Nepal

Temperature in Nepal

Temperature in Nepal: 11.2 °C in 1950 and 13.7 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations.

Latest, 2025
13.7 °C
Since 1950
+2.4 °C
Rank, 2025
170 of 233
counting from the highest
Projected, 2100
15.2 °C
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Temperature in NepalTemperature in Nepal: 11.2 °C in 1950 and 13.7 °C in 2025, by ERA5 observations. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 15.2 °C in 2100, between 14.3 °C and 15.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
Observed, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 15.2 °C in 2100, between 14.3 °C and 15.9 °C (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 13.7 °C in 2025, the lowest 10.8 °C in 1952.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
202513.713.1
202413.613.3
202313.213.1
202213.313.1
202113.113
202012.513
201912.612.9
201812.912.8
201713.212.9
201613.612.8
201512.712.9
201412.512.8
201312.712.8
201212.312.8
201112.512.7
201013.412.7
200913.212.5
200812.712.5
200712.912.6
200613.112.6
200512.712.6
200412.712.6
200312.412.5
200212.412.7
200112.712.5
200012.312.4
199913.112.5
199812.912.3
199711.612.4
199612.512.2
199512.512.3
199412.712.1
199312.612
199212.211.9
199112.312.4
199012.412.3
198912.112.2
19881312.2
198712.612.2
19861212.1
198512.512.1
198412.412.1
198311.712
198211.912.1
198111.812.2
198012.412.1
197912.512.2
197812.112
197712.512.1
197612.312.1
197512.312
197412.212.1
197312.312
197212.212
197111.812.1
197012.312
196912.111.9
196811.511.9
196711.711.9
196612.112.1
196511.512
196412.411.9
196311.712
196211.712.2
196111.712.1
196012.512.1
195912.412.2
195812.712.1
195711.712.1
195611.712.1
195511.712
195411.512.1
195310.912.1
195210.812
195111.212.2
195011.212.2
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearObserved, ERA5CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–13.212.6–13.7
2027–13.212.6–13.8
2028–13.212.7–13.8
2029–13.312.6–14
2030–13.212.7–13.8
2031–13.212.6–13.8
2032–13.412.9–13.9
2033–13.412.8–13.9
2034–13.412.7–14
2035–13.412.9–14
2036–13.412.9–14
2037–13.512.9–14.3
2038–13.612.9–14.3
2039–13.513–14.1
2040–13.512.8–14.3
2041–13.713.2–14.2
2042–13.813.2–14.4
2043–13.713–14.5
2044–13.913.1–14.5
2045–13.813.3–14.4
2046–13.913.1–14.6
2047–13.913.1–14.6
2048–1413.2–14.8
2049–13.913.3–14.8
2050–14.113.3–15
2051–14.113.5–14.8
2052–1413.3–14.9
2053–1413.4–14.9
2054–14.113.1–14.8
2055–14.213.5–14.9
2056–14.213.6–15
2057–14.313.4–15
2058–14.213.6–15.2
2059–14.313.6–15.3
2060–14.513.7–15.2
2061–14.413.5–15
2062–14.513.7–15.4
2063–14.313.7–15.3
2064–14.413.7–15.3
2065–14.513.8–15.4
2066–14.513.8–15.2
2067–14.413.8–15.4
2068–14.813.8–15.7
2069–14.713.8–15.5
2070–14.513.8–15.4
2071–14.513.9–15.6
2072–14.613.9–15.5
2073–14.713.8–15.7
2074–14.813.9–15.5
2075–14.814–15.5
2076–14.614–15.7
2077–14.914–15.7
2078–14.714–15.8
2079–14.813.9–15.5
2080–14.814.2–15.8
2081–1514.1–15.8
2082–14.814–16
2083–1514.2–16
2084–14.914–16.2
2085–14.914.1–16.2
2086–14.913.8–16.1
2087–14.813.9–16
2088–14.913.9–16.1
2089–14.914.1–16.2
2090–1514.2–16
2091–1514.1–16.2
2092–1514.2–16.2
2093–1514.1–16.1
2094–1514.3–16.1
2095–15.114.2–16
2096–15.214–16.2
2097–1514.1–16
2098–15.114.2–16.1
2099–15.214.4–16.2
2100–15.214.3–15.9

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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