阿富汗与伊拉克：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：阿富汗为 50.8 夜，伊拉克为 151.4 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年伊拉克的数值较高，高出 100.6 夜，是阿富汗的 2.98 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

阿富汗伊拉克CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，伊拉克的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年阿富汗为 72.3 夜，伊拉克为 178.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	阿富汗	伊拉克
2014	50.8	151.4
2013	50.6	151.3
2012	50.1	150.9
2011	49.9	150.7
2010	48.2	147.5
2009	48.9	146.1
2008	48.8	149.9
2007	48.3	148
2006	48.7	146.9
2005	48.1	147.7
2004	47.9	147.3
2003	47.2	145.4
2002	49.4	147.2
2001	47	146.6
2000	47.9	148
1999	47.9	143.6
1998	46.8	142.6
1997	46.8	144.5
1996	45	143.7
1995	44.4	139.1
1994	44.6	141.6
1993	42.4	136.6
1992	42.5	136.6
1991	45.1	138.1
1990	45.5	142.7
1989	45.5	141.6
1988	44.3	138.2
1987	44.5	138.9
1986	44	140.9
1985	43.5	137.6
1984	43.4	135.5
1983	40.5	135
1982	43.1	135.8
1981	43.8	140.3
1980	43	139.4
1979	44	136.4
1978	43.1	136.8
1977	41.5	137.7
1976	41.6	138.2
1975	41.4	134.1
1974	41.6	135.8
1973	41.7	136.1
1972	42.1	135.8
1971	40.8	133.7
1970	41.6	135.5
1969	41.3	135.5
1968	40.8	134.3
1967	41.5	133.6
1966	41	132.9
1965	41.1	132.9
1964	41.3	134.2
1963	41.8	135.1
1962	41.8	137.7
1961	42.6	138.2
1960	42.1	136.7
1959	41.8	139
1958	43.3	138.4
1957	42.2	137.3
1956	42.3	136.6
1955	41.4	134.7
1954	42.5	136.1
1953	41.8	137
1952	42.9	136.7
1951	41.5	137.3
1950	42.8	134.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	阿富汗	伊拉克
2015	52.244.8–59.8	154.9143.1–165.8
2016	52.545–59.7	152.1139.6–164.5
2017	52.345.8–58.8	154.1139.5–165.6
2018	5244.6–59.3	153.8142.3–165
2019	53.345.9–60.7	153.3141–166.9
2020	54.347.1–61.2	155.1144.8–166
2021	53.746.7–61.4	155.8144.5–166.5
2022	53.146.2–61.6	155.9144.3–168
2023	55.646–62.7	157.1146.3–168.5
2024	5647.3–64	155.9145.1–167.7
2025	55.947.9–65	156.8145.6–168.8
2026	54.945.9–64.5	158.1147.1–168.2
2027	55.948.7–64.2	159.5148.6–169.8
2028	5647.4–64	157.5145.7–169.4
2029	54.747.9–62.5	158.5149.2–167.6
2030	56.749.3–63.8	157.9147.4–169.7
2031	58.650.2–65.4	160.1146.9–171.3
2032	57.649.8–65.4	160146.9–170.6
2033	57.749.1–65.5	161.6151.5–172
2034	59.148.6–68.2	161148.9–173.9
2035	60.251.4–67.7	161.8150.3–173.6
2036	59.251.7–66.6	158.5146.3–170.6
2037	59.751.1–70	161.2148.6–173.5
2038	6051.9–67.2	165.1152.5–174.7
2039	58.651.3–66	164.6152.2–177.7
2040	59.651.8–68	165153.4–175.3
2041	5951.1–68	163.3151.3–172.5
2042	60.752.4–69.9	165.3153–176.8
2043	59.351.2–68.5	164.6151.4–175.3
2044	60.752.6–69.8	164.6155.1–175.2
2045	61.152.7–69.7	167.8152.2–180.1
2046	61.452.3–71.6	167.6155–178.8
2047	62.553.6–71.5	167.1156.3–177.3
2048	63.354.7–72.3	165.8155.5–179.1
2049	62.253.1–71.9	165.6155.1–177.4
2050	63.754.4–73.1	170.8156.9–181.9
2051	62.853.2–73.2	168.8155.6–181.1
2052	64.254.7–73.4	167.8154.5–180.4
2053	63.354.9–71.6	168.5155.9–181.1
2054	64.355.6–73.4	170.4155.7–181.4
2055	64.956.7–73.7	171.2158.7–181.8
2056	64.155.8–73.4	168152.6–178.6
2057	65.555.1–75.6	169.2153.3–186.3
2058	65.256.7–74.7	170.7157.1–185.5
2059	64.556.1–73.6	169.8157–187.5
2060	66.855.9–75.6	169.5157.6–185.7
2061	65.857.4–73.2	170.2157.8–180.7
2062	66.856.9–77.4	171.2158.1–183
2063	67.359.1–76.6	170.6156.5–183.6
2064	66.357.6–76.7	170159.8–182.8
2065	67.457.8–78.5	171.7160.9–185.3
2066	6859.4–77.9	172.4158.6–184.5
2067	69.258.5–79.9	173.9161.8–187.6
2068	6858.5–77.7	172.6159.5–185
2069	68.560.5–78.3	174.3160.8–186.2
2070	6859.6–78.7	175.4162.3–186.7
2071	68.458.2–78.9	176.1161.2–188.9
2072	68.558.7–79.3	174.1161.5–187.3
2073	69.960.2–80.9	176.1159.9–190.6
2074	69.260.9–79.3	173.5157.8–187
2075	68.459.6–81.4	171.3158.5–186.4
2076	69.457.9–81	173.1158.7–186.3
2077	70.158.3–80.8	176.7160.9–189.8
2078	67.958.5–82.4	176.2163.1–188.2
2079	68.757.9–81.2	175.2160.1–188
2080	69.459.3–82	172.9160.7–190.1
2081	69.158.1–81.3	175.5161.6–189.9
2082	70.960.1–83	176.9162.8–188.2
2083	70.960.3–82.8	179.2161.9–191.4
2084	71.760.2–82.3	179.7164.5–191
2085	70.260.1–85.4	177.9162.3–190.8
2086	69.660.3–82.9	178.4166.1–189.5
2087	71.362.8–84.1	178.1161.8–194.1
2088	71.660.7–85.2	178.1163.4–194.1
2089	72.361.4–83.9	177.5162.8–192.6
2090	7160.2–83.4	176.1163.1–191.9
2091	72.261.1–83.3	178.7163.4–192.6
2092	72.261.6–83.3	179.2164.9–191.4
2093	72.562.6–83.5	179.3165.6–193.8
2094	72.962.2–85.3	181.3169.4–192.9
2095	73.761.1–84.3	181.2166.6–193.1
2096	73.362.9–85.7	179.2163.8–193.2
2097	70.960.6–84.3	180.7162.7–194.4
2098	73.562.2–87.3	178.4163.1–199
2099	72.761–84.1	178.9166.7–191.9
2100	72.360.5–87.4	178.7165.8–191.9

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

阿富汗与伊拉克对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数阿富汗：2022 年为 1,498 人死亡伊拉克：2022 年为 819 人死亡