Peru

Tropical nights in Peru

Tropical nights in Peru: 147.8 nights in 1950 and 164.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
164.5 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+16.7 nights
Projected, 2100
192.3 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in PeruTropical nights in Peru: 147.8 nights in 1950 and 164.5 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 192.3 nights in 2100, between 176.6 nights and 205.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 192.3 nights in 2100, between 176.6 nights and 205.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 164.8 nights in 2012, the lowest 135.9 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearPeru
2014164.5
2013163.1
2012164.8
2011164.3
2010163.3
2009162.3
2008162
2007159.8
2006159.1
2005159.3
2004161.8
2003160.5
2002159.9
2001160.7
2000158
1999155.7
1998157.4
1997156.1
1996152.2
1995152.1
1994150.8
1993148.5
1992144
1991156
1990158.3
1989153.2
1988151.2
1987152
1986153.4
1985149
1984148.3
1983145.4
1982151.4
1981153.1
1980150.9
1979150.5
1978149.1
1977150.3
1976147.5
1975142.1
1974148.6
1973151.5
1972147.6
1971145.7
1970145.6
1969147
1968146
1967142.3
1966145.7
1965143.3
1964141.6
1963135.9
1962148.9
1961146.5
1960149.8
1959146.1
1958149.1
1957148.7
1956144
1955148.3
1954148.7
1953148.2
1952148.1
1951147.2
1950147.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearPeru
2015164.3148.5–174.9
2016163.4149.8–171.5
2017165.5155–175.2
2018165152.9–176.6
2019163.7151–176.8
2020165.3151.6–176.2
2021167.6154.7–177.3
2022169.5156.6–179.2
2023167.1156.3–178.4
2024170.6157.3–180.2
2025168.6155–179.9
2026167.8153.3–179.7
2027168.3155.2–178.8
2028169.8158.3–179.9
2029174162.8–181.7
2030168.1153.2–180.6
2031172.5156.2–183.7
2032173.2162.7–184.7
2033172156.5–181
2034171.6158.7–185.6
2035172159.3–184.1
2036172.5160.7–183.2
2037175.6166.3–185.3
2038175.8164.6–184.9
2039174.1162.7–185
2040175.4163.9–187
2041176.5165.3–186.1
2042176.3161.9–189.7
2043174.8163.7–185.3
2044175.3161.9–188.2
2045177.3165.5–186.9
2046180.3167.4–189.9
2047178.6167.5–189
2048181.2168.2–192.2
2049180.4168.1–189.8
2050178.6166.4–190.8
2051180.3168.5–190.6
2052181.5170.8–191.7
2053179.5168.3–190.8
2054180.1167.3–193.9
2055181.7171–194.8
2056182.2170–193
2057181.6168.7–193
2058183.1169.4–195.5
2059184.6169.7–195.3
2060185.6171.1–197.1
2061182.7169.9–195.8
2062184.3168.7–196.9
2063184.6170.8–196.9
2064184.4170.1–194.8
2065186.3173.3–196.9
2066185.6172.3–197.4
2067184.3169.4–198.2
2068186.1172.1–198.3
2069184.9169–198.3
2070185.4171.8–198.4
2071187.3173.3–198.7
2072188.1174.9–199.8
2073187.6175.9–202.1
2074186.4169.5–198.9
2075186.4170.6–198.3
2076188.8174.2–201
2077189.1174.7–201.8
2078188.4175.6–202.3
2079188172–199.7
2080189.1172.8–201.7
2081188.4173.6–201.8
2082188.8174.8–199.7
2083189.9175.7–204.7
2084190.7176.3–204.4
2085192176.2–204.6
2086189.1175.4–204
2087189.1175.9–203.6
2088191.1174.7–204.9
2089190.1174.3–203
2090190.4177–206.2
2091192.6174.4–205.9
2092192.6176.6–204.7
2093190.6176–206
2094192.3178.2–204.1
2095193.4176.5–207.3
2096191.4176.2–207.6
2097190.7174.9–202.2
2098192.9177.8–208.9
2099191.5176.8–205
2100192.3176.6–205.6

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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