Germany vs Portugal

Germany vs Portugal: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.8 nights in Germany and 8.9 nights in Portugal, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Portugal, by 8.1 nights, or 11 times that in Germany.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Germany vs Portugal: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 0.8 nights in Germany and 8.9 nights in Portugal, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Portugal, by 8.1 nights, or 11 times that in Germany.
GermanyPortugalCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Portugal has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Germany at 8.8 nights and Portugal at 32.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearGermanyPortugal
20140.88.9
20130.711
20120.98.4
20110.58.3
20100.98
20090.59.1
20080.28.3
20070.38.2
20060.39.9
20050.610.2
20040.78.6
20030.66.4
20020.28.4
20010.58.5
20000.27.1
19990.27.9
19980.16.1
19970.16
19960.25.9
19950.15.4
199405.3
199304.9
199204.6
19910.15.8
19900.15.9
19890.16.1
198806.7
198705.9
198604.4
19850.13.8
19840.13.9
198303.5
198203.9
198104.3
198004.6
197904.9
19780.15.4
197705.3
197603.7
197504.5
19740.15.1
197304.4
197203.6
197103.1
19700.13.5
196903.5
196804.1
196704.3
196603.6
196503.8
196404
196303.5
196204
196104.5
196004.3
19590.14.4
195804.3
195704.3
195604.8
195505.3
19540.13.8
195304.1
195205
195104.8
195005
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearGermanyPortugal
20150.50–49.43.5–20.8
20160.80–4.310.34.5–24.3
20170.70–5.110.53.4–20.4
20180.70–3.512.75–22.8
20191.20–511.84.8–22.7
20201.20–5.711.74.2–21
202110–612.45–23.7
20221.40–5.712.63.7–28.4
20231.10–5.712.85–26.8
20241.20–5.2146–25.2
20251.90–8.212.85–27
20261.90.1–6.513.14.9–24.5
20271.40–4.714.96.2–29.8
20281.50.1–5.514.24.7–28.8
202920.1–6.414.63.9–29.5
20301.60–6.113.75.7–28
20311.40–5.415.15.7–29.2
20321.50.1–7.615.77.3–29.6
20331.70–6.815.27.4–30.1
20342.10.2–8.317.97.1–33.7
20351.70.1–6.9166.4–28
20362.80.1–7.8186.9–29.3
20372.50–9.2186.4–31.9
20382.20.1–9.716.68.6–31.6
203930–8.9178.4–30.3
20402.30.1–7.114.64.6–29.1
20412.40.1–7.917.47.4–28.1
20422.90.4–8.916.57.6–30.1
20433.10.1–8.719.38.9–34
20443.10.2–10.117.98.7–29.9
204530.1–8.720.38–37.2
20463.10.5–10.919.210.1–34.4
20474.30.3–10.619.19–36.2
20483.70.2–12.920.39–33
20494.40.2–11.822.99.6–37.8
20503.10.6–9.323.612–45.8
20512.70.1–9.519.87–36.6
20523.60.2–11.520.98.5–40.7
20532.30.4–8.722.49.7–38.6
20543.50.4–10.321.19.4–36.7
20553.30.4–11.320.98.3–37.1
20564.50.7–14.321.810.3–39.6
205740.4–11.323.710.6–40.7
20585.80.7–15.523.79.8–40.6
20595.10.1–15.624.510.8–42.2
20604.40.6–12.326.513.1–42.5
20615.31–12.330.315.3–47.5
20625.51.6–14.224.212.1–44.8
20635.20.8–13.828.410–48.2
20644.10.5–12.224.710.8–48.4
20654.90.3–15.823.69–53.6
20665.30.7–11.828.113.3–45.9
20677.21.4–17.526.813.4–44.5
20683.90.9–11.325.810.8–49.6
20696.11.6–1528.212.4–48.6
20705.80.6–14.928.313.4–51.9
20716.30.6–16.426.912.2–50.6
20726.21.9–1329.714–51.9
20735.51.3–16.231.213–55.7
20745.50.5–16.728.213.4–48.8
20756.21.4–18.327.812.1–46.7
20767.41.1–20.128.813–55.8
20776.31.1–17.432.113.4–50.8
20786.50.7–21.430.212.7–52.8
20796.70.6–22.727.612.5–48.2
20806.51.2–14.931.214.9–54
20816.60.9–18.530.314.6–52.3
20827.91.4–22.530.912.8–46.6
20837.61.3–16.833.215.1–53.3
20845.91.1–15.931.616.5–50.1
20856.50.9–17.632.215.9–57.9
20867.90.8–2340.312.5–61.2
20879.91.1–24.136.814.6–63.1
20888.92–18.435.514.3–56.2
20898.31.9–19.232.814–53.5
20906.20.8–24.134.515.1–64.4
20919.31.3–23.535.316–57.3
20928.61.7–19.23414.6–59.9
20936.20.8–18.233.416.6–51.6
20949.32.4–20.435.313.2–59.6
20959.51.1–2434.215–59.2
20968.10.2–21.437.917–57.7
20976.40.5–20.135.615.2–59.9
20989.31.4–22.132.714.1–62.8
20998.11.4–20.837.719.3–59.8
21008.81.9–21.132.716.6–60.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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