Tropical nights in North Macedonia

Tropical nights in North Macedonia: 1 nights in 1950 and 5.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 5.1 nights; Modelled
Since 1950: +4 nights
Projected, 2100: 33.4 nights; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 33.4 nights in 2100, between 14.8 nights and 49.9 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 5.1 nights in 2014, the lowest 0.6 nights in 1965.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	North Macedonia
2014	5.1
2013	3.4
2012	4.5
2011	4.9
2010	4.5
2009	4.8
2008	4.2
2007	2.8
2006	4.3
2005	2.4
2004	3.1
2003	2.7
2002	2.6
2001	2.8
2000	3.7
1999	2.9
1998	2
1997	2
1996	1.9
1995	1.8
1994	1.3
1993	1.2
1992	0.9
1991	1.5
1990	2
1989	1.4
1988	1.2
1987	0.8
1986	1.4
1985	0.7
1984	0.9
1983	0.9
1982	0.8
1981	0.8
1980	1.1
1979	0.9
1978	1
1977	0.8
1976	0.9
1975	1.5
1974	0.7
1973	0.7
1972	0.8
1971	1
1970	0.9
1969	0.8
1968	0.9
1967	0.7
1966	0.7
1965	0.6
1964	1.1
1963	1.1
1962	0.9
1961	0.7
1960	1.7
1959	1.9
1958	1.5
1957	0.8
1956	1
1955	1
1954	0.6
1953	1.4
1952	1.1
1951	1.1
1950	1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	North Macedonia
2015	6.11.5–11.7
2016	4.51.2–11.2
2017	5.21.7–14.7
2018	5.60.8–14.8
2019	51.6–12.2
2020	72.1–15
2021	6.82.3–11.8
2022	72.2–18.9
2023	6.52–13.9
2024	8.83–17.9
2025	8.72–16.4
2026	9.82.5–16.6
2027	7.71.6–16.3
2028	83.9–16.9
2029	11.13.5–21.4
2030	94.3–16.5
2031	9.13.9–18.1
2032	10.43.6–23.5
2033	10.24.1–19
2034	11.14–22
2035	14.32.6–22.5
2036	13.14.6–22.9
2037	12.45.4–21.7
2038	135–28
2039	12.95.2–23.4
2040	14.15.9–23.8
2041	11.55.9–22.8
2042	134.7–25.4
2043	14.45.7–24.7
2044	15.44.2–26.8
2045	15.37–27.8
2046	155–29.5
2047	15.65.1–29.5
2048	17.83.4–29.5
2049	15.64.5–28.7
2050	165.7–27.1
2051	16.57–28.1
2052	16.37.5–29.8
2053	16.710.3–28.6
2054	19.29.9–32.5
2055	17.67.9–35.1
2056	17.27.5–30.5
2057	18.78.1–30.6
2058	20.97.8–36.9
2059	20.48.8–36.3
2060	19.111.1–31.3
2061	20.37.6–33.8
2062	21.98.5–33.5
2063	22.69–41.5
2064	22.312.2–32.2
2065	22.88.9–36
2066	21.912–36
2067	26.812.7–37.2
2068	26.513.3–39
2069	2414.1–36.7
2070	24.113.2–42.4
2071	24.67.7–43.1
2072	26.511.9–41.9
2073	24.611.1–35.9
2074	22.312.6–39.5
2075	23.712.2–39.2
2076	26.77.8–40.3
2077	26.314.5–39.2
2078	27.212–43.9
2079	31.210.9–49.4
2080	2715.1–46.2
2081	25.610.2–40.8
2082	31.714.5–46
2083	26.711.1–44.7
2084	31.715.8–44.7
2085	2914.7–44.4
2086	30.913.2–46.1
2087	3214.1–48.9
2088	33.617.1–49.6
2089	31.613.4–50.1
2090	30.817.9–51.9
2091	34.717.8–49.2
2092	29.311.5–49.7
2093	30.612.6–53.2
2094	30.516–49.3
2095	33.112.8–51.5
2096	29.413.2–51.2
2097	32.915.7–48.4
2098	34.916–55.1
2099	3314.5–51.7
2100	33.414.8–49.9

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tropical nights in North Macedonia

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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