Tropical nights in Moldova

Tropical nights in Moldova: 0.7 nights in 1950 and 6.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 6.9 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +6.3 nights
Projected, 2100: 41.7 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 41.7 nights in 2100, between 18.9 nights and 63.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 7.1 nights in 2011, the lowest 0.1 nights in 1992.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Moldova
2014	6.9
2013	6.4
2012	6
2011	7.1
2010	7
2009	6
2008	4.6
2007	3.8
2006	4.6
2005	4.4
2004	3.5
2003	5.3
2002	3.9
2001	3.6
2000	5.1
1999	3.2
1998	1.8
1997	1.6
1996	2.7
1995	1.7
1994	1.3
1993	1.4
1992	0.1
1991	1.8
1990	1.3
1989	1.1
1988	0.2
1987	0.7
1986	1.8
1985	0.7
1984	0.4
1983	0.3
1982	0.3
1981	0.2
1980	0.5
1979	0.7
1978	0.7
1977	0.3
1976	0.4
1975	1.1
1974	0.6
1973	0.2
1972	0.5
1971	0.6
1970	0.6
1969	0.5
1968	0.9
1967	0.6
1966	0.3
1965	0.8
1964	0.3
1963	0.6
1962	0.7
1961	0.4
1960	1
1959	1.6
1958	1.6
1957	1.2
1956	1
1955	1.4
1954	0.7
1953	1.3
1952	1.7
1951	0.9
1950	0.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Moldova
2015	6.71.2–21.1
2016	110.8–21.7
2017	8.31.8–21.9
2018	92.9–22.5
2019	8.71.8–22.7
2020	13.13–28.3
2021	9.21.9–23.1
2022	9.93.3–25.7
2023	12.11.3–23.4
2024	13.62.8–23
2025	12.91.2–30
2026	12.71.4–26.3
2027	121.5–22.7
2028	13.32.3–23.2
2029	17.15.6–29
2030	9.43.1–23.3
2031	14.15–31.7
2032	17.13.1–35
2033	14.95.6–30.3
2034	14.85.5–30.3
2035	14.83.1–34.3
2036	19.75.7–37.5
2037	18.66–30.2
2038	19.28.5–42.1
2039	18.47.7–42.9
2040	18.14.3–33.5
2041	22.28.8–37.7
2042	19.85.3–36.2
2043	21.910–35
2044	23.16.3–42.8
2045	235.3–41.7
2046	23.64–50.3
2047	24.97.6–46.3
2048	31.23.9–46.8
2049	25.65.1–43.6
2050	26.38.4–46.2
2051	23.89.2–46
2052	23.18.7–41.5
2053	24.112.5–37.7
2054	306.2–41.7
2055	23.19.6–44.5
2056	23.110.9–44.9
2057	29.27.8–48.3
2058	30.99.3–60.2
2059	25.77.7–46.1
2060	26.813.5–42.3
2061	34.710.3–55.1
2062	31.812.8–50
2063	32.39.8–49.2
2064	32.112–49.4
2065	3515.3–49.2
2066	2611.6–52.2
2067	3012.3–49.8
2068	33.710.5–48.5
2069	32.512.3–60
2070	3210.7–50.6
2071	31.810.8–53.9
2072	39.816.9–58.2
2073	34.812.5–53.9
2074	31.813.7–52.3
2075	32.47.9–54
2076	39.412.1–60.3
2077	35.714.9–55.3
2078	35.916.9–58.2
2079	44.112.8–64.4
2080	38.821.9–52.9
2081	34.117.5–55.1
2082	38.516.6–67.9
2083	37.113.1–63.5
2084	41.916.9–59.4
2085	42.214–62.1
2086	39.320.8–64.9
2087	38.916–67.5
2088	41.219.2–65
2089	3312.4–58.5
2090	42.618.8–65.9
2091	4614.2–64.7
2092	40.716.1–65.2
2093	41.614.8–68.4
2094	42.423.4–70.7
2095	42.316–61.4
2096	39.313.7–70.6
2097	38.614.1–69.6
2098	44.421.1–62.3
2099	40.720.5–57.9
2100	41.718.9–63.9

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tropical nights in Moldova

What the numbers say

Every year

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