Nepal vs Sri Lanka: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 9.6 days in Nepal and 17.9 days in Sri Lanka, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Sri Lanka, by 8.2 days, or 1.85 times that in Nepal.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

NepalSri LankaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Sri Lanka has been higher since 1986, when it overtook Nepal.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Nepal at 20.6 days and Sri Lanka at 63.4 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Nepal	Sri Lanka
2014	9.6	17.9
2013	9.8	18.7
2012	10.7	19.2
2011	8.5	19.4
2010	10.1	19.4
2009	8.7	16.7
2008	8.6	17
2007	10	19
2006	9.8	15.4
2005	9.9	18
2004	9	17.4
2003	8.7	18.5
2002	10.7	15.3
2001	9.5	17
2000	9.4	14.4
1999	10.2	13.9
1998	8.7	15.2
1997	9.3	15
1996	7.6	12.3
1995	8.1	11.5
1994	8.7	11.2
1993	7.5	10.7
1992	5.6	7.3
1991	10.2	14.6
1990	9.4	13.9
1989	9	14.4
1988	8	11.5
1987	9	10.3
1986	9.1	14.4
1985	9.1	9
1984	8.6	12.6
1983	8.7	11
1982	9.1	12.1
1981	9.1	11.8
1980	8.4	11.8
1979	8.5	11.9
1978	8.4	10.5
1977	9.1	12.6
1976	10	9.4
1975	9.3	9.4
1974	9.7	10.8
1973	8.8	12.7
1972	8	10.5
1971	9.1	10.3
1970	9.5	9.7
1969	8.6	10.6
1968	8.2	8.8
1967	7.6	8.1
1966	10.1	10.9
1965	8.8	9
1964	7.5	8.2
1963	9	7.5
1962	9.4	11.1
1961	9.5	13
1960	9.6	12.2
1959	10.3	11.9
1958	9.7	11.3
1957	9.1	9.3
1956	9.6	10.7
1955	8.5	11.8
1954	9.6	11.1
1953	9.9	10.8
1952	9.8	11.7
1951	9.1	12.1
1950	10.3	11.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Nepal	Sri Lanka
2015	9.75.4–15.7	19.410–31.3
2016	10.14.9–15.1	19.510.9–33.8
2017	9.53.2–14.1	22.610.7–32.7
2018	10.23–15.4	21.59.4–33.7
2019	9.34.9–14.3	19.39.7–33.7
2020	10.46.4–15.8	22.111.9–36
2021	9.54.4–14.6	25.214.3–38.4
2022	103.2–15.5	28.416.3–39.6
2023	10.56.5–16.1	24.614.8–38.6
2024	11.76.1–17.5	25.712.7–38.4
2025	10.15.3–16.2	22.812.9–37.4
2026	10.96.6–16.9	26.413.2–41.9
2027	11.15.3–16.4	25.415.8–38.8
2028	10.64.7–16	25.713.8–38.8
2029	11.32.6–18.5	29.916–43.6
2030	10.64.7–16.3	28.316–42.1
2031	10.35.7–16.2	29.317.2–41.8
2032	10.93.1–17.6	30.917.4–50.2
2033	10.56.6–15.5	29.916.2–41.1
2034	10.65.5–16.7	30.117–47.7
2035	10.16.2–17.2	29.318.7–46.6
2036	10.35.3–16.5	31.619.1–43
2037	11.96.5–18.9	3421.1–51.1
2038	12.26.1–19.6	35.220.6–50.1
2039	11.25.2–17.6	3423.6–47
2040	11.64.8–18.8	36.720.4–53.8
2041	12.87.1–19	3824–54.5
2042	13.68–21	38.122.3–54.2
2043	13.78.5–19.1	37.117.4–50.3
2044	14.19.3–19.9	36.222.2–53.8
2045	12.68.5–19.2	3723.4–56.9
2046	13.27.3–21.8	40.823.6–55.8
2047	13.57.1–19.9	41.426.1–55.9
2048	14.77.3–21.7	41.627.9–61.4
2049	157.7–21.5	41.926.7–63.7
2050	13.87.5–21.6	39.722.4–58.2
2051	14.99.3–20	42.326.6–62.8
2052	13.89.9–21.8	41.826.9–64.7
2053	13.97.9–20.4	43.226.2–61.1
2054	14.37.1–21.9	44.728.3–67.6
2055	16.47.9–22.7	45.728.8–62.9
2056	14.38.7–20.4	45.127.9–63.6
2057	14.38.3–22.1	48.428.1–67.4
2058	16.29.8–23.8	45.229.2–73.8
2059	169.6–25.9	49.430.6–68.6
2060	16.711.4–23.9	52.831.5–72.2
2061	16.110.2–22.2	47.830.4–70.4
2062	1611.2–22.6	49.629.1–75.6
2063	179.4–24.4	51.331–73.1
2064	15.710.4–23.7	50.531.2–69
2065	17.38.7–25.6	5132.8–72.8
2066	16.18.9–23.7	50.831.9–74.1
2067	16.19–23.3	51.728.5–71.8
2068	18.110.9–27.1	5433.1–73.7
2069	17.89–24.6	50.134.4–78.2
2070	15.49–23.1	52.130.7–79.5
2071	189.9–25.6	56.332.1–83.4
2072	18.711.4–24.7	55.137.5–78.7
2073	18.312.5–26.8	61.738.6–84.4
2074	17.79.8–25.5	53.735–80.7
2075	17.210.7–24.6	53.631.7–76
2076	17.69.5–26.9	59.435.8–81.7
2077	19.711.7–27.1	60.532.5–87.1
2078	18.710.8–25.6	56.740.2–81.5
2079	18.58.9–25.4	62.334.8–79.9
2080	2011.3–28.1	61.235.7–88.2
2081	20.113.6–28.4	58.840.4–84.1
2082	19.510.7–28.5	5840.1–75.2
2083	19.512.1–28.8	60.239.4–87.6
2084	2112.3–30.5	61.739.7–86.8
2085	19.910.6–30.8	62.741.6–90
2086	18.610.7–30.6	62.138.7–88.9
2087	2010.8–28.9	61.236.6–84.7
2088	18.59.8–30.8	62.438.5–86.4
2089	20.911.4–31.1	57.938.6–87
2090	20.111.8–28.7	61.743–86.8
2091	20.312.3–32.3	63.239.1–90
2092	20.810.6–32	66.746.1–89.8
2093	18.911.3–31.7	61.640.5–97.4
2094	2011.7–28.1	66.439.7–91
2095	21.413.1–30.4	68.443.4–90.6
2096	20.510.1–29.6	66.340.4–95.7
2097	18.811.8–26.9	65.837.2–89.6
2098	19.911.5–29.3	65.240.8–96.7
2099	20.713.7–29.2	61.938–90.8
2100	20.613.4–29.3	63.442.5–91

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Nepal vs Sri Lanka: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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