Cuba vs Venezuela: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 0.9 days in Cuba and 21.2 days in Venezuela, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Venezuela, by 20.4 days, or 25 times that in Cuba.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CubaVenezuelaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Venezuela has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Cuba at 22 days and Venezuela at 77.5 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Cuba	Venezuela
2014	0.9	21.2
2013	0.9	21.1
2012	0.7	20.6
2011	0.9	18.7
2010	0.9	19.6
2009	0.7	17.9
2008	0.7	19.1
2007	0.6	15.6
2006	0.4	15.6
2005	0.4	18.2
2004	0.4	19.7
2003	0.5	14.7
2002	0.6	15.3
2001	0.4	17.3
2000	0.4	15.1
1999	0.4	13.2
1998	0.3	15.5
1997	0.5	12.8
1996	0.3	12.7
1995	0.3	12
1994	0.2	9.9
1993	0	12.2
1992	0.1	8.6
1991	0.1	15.6
1990	0.4	15.7
1989	0.2	12.9
1988	0.3	10
1987	0.2	10.6
1986	0.3	12.8
1985	0.1	8.7
1984	0.1	12.6
1983	0.1	10.4
1982	0.1	13.5
1981	0.2	10.6
1980	0.1	9.6
1979	0.2	11.1
1978	0.2	10.4
1977	0.1	12.2
1976	0.1	9.7
1975	0	8.1
1974	0.1	10.3
1973	0.1	10.4
1972	0.1	9.5
1971	0.1	9.2
1970	0.1	8.8
1969	0.1	10.9
1968	0.1	7.9
1967	0.1	8.5
1966	0.1	10.9
1965	0	9.6
1964	0	7.7
1963	0	8.7
1962	0	9.7
1961	0.1	9.9
1960	0.1	11.3
1959	0.1	9.1
1958	0.1	12
1957	0.1	9.9
1956	0.1	8.2
1955	0.1	10.6
1954	0.1	11
1953	0.2	10.1
1952	0.1	11.6
1951	0.1	11
1950	0.1	8.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Cuba	Venezuela
2015	1.30.3–4.2	21.76.8–36.1
2016	1.40.4–3.2	19.86.8–34.8
2017	1.90.4–5.1	23.69.7–38
2018	1.70.4–5	21.19.6–41.3
2019	20.3–4	20.310.5–39.8
2020	1.70.3–4.9	23.18.1–39.7
2021	2.10.3–4.6	25.214.2–43.3
2022	2.10.7–4.5	27.914.8–51
2023	2.30.4–7.1	24.28.7–43.5
2024	2.91.1–6.4	29.413.8–46.7
2025	2.60.7–5.6	2613.1–48.4
2026	30.8–7	26.78.9–52.4
2027	2.70.7–8.7	28.68.3–48.8
2028	3.10.8–8	29.614.3–51.1
2029	2.50.8–8.2	30.914.4–55.4
2030	3.50.8–8.9	29.712.5–49.1
2031	3.30.7–9	32.413.6–53.4
2032	3.21.1–7.9	32.617.3–54.7
2033	3.30.8–9.6	31.514.8–50.6
2034	2.81.2–10	27.88.6–60.7
2035	3.11.1–9	33.113.9–56.1
2036	4.61.1–9.8	29.817.4–49.2
2037	3.91.4–11.9	37.221.6–58.8
2038	5.51.5–11.2	37.722.7–60.7
2039	4.91.7–11.6	37.119.7–59
2040	4.61.3–14.4	35.114.9–64
2041	4.22–11.5	38.520.3–64.5
2042	4.41.7–13.8	36.517.1–70.4
2043	4.81.8–13.3	34.517.9–59.9
2044	5.11.5–16.1	35.815.1–68
2045	5.11.6–17	37.220.9–68.1
2046	6.41.6–15.7	44.824.7–67.9
2047	7.32.1–18.5	40.221.1–68.1
2048	7.32.1–16	42.623.7–81.1
2049	7.41.7–18.9	46.525.9–75.4
2050	7.51.9–18.6	4221.2–76.8
2051	8.12.3–18.1	47.324.3–81.6
2052	7.72–18.1	49.130–86.1
2053	91.9–21.2	44.825.4–75.7
2054	8.12.7–20.6	47.226.8–83.9
2055	8.92.8–20.4	50.729–90.6
2056	8.11.9–20	45.725.7–87.8
2057	9.81.9–21.9	53.423.8–85.9
2058	8.72.5–25.2	49.821.9–94.8
2059	11.52.6–26.1	60.231.6–99.9
2060	123–27.4	63.126.1–99.9
2061	12.12.8–26.6	54.327.1–96
2062	10.91.9–27.5	53.425.4–100.8
2063	12.22.6–28.4	56.135.9–100.3
2064	12.42.5–26.8	58.433.5–93.3
2065	133–30.8	56.633.7–97.7
2066	12.22.7–30.7	57.131.4–103.2
2067	142.6–29.3	51.826.2–106.5
2068	12.52.9–35.1	62.531.7–104.3
2069	15.52.9–31.3	60.726.6–103
2070	12.72.8–31.2	55.530.7–103.6
2071	16.13.2–30.8	59.134.4–102.8
2072	153.6–36.6	66.734.9–113.5
2073	16.43.6–32.4	65.840–107.6
2074	13.64.8–31.3	60.529.6–106
2075	16.53.3–34.8	60.633.7–99.6
2076	17.23–32.8	64.634.9–102.7
2077	17.93.1–38.6	67.433–111.3
2078	17.43.7–38.8	64.238.1–107.6
2079	19.14.3–40.1	6632.1–106.5
2080	18.13–36	67.534.2–111.3
2081	20.53.7–38.3	62.433.1–117.5
2082	19.34.5–40.2	62.732.7–109.8
2083	18.64–43.5	67.732.1–121
2084	24.24.8–46.9	71.933.4–123.2
2085	21.55.9–45	73.237.7–129.4
2086	19.84.4–39.6	69.433.3–123.8
2087	24.34.2–49.7	71.529.7–123.6
2088	23.83.5–51.3	76.639.6–132.5
2089	224.5–44.8	73.338.7–121.7
2090	25.25.8–48.1	69.235.3–126.6
2091	24.15–45.6	74.137.6–131.9
2092	24.45–48	78.936.4–133.2
2093	22.84.6–48	74.238–128.9
2094	23.24.9–50.9	75.137.5–130.2
2095	26.74.9–50.8	8136.7–136
2096	23.35.5–46.7	72.838–127.2
2097	23.84.9–47.9	7638.3–125
2098	23.75.6–50	7935.9–139.5
2099	26.94.3–52.7	75.638.5–125.6
2100	225.2–53.1	77.541.9–134.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Cuba vs Venezuela: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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