India vs Kenya

India vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 24.3 °C in India and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 1.6 °C, or 1.07 times that in India.

°C · ERA5

India vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 24.3 °C in India and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 1.6 °C, or 1.07 times that in India.
IndiaKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher since 1980, when it overtook India.
  • In 2025, India ranked 106 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts India at 26.6 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearIndiaIndia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202524.324.825.926
202424.824.926.126.2
202324.524.925.726
202224.524.825.725.9
202124.324.825.825.9
202024.224.725.525.9
201924.524.725.925.8
201824.524.725.125.9
201724.724.725.925.8
201624.924.625.825.7
201524.524.725.825.8
201424.224.625.525.7
20132424.625.225.6
201224.224.725.425.6
201124.124.625.525.7
201024.724.625.525.6
200924.824.525.825.6
20082424.425.325.5
200724.324.425.425.4
200624.424.425.425.5
200524.124.525.625.5
200424.224.525.325.5
200324.224.425.325.5
200224.424.525.125.5
200124.124.52525.6
20002424.425.225.4
199924.124.42525.4
199824.224.324.825.4
199723.624.324.925.3
19962424.225.125.3
199524.124.325.125.2
199423.924.12525.1
1993242424.725
199223.823.924.824.9
199123.924.324.825.2
199023.724.324.625.3
198923.724.324.425.2
198824.224.22525.2
198724.324.225.325.2
198623.924.224.625.2
198524.124.124.525
198423.824.124.725.1
198323.62425.225
198223.824.124.625.1
198123.824.224.625.2
198024.224.12525.2
197924.324.124.225.1
197823.72424.125.1
197723.924.124.325.1
197623.924.124.625
197523.523.924.425
197423.924.124.525
197324.124.225.125.1
197224.12424.725
197123.424.124.325
197023.82424.524.9
196924.32424.624.9
196823.62423.724.9
196723.82424.224.8
196623.82424.724.9
196523.82424.324.9
196423.823.92424.7
196323.823.923.924.8
196223.424.12425
196123.324.124.325
19602424.124.425
195923.924.224.625
195824.224.124.425
195723.824.124.125
195623.524.124.225
195523.624.124.325
195423.724.12425
195322.624.123.125
19522324.123.525
195122.924.223.525
195022.824.223.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearIndiaIndia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–24.924–25.6–2625.4–26.7
2027–24.924.1–25.7–2625.4–26.6
2028–24.824.3–25.5–26.125.6–26.6
2029–25.124.4–25.8–26.225.6–26.7
2030–24.924.2–25.7–26.125.7–26.6
2031–2524.3–25.7–26.225.8–26.7
2032–25.124.3–25.8–26.225.8–26.8
2033–2524.3–25.6–26.325.7–26.8
2034–25.124.4–25.9–26.225.7–26.8
2035–25.124.4–25.9–26.325.7–26.8
2036–25.124.4–25.7–26.225.7–26.8
2037–25.324.6–26–26.325.8–26.9
2038–25.324.5–26–26.425.7–26.9
2039–25.224.5–25.9–26.425.8–26.8
2040–25.124.4–26.1–26.325.9–26.9
2041–25.324.7–26–26.525.8–27.2
2042–25.524.7–26.2–26.525.9–27.1
2043–25.324.6–26.1–26.325.8–27
2044–25.424.7–26.2–26.525.9–27
2045–25.424.7–26.1–26.526–27.2
2046–25.624.6–26.5–26.626–27.4
2047–25.624.7–26.4–26.726–27.3
2048–25.724.8–26.6–26.626.1–27.4
2049–25.624.9–26.6–26.826.1–27.4
2050–25.724.9–26.7–26.626.1–27.4
2051–25.725–26.6–26.826.1–27.4
2052–25.724.9–26.5–26.826.2–27.4
2053–25.725–26.6–26.726–27.3
2054–25.824.9–26.7–26.726–27.3
2055–25.825.1–26.7–26.826.1–27.4
2056–25.925–26.8–26.826–27.5
2057–25.924.9–26.8–26.826.3–27.6
2058–25.825.1–26.9–26.926.1–27.6
2059–2625.2–27–26.926.2–27.7
2060–26.125.3–26.8–27.126.1–27.7
2061–2625.1–26.8–2726.2–27.7
2062–25.925.1–27.2–26.926.2–27.8
2063–25.925.2–27–2726.4–27.6
2064–2625.2–27–27.126.2–27.6
2065–26.125.3–27.1–2726.4–27.8
2066–26.125.4–27–2726.4–27.7
2067–25.925.2–27.2–27.126.3–27.8
2068–26.125.2–27.3–27.126.3–27.8
2069–26.225.3–27.2–2726.3–27.9
2070–2625.3–27.1–2726.3–27.8
2071–26.125.3–27.3–27.226.4–28
2072–26.225.4–27.1–27.226.5–27.8
2073–26.325.5–27.1–27.226.5–28
2074–26.225.5–27.2–27.126.4–28
2075–26.225.4–27.1–27.126.3–28
2076–26.225.4–27.4–27.326.5–28.1
2077–26.325.5–27.4–27.326.5–28.1
2078–26.325.5–27.3–27.126.5–27.9
2079–26.325.4–27.2–27.326.5–28.1
2080–26.425.5–27.4–27.326.5–28.1
2081–26.425.7–27.5–27.326.6–28.1
2082–26.325.6–27.5–27.426.5–28.1
2083–26.525.7–27.6–27.326.6–28.4
2084–26.525.5–27.6–27.426.6–28.2
2085–26.525.5–27.8–27.326.6–28.3
2086–26.425.4–27.7–27.526.5–28.3
2087–26.425.4–27.6–27.426.6–28.3
2088–26.425.5–27.8–27.426.6–28.3
2089–26.425.6–27.6–27.426.7–28.1
2090–26.525.7–27.6–27.426.7–28.4
2091–26.625.7–27.8–27.626.6–28.4
2092–26.625.7–27.7–27.426.6–28.3
2093–26.525.6–27.8–27.526.7–28.3
2094–26.625.7–27.7–27.526.8–28.3
2095–26.825.7–27.7–27.626.7–28.4
2096–26.525.6–27.8–27.526.5–28.5
2097–26.525.6–27.6–27.526.5–28.3
2098–26.725.7–27.7–27.626.7–28.4
2099–26.725.7–27.8–27.526.5–28.6
2100–26.625.8–27.7–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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