France vs United Arab Emirates: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 3.1 nights in France and 215.2 nights in United Arab Emirates, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in United Arab Emirates, by 212.1 nights, or 70 times that in France.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

FranceUnited Arab EmiratesCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

United Arab Emirates has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 19.2 nights and United Arab Emirates at 252 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	France	United Arab Emirates
2014	3.1	215.2
2013	3.1	215.5
2012	2.9	219.6
2011	2.7	218
2010	3.9	213.7
2009	2.5	212
2008	2.4	214.8
2007	2.1	215.8
2006	2.6	215.4
2005	2.9	212.2
2004	2.7	212.4
2003	2.6	213.4
2002	1.8	211.6
2001	2.3	211.6
2000	1.8	212.5
1999	2.1	211.7
1998	1.5	209.4
1997	1.6	210.8
1996	1.5	207.8
1995	1.3	206.6
1994	1.5	206.8
1993	1.1	204.2
1992	1	204.3
1991	1.8	206.7
1990	1.9	208.5
1989	1.2	205.9
1988	1.2	204
1987	1.3	203.6
1986	0.9	206.2
1985	0.9	204.1
1984	1.1	202.6
1983	1.1	200.4
1982	1	203.2
1981	1.1	205.1
1980	1.2	202.8
1979	0.9	203.2
1978	1.3	201.5
1977	0.9	202.2
1976	0.8	202.3
1975	0.9	199.3
1974	1.2	202
1973	0.9	200.9
1972	0.9	199.4
1971	1	197
1970	0.9	201.3
1969	1	199.8
1968	0.9	202.3
1967	0.8	197.7
1966	0.8	198
1965	0.7	200.5
1964	1	199.6
1963	0.9	197.9
1962	1.1	201.1
1961	0.9	200.6
1960	1.1	204.3
1959	1.2	202.6
1958	1	202.7
1957	1	203.2
1956	1.2	202.6
1955	1.1	201
1954	1.3	200.2
1953	1	200
1952	1.3	200.2
1951	1.1	198.9
1950	1.2	201.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	France	United Arab Emirates
2015	3.61.5–8.6	221.6206.4–232
2016	4.11.5–9.9	218.7207.6–229.7
2017	3.51.3–10.2	218.3203.9–232.7
2018	3.91.7–10.8	221.4209.2–237.6
2019	4.51.6–9	218.7202.8–232.2
2020	4.11.6–10.5	221.7206.9–233.5
2021	4.51.3–13.2	224.6210.5–236.3
2022	51.5–12.5	225.3206.9–235.7
2023	4.81.6–12.5	225209.1–236.4
2024	5.51.8–11.2	223.8205.2–240
2025	5.81.5–12.1	226.3210.1–245
2026	6.22.1–12.7	227.7214.2–244.9
2027	5.41.7–11.2	227.6208.2–241.5
2028	5.91.7–13.3	229.9210.9–241.3
2029	6.31.9–12.6	225.1211–240
2030	5.82.1–11.9	227.6216.2–240.9
2031	5.92–11.8	229.3215.4–238.4
2032	5.92.7–12.9	225.5211.9–240.5
2033	72.5–13.6	224.2211.4–241.3
2034	7.92.4–17.3	230.4213–245
2035	6.92.4–14.4	231.6214.2–246.5
2036	7.32.6–14.6	230217.2–247.1
2037	7.32.6–13.3	232.6220.2–244.5
2038	6.53–15.1	233.6213.5–248.4
2039	6.92.6–14.3	231.4218.1–245.6
2040	7.72.3–16	232.5214–246.4
2041	8.12.6–15.2	230.4214.9–244.7
2042	6.93–16	232.6213.3–249.6
2043	7.92.8–15.6	233.9220.3–250.1
2044	7.93.1–16.6	236.3223.3–250
2045	9.23.2–19.6	236217.2–252
2046	8.93.2–17.6	237.5219.3–255
2047	9.74–19.2	240.9222.1–253
2048	9.13.4–17	241.8226.1–256.9
2049	10.13.7–20.8	233.7215.7–249.4
2050	10.94.8–18.9	240.1226.8–250.9
2051	9.23.5–18.4	240.9227.2–254.5
2052	103.4–21.2	239.2228.3–256.1
2053	8.73.8–18	241.4221.7–257.4
2054	9.74.4–19.2	241.3223.5–256.1
2055	9.93.9–17.2	240.5223.3–259.3
2056	114.3–21.8	239.3220.5–258.9
2057	10.94.2–19.8	242.2226.6–260.2
2058	13.85.1–25.7	238.9224.7–255.4
2059	11.23.3–25	244.2226.6–262.6
2060	12.86.1–22	241227.4–255.2
2061	12.64.7–23.2	239.9227.9–253.1
2062	12.36.2–22.4	243.2227.3–264.4
2063	125.2–24.9	245.3229.1–264.6
2064	125.3–21.6	241.1225.2–258.6
2065	12.53.9–30.8	244.3225.3–260.5
2066	11.55.3–22.1	246230.8–261.7
2067	18.38.1–33.3	245.4223–265.8
2068	135.4–23.4	245.4232.6–266.7
2069	15.65.7–25.5	244.6227.4–262.2
2070	13.55.2–29.1	248.1225.9–266.5
2071	154.4–30.2	248.6231–266
2072	15.57.4–26	247.9230.2–267
2073	13.96–29.1	247.9227.6–261.8
2074	12.84.3–27.3	247.5227.3–270.8
2075	13.96.3–25.6	251.8234.3–269.8
2076	166.1–33.8	247.5228.7–266.1
2077	13.25–29.8	252.9233.3–269.1
2078	13.75.1–33.6	249.9234.1–264.7
2079	12.95.3–28.4	247.6227.4–265.8
2080	14.45.4–27.9	248232–267.9
2081	15.15.8–29.8	250.7231–267.6
2082	16.46.1–33.9	248.9235.3–266.8
2083	15.97.9–32	248.6234.2–273.1
2084	14.16.6–27.7	248.9228.9–268.2
2085	16.57.3–30.2	253236.8–270.7
2086	19.55.5–32.4	253.4234.9–273.3
2087	196.9–38	252.9236.9–274.1
2088	18.47.7–35.2	252.1231.1–276.1
2089	1910.6–29.3	253.4234.1–271.9
2090	16.36.8–33.5	251.9236.4–274.5
2091	19.77.6–32.3	254.8240.7–274.4
2092	17.36.1–32.7	254.6232.1–275.1
2093	156.5–29.8	250.9233.5–268.9
2094	18.68.5–32.8	251.6236.6–270.8
2095	19.25.9–38.9	252.4238.2–272
2096	19.37.6–35.5	254.6236–272.6
2097	17.36.2–36.1	251.4227.8–278
2098	18.16.9–36.3	257.8237.5–278.8
2099	20.37.4–34.6	252.5233.5–276.1
2100	19.27–36.7	252236.2–276

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time