苏丹与泰国：35 °C 以上天数

2014 年35 °C 以上天数：苏丹为 184 天，泰国为 39.9 天（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年苏丹的数值较高，高出 144.1 天，是泰国的 4.61 倍。

每年天数 · CMIP6

苏丹泰国CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，苏丹的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年苏丹为 230.7 天，泰国为 95.9 天。

逐年数据

每年天数 · CMIP6

年份	苏丹	泰国
2014	184	39.9
2013	179.8	42.1
2012	180.9	40.1
2011	183.5	39.9
2010	181.3	39.8
2009	175.7	37.9
2008	173.9	36
2007	171.9	33
2006	171.2	39.2
2005	169.5	34.9
2004	171.6	39.4
2003	172.7	34.1
2002	173.6	36.3
2001	177.8	37.8
2000	170.3	32.5
1999	170.7	29.7
1998	166	33.3
1997	169.3	33.7
1996	165.5	31.3
1995	165.1	33.5
1994	162.2	33.5
1993	154.5	30.4
1992	154.3	25.5
1991	165.3	35.4
1990	166.6	37.7
1989	164.1	29.3
1988	164.2	30.6
1987	163.3	31.2
1986	166.1	34.3
1985	159.7	29.3
1984	158	32.4
1983	157	30.4
1982	155.1	33.1
1981	162.1	29.5
1980	161.1	28.8
1979	160.4	32.4
1978	155.5	26.1
1977	157.9	31.5
1976	157.3	29.7
1975	153.9	25
1974	155.3	31.5
1973	161.4	34.5
1972	156.2	30.3
1971	153.4	27.1
1970	156.8	28.7
1969	153.8	29.9
1968	154.6	29.4
1967	148.4	28.3
1966	153	25.4
1965	154.2	27.1
1964	148.7	26.6
1963	146.1	26
1962	155.9	28.7
1961	158.5	31.1
1960	161.3	32.9
1959	158.4	24.4
1958	156.7	33
1957	159.4	27.8
1956	157.7	27.1
1955	154.7	31.2
1954	158.7	30.3
1953	156.3	28.2
1952	156.1	34.1
1951	158.9	33
1950	155.1	28.5

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	苏丹	泰国
2015	183.4158.5–201.6	41.123.5–66.3
2016	179.1156.3–200.8	38.915.7–61.2
2017	184.1159.3–204.4	41.420.8–64.9
2018	178.9156–204.1	43.521.7–65.5
2019	181.9158.3–204.8	40.916.5–61.9
2020	182.3159.2–205.5	45.617.3–66.6
2021	183.1159.4–206.8	43.720.7–70.7
2022	187.9165.4–207.6	47.826.4–73.3
2023	185.3162.7–207.9	41.822.3–67.2
2024	192.2168–211.3	44.726.9–70.9
2025	188.6166.8–209.3	50.227.3–77
2026	188.5157.9–211.8	44.425.2–80.5
2027	189.2157–211.6	47.126.2–75.6
2028	189.6162.9–211.3	51.123.1–73.3
2029	190.4166.6–209.3	56.733.9–84.7
2030	191.6170.8–214.6	50.726.1–78.9
2031	192.2167.3–218	50.531.5–81.2
2032	191.2169.9–210.3	49.823.6–85.7
2033	195.3172.4–216.8	53.432–73.7
2034	197.1168.8–222.4	51.531.6–83.4
2035	196.4168.7–221.2	52.228.9–89.2
2036	191.3171.4–213.6	53.335.2–77.4
2037	198173.5–220.2	57.632–82.5
2038	200.4179.8–221.2	62.238.5–91.5
2039	199.5171.5–218.6	55.127.8–78.8
2040	196.3172.7–217.9	53.728.4–91.3
2041	202.2174.1–221.8	6337.5–86.6
2042	201.6175.8–224.1	54.826.4–94.7
2043	198.7169.7–224.3	57.129.8–85.3
2044	198.3173.4–222.2	57.336.7–95.7
2045	203.4179.1–224.6	54.934.2–90.2
2046	210.2177.8–229.9	62.736.4–102.1
2047	206.2180.9–228.4	63.635–98.5
2048	204.6180–231.3	72.237.4–110.4
2049	204.3178.2–227.3	66.240.8–98.3
2050	205.3180.8–234.5	64.536.9–95.3
2051	206.2186–229.8	66.135.5–97.1
2052	209182–231.9	74.339.3–108.1
2053	208.7181.2–230.7	64.635–106.7
2054	211180.1–231.4	69.144.2–112.1
2055	212.3184–233.5	71.445.3–107.6
2056	208.5182.4–235.7	70.536.5–117.7
2057	213.2186.4–240.1	7240–104.6
2058	213.4183–233.4	73.140.6–107.3
2059	214.6189.2–242.4	77.251.2–121.4
2060	213.7189.1–241.7	80.946–117
2061	214.5186.1–239.4	77.335.3–117.8
2062	214.4187–241.2	73.535.5–125.8
2063	212.5181.1–235.9	83.640.3–122.6
2064	214.9189.9–242.2	74.746.9–111.8
2065	217.2195.4–238.5	69.939.5–124.8
2066	217.1190.9–246.3	80.250.7–122.7
2067	216.5188.1–243.9	69.437.9–116
2068	216.7193.9–247.6	76.445.8–131.7
2069	216.1187.6–243.2	77.747.4–128.7
2070	219.4189.5–241.3	73.839.2–129.5
2071	224.1190.5–247.8	80.642.2–131.6
2072	222.3196.2–245.1	81.347.5–135.3
2073	221.8196.1–246.8	88.854.2–133.4
2074	218.1183.5–249	8444.3–128.1
2075	221.9188.6–243.6	82.838.3–123.9
2076	222.4196.4–250.8	82.937.1–132.9
2077	225.8194.6–252.8	8849.4–132.4
2078	224.1196.8–250.7	91.252–137
2079	220.7194.1–245.3	85.749.5–144.4
2080	225.9191.3–250	88.552.7–143.6
2081	225.1197.7–250.3	87.150.9–135.1
2082	222.6195.3–249.8	89.953.5–133.6
2083	228.1199.6–251.9	87.145.8–149.7
2084	224.5194.9–252.9	8447.7–131
2085	226.3199.3–251.5	93.853.8–141.8
2086	225.2193.1–258.3	87.745.8–139.2
2087	222.9190.2–250.1	86.447.4–139.2
2088	220.4194.2–256.8	90.441.7–153.2
2089	227195.7–249.8	90.149–151.2
2090	229198.7–254.5	87.853.3–154.1
2091	227196.4–254.1	8648.2–148.6
2092	227.2200.5–253.1	92.650.2–149.9
2093	227.5203–252.1	89.854.6–159
2094	231.9201.3–256	95.549.6–143.6
2095	228.4202.1–255	103.458.2–156.3
2096	226.4198.4–255.9	89.951.3–155.4
2097	225.9196.5–255.7	94.550.2–142.6
2098	227.8194.4–253.4	89.851.6–149.6
2099	229.5200.7–257.4	88.244.7–147.4
2100	230.7199.7–256.7	95.951.1–153.3

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须知

一年中最高气温超过 35 °C 的天数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

苏丹与泰国对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数苏丹：2022 年为 1,364 人死亡泰国：2022 年为 46 人死亡