France vs Kenya

France vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 13.5 °C, or 2.1 times that in France.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

France vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 13.5 °C, or 2.1 times that in France.
FranceKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 13.7 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.312.125.926
202412.211.926.126.2
202312.811.925.726
20221312.325.725.9
202111.412.125.825.9
202012.61225.525.9
201912.21225.925.8
201812.411.925.125.9
201711.811.625.925.8
201611.611.925.825.7
201512.111.725.825.8
201412.311.525.525.7
201310.911.725.225.6
201211.311.425.425.6
201112.211.625.525.7
201010.411.625.525.6
200911.511.625.825.6
200811.111.625.325.5
200711.511.525.425.4
200611.811.625.425.5
200511.211.525.625.5
200411.211.425.325.5
20031211.425.325.5
200211.711.225.125.5
200111.311.32525.6
200011.611.325.225.4
199911.511.12525.4
19981111.124.825.4
199711.71124.925.3
199610.41125.125.3
199511.410.925.125.2
199411.910.92525.1
199310.610.624.725
199210.910.624.824.9
199110.51124.825.2
199011.61124.625.3
198911.71124.425.2
198811.110.82525.2
198710.310.925.325.2
198610.310.524.625.2
19859.910.624.525
198410.210.824.725.1
198310.910.625.225
198211.210.624.625.1
198110.610.724.625.2
19809.810.82525.2
197910.110.624.225.1
197810.110.724.125.1
197710.610.424.325.1
197610.910.324.625
197510.510.624.425
197410.610.824.525
197310.310.625.125.1
19721010.524.725
197110.310.424.325
197010.410.324.524.9
196910.310.424.624.9
196810.410.423.724.9
196710.610.524.224.8
196610.810.524.724.9
19651010.424.324.9
196410.510.42424.7
19639.510.623.924.8
19621010.62425
196111.610.624.325
196010.710.524.425
195911.510.724.625
195810.710.624.425
195710.810.524.125
19569.510.724.225
195510.810.724.325
19549.910.52425
195310.510.523.125
195210.510.723.525
195110.310.623.525
195010.710.723.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.311.4–13.4–2625.4–26.7
2027–12.211.6–13.3–2625.4–26.6
2028–12.211.5–13.5–26.125.6–26.6
2029–12.211.4–13.1–26.225.6–26.7
2030–12.111.3–13–26.125.7–26.6
2031–12.111.3–13.2–26.225.8–26.7
2032–12.511.5–13.4–26.225.8–26.8
2033–12.311.3–13.3–26.325.7–26.8
2034–12.511.4–13.5–26.225.7–26.8
2035–12.411.4–13.5–26.325.7–26.8
2036–12.511.7–13.7–26.225.7–26.8
2037–12.411.5–13.2–26.325.8–26.9
2038–12.411.7–13.2–26.425.7–26.9
2039–12.411.5–13.2–26.425.8–26.8
2040–12.311.5–13.6–26.325.9–26.9
2041–12.311.7–13.3–26.525.8–27.2
2042–12.411.7–13.5–26.525.9–27.1
2043–12.511.3–13.7–26.325.8–27
2044–12.511.4–13.7–26.525.9–27
2045–12.612–13.5–26.526–27.2
2046–12.511.5–13.4–26.626–27.4
2047–12.811.7–13.5–26.726–27.3
2048–12.712.1–13.7–26.626.1–27.4
2049–12.611.9–14.2–26.826.1–27.4
2050–12.912.2–13.7–26.626.1–27.4
2051–12.811.5–13.9–26.826.1–27.4
2052–12.811.7–14–26.826.2–27.4
2053–12.911.7–13.8–26.726–27.3
2054–12.811.9–13.8–26.726–27.3
2055–12.911.9–14–26.826.1–27.4
2056–12.811.6–14.3–26.826–27.5
2057–12.911.8–14.3–26.826.3–27.6
2058–13.112.3–14.4–26.926.1–27.6
2059–1311.8–14.1–26.926.2–27.7
2060–13.212.3–13.8–27.126.1–27.7
2061–13.312.3–14.1–2726.2–27.7
2062–13.212–14.2–26.926.2–27.8
2063–13.412.2–14.2–2726.4–27.6
2064–12.812–13.9–27.126.2–27.6
2065–13.111.7–14.5–2726.4–27.8
2066–13.112.1–14.4–2726.4–27.7
2067–13.412–14.5–27.126.3–27.8
2068–13.212.4–14.6–27.126.3–27.8
2069–13.512.3–14.5–2726.3–27.9
2070–13.112.1–14.8–2726.3–27.8
2071–13.312–14.7–27.226.4–28
2072–13.312.5–14.6–27.226.5–27.8
2073–13.312.4–14.5–27.226.5–28
2074–13.412.2–14.6–27.126.4–28
2075–1312.1–14.4–27.126.3–28
2076–13.312.2–14.9–27.326.5–28.1
2077–13.112–14.4–27.326.5–28.1
2078–13.212.3–15–27.126.5–27.9
2079–13.212.1–14.8–27.326.5–28.1
2080–13.312.4–14.7–27.326.5–28.1
2081–13.312.3–14.8–27.326.6–28.1
2082–13.412.3–14.8–27.426.5–28.1
2083–13.412.4–14.5–27.326.6–28.4
2084–13.512.4–14.5–27.426.6–28.2
2085–13.712.6–14.5–27.326.6–28.3
2086–13.612.4–14.9–27.526.5–28.3
2087–13.712.7–15.2–27.426.6–28.3
2088–13.812.6–15.3–27.426.6–28.3
2089–13.712.5–14.8–27.426.7–28.1
2090–13.912.6–14.9–27.426.7–28.4
2091–13.612.6–15–27.626.6–28.4
2092–13.612.5–14.8–27.426.6–28.3
2093–13.412.5–14.7–27.526.7–28.3
2094–13.512.4–15.2–27.526.8–28.3
2095–13.512.3–15.1–27.626.7–28.4
2096–13.912.2–15–27.526.5–28.5
2097–13.412.5–15.1–27.526.5–28.3
2098–13.812.5–14.9–27.626.7–28.4
2099–13.912.5–14.9–27.526.5–28.6
2100–13.712.5–14.9–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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