.7–311.3
2089286.5261.1–306.9
2090288264.5–310.9
2091291264.2–313.8
2092287.4260.6–310.1
2093287.9269–308.3
2094290.2267.9–308.3
2095288.9268.4–310.9
2096287.3263.8–312.4
2097285263.8–308.7
2098288.6263.8–315.1
2099288.6265.1–311.8
2100289.6267.4–314

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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