France vs Kenya

France vs Kenya: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 3.1 nights in France and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 242.5 nights, or 80 times that in France.

nights a year · CMIP6

France vs Kenya: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 3.1 nights in France and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 242.5 nights, or 80 times that in France.
FranceKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 19.2 nights and Kenya at 277 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearFranceKenya
20143.1245.6
20133.1245.4
20122.9244.7
20112.7245
20103.9243.8
20092.5242.3
20082.4240.3
20072.1240.9
20062.6241.5
20052.9241.2
20042.7241.8
20032.6240.8
20021.8240.7
20012.3242
20001.8239.5
19992.1237.8
19981.5239.2
19971.6236.9
19961.5234.2
19951.3232.9
19941.5231.9
19931.1227.4
19921224.8
19911.8233.8
19901.9236.4
19891.2234.5
19881.2233.1
19871.3232.6
19860.9233
19850.9228.7
19841.1230.2
19831.1226.7
19821230.6
19811.1232.9
19801.2231.3
19790.9229.6
19781.3228.7
19770.9229.9
19760.8227.8
19750.9225.9
19741.2230.5
19730.9230.4
19720.9228.7
19711226
19700.9226.3
19691225.9
19680.9222.9
19670.8224
19660.8225.2
19650.7224.2
19641221.8
19630.9220.2
19621.1227.2
19610.9228.3
19601.1228.8
19591.2228.3
19581229.1
19571228
19561.2225.5
19551.1228.7
19541.3227.4
19531227.6
19521.3228.5
19511.1228.3
19501.2226.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearFranceKenya
20153.61.5–8.6246.9232.3–256.1
20164.11.5–9.9244.9230.1–255
20173.51.3–10.2248.1233.1–257.7
20183.91.7–10.8248.7237–257.4
20194.51.6–9247.1234.8–256.7
20204.11.6–10.5248.6233.2–259.2
20214.51.3–13.2249.5236.3–258.1
202251.5–12.5251.5239.7–259.5
20234.81.6–12.5251.8239–260.8
20245.51.8–11.2254.2239.1–263
20255.81.5–12.1251.5238.1–261.8
20266.22.1–12.7252.2237.2–263.3
20275.41.7–11.2252.8238.4–263.8
20285.91.7–13.3254.9241.9–264.2
20296.31.9–12.6256243.4–264.6
20305.82.1–11.9253.6240.6–263.1
20315.92–11.8256244.7–264.4
20325.92.7–12.9257243.8–267.1
203372.5–13.6256241.8–265.9
20347.92.4–17.3256.2241.2–267.9
20356.92.4–14.4256.7243.3–266.7
20367.32.6–14.6256.2242.4–266.7
20377.32.6–13.3258.7245.9–268.4
20386.53–15.1260.3244.5–268.9
20396.92.6–14.3259244.4–268
20407.72.3–16258.3246.2–269.8
20418.12.6–15.2260.7244.8–271.2
20426.93–16260.3246.5–272.7
20437.92.8–15.6259246.6–270.5
20447.93.1–16.6261.2248.8–270.9
20459.23.2–19.6261.8248.7–272.9
20468.93.2–17.6264.8249.6–275.3
20479.74–19.2264.4249.8–275.3
20489.13.4–17264.2252.3–274.9
204910.13.7–20.8265.2252.8–275.6
205010.94.8–18.9263.9249.8–275.1
20519.23.5–18.4265.4252.1–275.1
2052103.4–21.2266.3252.6–276.2
20538.73.8–18265.2251–275.4
20549.74.4–19.2265.2250.2–277.2
20559.93.9–17.2266.8251.6–277.6
2056114.3–21.8266.2251.2–277.8
205710.94.2–19.8266.8253–278
205813.85.1–25.7266.7251.5–277.9
205911.23.3–25269.8254.7–280.5
206012.86.1–22271.1253.9–280.7
206112.64.7–23.2267.5253.9–281.7
206212.36.2–22.4268.1254–281.2
2063125.2–24.9268.9255–280.1
2064125.3–21.6270254.1–279.8
206512.53.9–30.8269.4255.8–282.3
206611.55.3–22.1270.6258.1–281
206718.38.1–33.3270.7256.1–283
2068135.4–23.4270.2256–283
206915.65.7–25.5269.8256.1–283.3
207013.55.2–29.1270.1255.8–282.6
2071154.4–30.2271.9257.9–284.4
207215.57.4–26273.5260.3–283.8
207313.96–29.1273.1259.9–285.4
207412.84.3–27.3271.9257.5–285.4
207513.96.3–25.6271.1256.5–284.7
2076166.1–33.8274.1258.6–285.8
207713.25–29.8273.4259–286.6
207813.75.1–33.6273.1260–284.4
207912.95.3–28.4273.3258.7–286.6
208014.45.4–27.9275.5259.4–286.9
208115.15.8–29.8274.7259.8–285.6
208216.46.1–33.9274.8261.3–286.4
208315.97.9–32274259.6–289.3
208414.16.6–27.7276.8259–288.8
208516.57.3–30.2276.2261.5–289.1
208619.55.5–32.4275.1260–289.1
2087196.9–38276.2260.3–288.5
208818.47.7–35.2276.8261.6–289.7
20891910.6–29.3275.9260.3–288.8
209016.36.8–33.5275.3260.5–290.5
209119.77.6–32.3277.7260.4–290.9
209217.36.1–32.7276.2261.2–290.7
2093156.5–29.8276.9262–290.1
209418.68.5–32.8277262.8–288.9
209519.25.9–38.9278.4262.3–290.4
209619.37.6–35.5277.6260.5–292
209717.36.2–36.1277261–290.2
209818.16.9–36.3277.6262.3–291.5
209920.37.4–34.6277.9260.8–292.4
210019.27–36.7277261.8–290.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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