Ecuador vs Peru: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 21.2 °C in Ecuador and 19.1 °C in Peru, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Ecuador, by 2.1 °C, or 1.11 times that in Peru.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

EcuadorPeruCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Ecuador has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ecuador at 23.4 °C and Peru at 21.9 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	Ecuador	Ecuador: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Peru	Peru: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	21.2	21.8	19.1	20.1
2024	21.8	21.8	20	20.2
2023	21.7	21.7	19.6	20
2022	20.9	21.8	18.9	20.1
2021	21	21.7	19	19.9
2020	21.3	21.6	19.3	19.8
2019	21.2	21.4	19	19.7
2018	20.9	21.5	18.7	19.8
2017	21.1	21.5	19	19.8
2016	21.5	21.4	19.4	19.7
2015	21.5	21.4	19.3	19.7
2014	20.9	21.4	18.9	19.7
2013	20.8	21.5	18.8	19.7
2012	20.8	21.5	18.8	19.7
2011	20.8	21.5	18.6	19.7
2010	21	21.4	19.1	19.6
2009	20.9	21.3	18.9	19.5
2008	20.7	21.3	18.6	19.6
2007	20.6	21.2	18.6	19.4
2006	20.8	21.2	18.7	19.4
2005	20.7	21.2	18.9	19.4
2004	20.4	21.3	18.6	19.5
2003	20	21.2	18.7	19.4
2002	20.1	21.2	18.7	19.4
2001	19.8	21.3	18.4	19.5
2000	19.7	21.1	18.4	19.3
1999	19.6	21	18.2	19.2
1998	20.6	21.1	19.3	19.3
1997	20.6	21.1	19	19.2
1996	19.8	20.9	18.3	19
1995	20.3	20.8	18.8	19
1994	20.3	20.8	18.4	19
1993	20.5	20.7	18.4	18.9
1992	20.6	20.6	18.6	18.7
1991	20.6	21	18.5	19.3
1990	20.4	21.1	18.3	19.3
1989	20	20.9	18.1	19.1
1988	20.3	20.8	18.5	19
1987	20.8	20.8	18.7	19
1986	20	20.9	18	19.1
1985	19.8	20.7	17.9	18.9
1984	20	20.7	18	18.9
1983	21	20.6	19.1	18.7
1982	20.8	20.8	18.4	19
1981	20.6	20.9	18.2	19
1980	20.8	20.7	18.4	18.9
1979	20.6	20.8	18.4	19
1978	20.6	20.7	18.1	18.9
1977	20.7	20.8	18.2	18.9
1976	20.1	20.6	17.9	18.8
1975	19.7	20.5	17.6	18.6
1974	19.5	20.7	17.7	18.8
1973	20.1	20.8	18.2	18.9
1972	20.6	20.6	18.5	18.8
1971	19.7	20.6	17.7	18.7
1970	20.2	20.6	18.2	18.8
1969	20.4	20.6	18.5	18.8
1968	19.9	20.6	17.8	18.7
1967	19.9	20.4	17.8	18.6
1966	20.2	20.5	18.3	18.7
1965	20.2	20.5	18.2	18.7
1964	20.1	20.5	18.1	18.6
1963	20.3	20.4	18.3	18.5
1962	19.8	20.6	18	18.8
1961	19.8	20.7	18.1	18.8
1960	20	20.8	18.1	18.9
1959	20.1	20.6	18.1	18.8
1958	20.3	20.8	18.3	19
1957	19.9	20.7	18.1	18.9
1956	19.1	20.5	17.1	18.7
1955	19.3	20.6	17.4	18.9
1954	19.3	20.6	17.4	18.8
1953	19.9	20.6	17.8	18.8
1952	19.6	20.7	17.7	18.9
1951	19.7	20.7	17.7	18.9
1950	19.3	20.7	17.4	18.8

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	Ecuador	Ecuador: CMIP6 historical run, model median	Peru	Peru: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	21.821.2–22.4	–	2019.4–20.7
2027	–	21.821.3–22.3	–	20.119.4–20.6
2028	–	21.921.3–22.4	–	20.119.5–20.7
2029	–	2221.4–22.4	–	20.319.7–20.8
2030	–	21.821.3–22.5	–	20.119.5–20.8
2031	–	2221.3–22.7	–	20.319.6–21
2032	–	2221.6–22.7	–	20.319.8–21.1
2033	–	21.921.3–22.4	–	20.219.6–20.8
2034	–	21.921.5–22.9	–	20.219.7–21.1
2035	–	2221.5–22.7	–	20.219.7–21
2036	–	21.921.4–22.6	–	20.319.8–20.9
2037	–	22.121.7–22.7	–	20.520–21
2038	–	22.221.8–22.6	–	20.620–21.1
2039	–	22.121.5–22.8	–	20.519.9–21.2
2040	–	22.121.5–23	–	20.419.9–21.4
2041	–	22.321.7–22.8	–	20.620.1–21.2
2042	–	22.221.6–23.1	–	20.519.8–21.5
2043	–	22.121.6–22.9	–	20.519.9–21.3
2044	–	22.121.6–23	–	20.519.8–21.4
2045	–	22.221.8–22.9	–	20.620.1–21.3
2046	–	22.521.8–23.1	–	20.920.1–21.5
2047	–	22.421.7–22.9	–	20.820.1–21.4
2048	–	22.521.8–23.4	–	20.920.1–21.7
2049	–	22.521.8–23	–	20.920.1–21.5
2050	–	22.421.8–23.2	–	20.820.2–21.6
2051	–	22.521.9–23.1	–	20.820.2–21.6
2052	–	22.522–23.2	–	20.920.3–21.6
2053	–	22.521.8–23.2	–	20.820.1–21.7
2054	–	22.521.9–23.4	–	20.920.2–21.9
2055	–	22.622.1–23.6	–	20.920.3–22
2056	–	22.621.8–23.4	–	2120.1–21.9
2057	–	22.621.8–23.3	–	2120.2–21.8
2058	–	22.621.9–23.7	–	2120.3–22.1
2059	–	22.822–23.6	–	21.220.4–22
2060	–	22.822.1–23.6	–	21.220.4–22.1
2061	–	22.721.9–23.6	–	21.220.2–22.1
2062	–	22.821.8–23.7	–	21.120.2–22.2
2063	–	22.821.9–23.5	–	21.220.3–22
2064	–	22.721.9–23.4	–	21.120.3–22
2065	–	22.922.2–23.6	–	21.320.5–22.1
2066	–	22.922.2–23.6	–	21.320.4–22
2067	–	22.821.9–23.7	–	21.120.2–22.1
2068	–	22.822.1–23.7	–	21.320.4–22.3
2069	–	22.821.9–23.7	–	21.220.4–22.2
2070	–	22.822–23.9	–	21.220.4–22.4
2071	–	2322.1–23.8	–	21.420.5–22.3
2072	–	2322.2–23.8	–	21.420.5–22.4
2073	–	2322.4–24	–	21.520.8–22.5
2074	–	22.922.1–23.7	–	21.420.4–22.4
2075	–	2322.1–23.7	–	21.520.3–22.3
2076	–	23.122.2–24	–	21.520.5–22.5
2077	–	23.122.3–23.8	–	21.620.6–22.6
2078	–	2322.3–24	–	21.520.7–22.5
2079	–	23.122.1–23.9	–	21.520.4–22.5
2080	–	2322.2–24	–	21.520.6–22.5
2081	–	23.122.3–24	–	21.520.7–22.5
2082	–	23.122.2–23.8	–	21.520.7–22.3
2083	–	23.222.2–24.3	–	21.520.6–22.8
2084	–	23.222.2–24.2	–	21.620.6–22.8
2085	–	23.322.4–24.2	–	21.820.8–22.9
2086	–	23.122.3–24	–	21.620.6–22.7
2087	–	23.122.3–24.2	–	21.520.7–22.8
2088	–	23.222.2–24.3	–	21.720.6–22.8
2089	–	23.222.3–24.1	–	21.720.7–22.8
2090	–	23.222.5–24.2	–	21.620.8–22.9
2091	–	23.322.3–24.3	–	21.720.7–23
2092	–	23.322.5–24.3	–	21.820.7–22.8
2093	–	23.222.4–24.4	–	21.620.8–23
2094	–	23.222.4–24.1	–	21.720.8–22.6
2095	–	23.422.3–24.3	–	2220.7–22.8
2096	–	23.122.4–24.4	–	21.720.8–23
2097	–	23.222.4–24.2	–	21.820.7–22.8
2098	–	23.322.3–24.6	–	21.820.7–23.3
2099	–	23.222.4–24.2	–	21.820.8–22.8
2100	–	23.422.4–24.3	–	21.920.8–22.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Ecuador vs Peru: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Ecuador vs Peru

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