Days above 35 °C in Sri Lanka

Days above 35 °C in Sri Lanka: 11.7 days in 1950 and 17.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 17.9 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +6.1 days
Projected, 2100: 63.4 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 63.4 days in 2100, between 42.5 days and 91 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 19.4 days in 2010, the lowest 7.3 days in 1992.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Sri Lanka
2014	17.9
2013	18.7
2012	19.2
2011	19.4
2010	19.4
2009	16.7
2008	17
2007	19
2006	15.4
2005	18
2004	17.4
2003	18.5
2002	15.3
2001	17
2000	14.4
1999	13.9
1998	15.2
1997	15
1996	12.3
1995	11.5
1994	11.2
1993	10.7
1992	7.3
1991	14.6
1990	13.9
1989	14.4
1988	11.5
1987	10.3
1986	14.4
1985	9
1984	12.6
1983	11
1982	12.1
1981	11.8
1980	11.8
1979	11.9
1978	10.5
1977	12.6
1976	9.4
1975	9.4
1974	10.8
1973	12.7
1972	10.5
1971	10.3
1970	9.7
1969	10.6
1968	8.8
1967	8.1
1966	10.9
1965	9
1964	8.2
1963	7.5
1962	11.1
1961	13
1960	12.2
1959	11.9
1958	11.3
1957	9.3
1956	10.7
1955	11.8
1954	11.1
1953	10.8
1952	11.7
1951	12.1
1950	11.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Sri Lanka
2015	19.410–31.3
2016	19.510.9–33.8
2017	22.610.7–32.7
2018	21.59.4–33.7
2019	19.39.7–33.7
2020	22.111.9–36
2021	25.214.3–38.4
2022	28.416.3–39.6
2023	24.614.8–38.6
2024	25.712.7–38.4
2025	22.812.9–37.4
2026	26.413.2–41.9
2027	25.415.8–38.8
2028	25.713.8–38.8
2029	29.916–43.6
2030	28.316–42.1
2031	29.317.2–41.8
2032	30.917.4–50.2
2033	29.916.2–41.1
2034	30.117–47.7
2035	29.318.7–46.6
2036	31.619.1–43
2037	3421.1–51.1
2038	35.220.6–50.1
2039	3423.6–47
2040	36.720.4–53.8
2041	3824–54.5
2042	38.122.3–54.2
2043	37.117.4–50.3
2044	36.222.2–53.8
2045	3723.4–56.9
2046	40.823.6–55.8
2047	41.426.1–55.9
2048	41.627.9–61.4
2049	41.926.7–63.7
2050	39.722.4–58.2
2051	42.326.6–62.8
2052	41.826.9–64.7
2053	43.226.2–61.1
2054	44.728.3–67.6
2055	45.728.8–62.9
2056	45.127.9–63.6
2057	48.428.1–67.4
2058	45.229.2–73.8
2059	49.430.6–68.6
2060	52.831.5–72.2
2061	47.830.4–70.4
2062	49.629.1–75.6
2063	51.331–73.1
2064	50.531.2–69
2065	5132.8–72.8
2066	50.831.9–74.1
2067	51.728.5–71.8
2068	5433.1–73.7
2069	50.134.4–78.2
2070	52.130.7–79.5
2071	56.332.1–83.4
2072	55.137.5–78.7
2073	61.738.6–84.4
2074	53.735–80.7
2075	53.631.7–76
2076	59.435.8–81.7
2077	60.532.5–87.1
2078	56.740.2–81.5
2079	62.334.8–79.9
2080	61.235.7–88.2
2081	58.840.4–84.1
2082	5840.1–75.2
2083	60.239.4–87.6
2084	61.739.7–86.8
2085	62.741.6–90
2086	62.138.7–88.9
2087	61.236.6–84.7
2088	62.438.5–86.4
2089	57.938.6–87
2090	61.743–86.8
2091	63.239.1–90
2092	66.746.1–89.8
2093	61.640.5–97.4
2094	66.439.7–91
2095	68.443.4–90.6
2096	66.340.4–95.7
2097	65.837.2–89.6
2098	65.240.8–96.7
2099	61.938–90.8
2100	63.442.5–91

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Sri Lanka

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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