Burundi vs Kenya: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 28.5 nights in Burundi and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 217.1 nights, or 8.61 times that in Burundi.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BurundiKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Burundi at 67.4 nights and Kenya at 277 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Burundi	Kenya
2014	28.5	245.6
2013	28.4	245.4
2012	28.8	244.7
2011	28.9	245
2010	27.9	243.8
2009	27.9	242.3
2008	27.8	240.3
2007	27.6	240.9
2006	27.7	241.5
2005	27.5	241.2
2004	27.6	241.8
2003	27.6	240.8
2002	27.6	240.7
2001	27.7	242
2000	27.3	239.5
1999	27.1	237.8
1998	27.1	239.2
1997	27.2	236.9
1996	26.9	234.2
1995	26.8	232.9
1994	26.5	231.9
1993	26.2	227.4
1992	26.1	224.8
1991	27	233.8
1990	26.8	236.4
1989	26.7	234.5
1988	26.6	233.1
1987	26.6	232.6
1986	26.7	233
1985	26.3	228.7
1984	26.4	230.2
1983	26.4	226.7
1982	26.5	230.6
1981	26.8	232.9
1980	26.4	231.3
1979	26.6	229.6
1978	26.3	228.7
1977	26.5	229.9
1976	26.4	227.8
1975	26.3	225.9
1974	26.3	230.5
1973	26.3	230.4
1972	26.2	228.7
1971	26.1	226
1970	26.1	226.3
1969	26.1	225.9
1968	26	222.9
1967	25.8	224
1966	25.9	225.2
1965	26.1	224.2
1964	25.7	221.8
1963	25.7	220.2
1962	26.2	227.2
1961	26.4	228.3
1960	26.5	228.8
1959	26.2	228.3
1958	26.2	229.1
1957	26.1	228
1956	26.1	225.5
1955	26.2	228.7
1954	26.2	227.4
1953	26.3	227.6
1952	26.2	228.5
1951	26.2	228.3
1950	26.2	226.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Burundi	Kenya
2015	29.627–36	246.9232.3–256.1
2016	28.826.7–32.5	244.9230.1–255
2017	3027–33.7	248.1233.1–257.7
2018	30.327.4–34.4	248.7237–257.4
2019	29.727.4–33.7	247.1234.8–256.7
2020	30.927.7–37.7	248.6233.2–259.2
2021	30.627.8–37	249.5236.3–258.1
2022	30.828.5–36.7	251.5239.7–259.5
2023	30.528–36.7	251.8239–260.8
2024	32.127.9–39	254.2239.1–263
2025	31.527.1–38.7	251.5238.1–261.8
2026	31.927.4–38.3	252.2237.2–263.3
2027	31.427.9–37.9	252.8238.4–263.8
2028	32.328.4–37.9	254.9241.9–264.2
2029	33.229–38.9	256243.4–264.6
2030	32.728.1–39.9	253.6240.6–263.1
2031	33.930–40.9	256244.7–264.4
2032	33.829.9–43.1	257243.8–267.1
2033	34.129.6–43.1	256241.8–265.9
2034	33.829.8–45.5	256.2241.2–267.9
2035	35.228.9–43.2	256.7243.3–266.7
2036	34.729.5–45.8	256.2242.4–266.7
2037	36.830.3–48.2	258.7245.9–268.4
2038	37.631.9–45.5	260.3244.5–268.9
2039	36.929.5–47.7	259244.4–268
2040	3630.7–49.3	258.3246.2–269.8
2041	37.531.7–47.9	260.7244.8–271.2
2042	3731.3–53.9	260.3246.5–272.7
2043	36.829.7–48.4	259246.6–270.5
2044	37.429.9–48.5	261.2248.8–270.9
2045	3932–53.6	261.8248.7–272.9
2046	42.631.9–57.3	264.8249.6–275.3
2047	41.632.9–56.2	264.4249.8–275.3
2048	43.232.5–57.9	264.2252.3–274.9
2049	42.333.1–56.8	265.2252.8–275.6
2050	43.331.4–55.8	263.9249.8–275.1
2051	42.833–60	265.4252.1–275.1
2052	44.333.2–62.1	266.3252.6–276.2
2053	42.432.4–59.4	265.2251–275.4
2054	44.532.8–68.5	265.2250.2–277.2
2055	44.234.5–64.8	266.8251.6–277.6
2056	44.132.4–63.2	266.2251.2–277.8
2057	45.534.3–65.8	266.8253–278
2058	48.132.4–69.9	266.7251.5–277.9
2059	47.736.2–69.1	269.8254.7–280.5
2060	49.734.6–73	271.1253.9–280.7
2061	50.833.4–71.8	267.5253.9–281.7
2062	49.534.2–78.1	268.1254–281.2
2063	48.434.2–67.7	268.9255–280.1
2064	52.134.6–70.5	270254.1–279.8
2065	50.835.2–72.2	269.4255.8–282.3
2066	51.336.5–72.8	270.6258.1–281
2067	52.334.3–81.3	270.7256.1–283
2068	51.335.2–81.5	270.2256–283
2069	50.134–76	269.8256.1–283.3
2070	50.835.4–83.9	270.1255.8–282.6
2071	51.235.5–90.8	271.9257.9–284.4
2072	53.338.9–80	273.5260.3–283.8
2073	56.538.6–89	273.1259.9–285.4
2074	53.736.7–82.1	271.9257.5–285.4
2075	53.435–83	271.1256.5–284.7
2076	58.636.5–90.7	274.1258.6–285.8
2077	55.738.4–95.2	273.4259–286.6
2078	55.938.6–89.1	273.1260–284.4
2079	60.637.3–91.2	273.3258.7–286.6
2080	61.638–89.4	275.5259.4–286.9
2081	59.339.3–91.1	274.7259.8–285.6
2082	61.139–95	274.8261.3–286.4
2083	58.238.4–111.2	274259.6–289.3
2084	65.239.6–104.5	276.8259–288.8
2085	67.340.2–110.3	276.2261.5–289.1
2086	61.340.8–104.5	275.1260–289.1
2087	65.240.1–107.8	276.2260.3–288.5
2088	66.340.9–101.4	276.8261.6–289.7
2089	61.240.2–100.9	275.9260.3–288.8
2090	59.540.9–115.5	275.3260.5–290.5
2091	71.541.2–115.8	277.7260.4–290.9
2092	64.742.1–120.7	276.2261.2–290.7
2093	67.341.4–113.8	276.9262–290.1
2094	67.342.1–115.2	277262.8–288.9
2095	72.544.4–126.1	278.4262.3–290.4
2096	65.841.2–122.9	277.6260.5–292
2097	63.939.5–121.8	277261–290.2
2098	68.640.3–128.1	277.6262.3–291.5
2099	63.440.9–122.9	277.9260.8–292.4
2100	67.441.2–126.5	277261.8–290.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Burundi vs Kenya: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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