India vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 80.6 days in India and 48.1 days in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in India, by 32.5 days, or 1.67 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

IndiaKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

India has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts India at 111.9 days and Kenya at 103.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	India	Kenya
2014	80.6	48.1
2013	79.2	46.4
2012	81.3	45.5
2011	79.9	46.4
2010	80.8	45.5
2009	78.4	40.9
2008	77	40.8
2007	79	39.2
2006	76.2	42
2005	79.9	42.9
2004	80.1	41.8
2003	76.9	41
2002	79.2	42.7
2001	80.1	43.4
2000	76.6	39.6
1999	77.1	40.9
1998	76.9	39.7
1997	75.4	38.8
1996	72.1	35.3
1995	75.4	34.3
1994	76.3	32.9
1993	72.3	28.5
1992	68.7	28.2
1991	78.1	35.1
1990	76.7	34.1
1989	75.5	34.5
1988	73.9	33.9
1987	75.3	35.9
1986	76.8	35.5
1985	73	31.2
1984	75.9	31
1983	74.1	30.2
1982	76.1	33.9
1981	76.3	34.6
1980	75.3	36.4
1979	74.4	34.4
1978	74.4	31.8
1977	74.6	30.5
1976	76	28.6
1975	71	29.7
1974	75.8	30.4
1973	77.9	29.1
1972	71.1	28.4
1971	74.1	28.1
1970	73.7	27
1969	73.3	29
1968	72.2	25.7
1967	71.3	26.9
1966	75.3	25.8
1965	73.7	24.4
1964	68.9	20.8
1963	70.4	25.7
1962	74.2	28.8
1961	75.4	30.9
1960	75.4	29.5
1959	77.9	30.4
1958	74.8	28
1957	75.5	30.7
1956	75.6	28.9
1955	74.8	30.2
1954	75.3	30
1953	75.2	31
1952	76	29.8
1951	76.3	30.1
1950	76.5	30.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	India	Kenya
2015	81.664.7–96	50.131.1–66.1
2016	8063.1–96.1	49.230.5–67.3
2017	79.461.7–95.3	50.228.4–68.7
2018	82.461.5–95.7	5033.4–67.3
2019	79.160.2–95.2	49.431.2–67.4
2020	82.262.4–99	53.533.4–75.7
2021	82.167.7–96.4	52.434.3–69.5
2022	83.962.8–100.3	51.825–70.5
2023	83.164–99.3	55.535.3–80
2024	84.766.4–100.3	60.738.5–78.7
2025	81.662.4–97.1	55.236.8–74.4
2026	84.866.1–101.3	55.435.2–86.2
2027	83.563.7–102	5634.2–77.5
2028	82.862.9–99.9	56.731.5–80.6
2029	89.566–105.9	59.535.1–79.7
2030	84.265.7–100.2	57.940.5–79.9
2031	85.466.7–103.4	64.244.3–83.9
2032	85.665.5–105.3	58.839.6–81.3
2033	83.865.8–99.8	63.639.2–87.1
2034	85.467.4–104.8	62.339.2–84.6
2035	85.766.6–105.3	61.636.8–84.1
2036	84.565.5–101.8	59.840.3–84.7
2037	89.772.2–107.5	63.740.4–91.7
2038	90.269.1–107.1	63.235.1–89.5
2039	87.168.5–107.4	65.540.6–88.4
2040	87.566.6–106	64.144.3–84.7
2041	89.171.2–107.8	69.847.4–98.8
2042	95.475.7–112.9	71.147–95.3
2043	91.270.1–111.1	66.640.7–91.1
2044	90.471.6–110.9	69.243–91.5
2045	91.772–108.5	7049.2–100.3
2046	95.469.1–117	76.643.2–107.2
2047	94.272.6–113.5	74.249.2–103.8
2048	97.673.2–120.5	72.847.4–102.8
2049	95.173.8–117.5	78.548.6–107.8
2050	94.474.5–117	7250–107.2
2051	94.775.8–114.7	79.352.5–111
2052	96.876.1–116.5	79.550.7–104.4
2053	94.673.9–116.7	72.944.3–104.5
2054	96.574.3–117	73.142.1–99.6
2055	99.175.7–118	80.450.6–105.6
2056	99.173.7–118.2	76.247–111.2
2057	100.371.9–123.9	81.352.9–109.1
2058	97.775.1–121.5	78.950–112.4
2059	102.380.5–127.4	83.351.3–115.7
2060	10380.3–124.4	85.749.3–116.5
2061	100.978.4–122.6	85.354.7–115.1
2062	100.175.4–126.5	85.355.1–116.5
2063	100.678.3–122.1	84.254.2–110.1
2064	10081–123.3	87.448.2–113.7
2065	103.580.5–128.2	86.855.1–123.7
2066	100.780.7–124.6	83.857–115
2067	99.678.4–126	8955.6–119.5
2068	102.780.1–130.1	87.751.4–117.1
2069	10477.5–128.1	8653.8–118.3
2070	101.179.7–125.6	86.150.8–121
2071	105.581.4–132.1	91.757.9–123.6
2072	104.384.4–128.2	91.461.3–123.1
2073	108.485.4–130	91.458.5–127.3
2074	105.182.9–126.8	87.855.2–124.3
2075	102.578.8–126	89.853.7–127.4
2076	105.582.2–134.6	97.664.7–134.6
2077	107.484.1–132.6	97.755.7–131.4
2078	107.382.8–127.7	90.260.9–124.7
2079	105.379.7–127.2	9463.2–125.8
2080	109.784.5–135.9	96.157.8–132.4
2081	108.986.2–134.4	99.766.8–136.7
2082	105.783.4–133.6	99.458.5–131.7
2083	110.287.8–135.8	100.263.9–137.5
2084	111.582.3–138.1	9967.9–133.8
2085	112.381.2–143.6	99.259.2–137.4
2086	107.882.8–141.1	104.457.4–142.5
2087	107.980.1–134	99.762.4–134.4
2088	107.984.4–143.1	98.761–135.2
2089	107.981.7–137.3	97.966–126.9
2090	108.883.9–136.6	101.468.5–136
2091	113.486.9–144	104.465.5–141.4
2092	113.587.1–142.8	99.759.8–137.8
2093	108.482.7–144.8	105.971.9–140.7
2094	111.386.8–139.5	107.369.1–137.3
2095	114.186.4–143.6	106.367.5–142.4
2096	10880.4–140.3	105.461.5–142.2
2097	110.385–137.8	105.161.4–139.2
2098	113.687.7–141.1	104.861.9–140.8
2099	112.585.3–137.7	103.362.5–145.4
2100	111.986.8–138.7	103.757.3–139.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

India vs Kenya: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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