India vs Sri Lanka

India vs Sri Lanka: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 24.3 °C in India and 27 °C in Sri Lanka, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Sri Lanka, by 2.7 °C, or 1.11 times that in India.

°C · ERA5

India vs Sri Lanka: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 24.3 °C in India and 27 °C in Sri Lanka, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Sri Lanka, by 2.7 °C, or 1.11 times that in India.
IndiaSri LankaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Sri Lanka has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts India at 26.6 °C and Sri Lanka at 28.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearIndiaIndia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianSri LankaSri Lanka: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202524.324.82727.4
202424.824.927.327.4
202324.524.926.927.4
202224.524.826.527.4
202124.324.826.627.3
202024.224.72727.3
201924.524.726.927.2
201824.524.726.427.2
201724.724.726.827.2
201624.924.627.227.1
201524.524.726.727.2
201424.224.626.627.1
20132424.626.627.1
201224.224.726.727.1
201124.124.626.527.1
201024.724.626.727.1
200924.824.526.827.1
20082424.426.427
200724.324.426.527
200624.424.426.627
200524.124.526.827
200424.224.526.627
200324.224.426.627
200224.424.526.627
200124.124.526.527
20002424.426.226.9
199924.124.426.226.8
199824.224.327.226.9
199723.624.326.626.8
19962424.226.426.8
199524.124.326.526.8
199423.924.126.226.7
1993242426.426.6
199223.823.926.326.5
199123.924.326.626.8
199023.724.326.626.9
198923.724.326.326.8
198824.224.226.526.7
198724.324.226.726.7
198623.924.226.526.8
198524.124.126.326.6
198423.824.12626.7
198323.6242726.6
198223.824.126.526.7
198123.824.226.326.7
198024.224.126.626.6
197924.324.126.726.7
197823.72426.226.6
197723.924.126.126.7
197623.924.126.326.6
197523.523.925.926.5
197423.924.12626.6
197324.124.226.526.7
197224.12426.226.6
197123.424.125.826.6
197023.82426.126.5
196924.32426.226.6
196823.62425.826.5
196723.82425.826.5
196623.82425.926.6
196523.82425.626.5
196423.823.925.826.4
196323.823.925.726.4
196223.424.125.726.7
196123.324.125.726.7
19602424.125.726.7
195923.924.226.226.6
195824.224.12626.7
195723.824.125.926.6
195623.524.125.426.6
195523.624.125.226.6
195423.724.125.426.6
195322.624.126.426.6
19522324.126.526.6
195122.924.226.226.6
195022.824.226.226.6
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearIndiaIndia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianSri LankaSri Lanka: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–24.924–25.6–27.426.9–27.9
2027–24.924.1–25.7–27.427.1–27.8
2028–24.824.3–25.5–27.527.1–27.8
2029–25.124.4–25.8–27.627.3–27.8
2030–24.924.2–25.7–27.527.2–27.9
2031–2524.3–25.7–27.527.1–28
2032–25.124.3–25.8–27.527.3–28
2033–2524.3–25.6–27.627.2–27.9
2034–25.124.4–25.9–27.627.2–28
2035–25.124.4–25.9–27.627.2–28.1
2036–25.124.4–25.7–27.627.2–28
2037–25.324.6–26–27.727.2–28.1
2038–25.324.5–26–27.827.4–28.1
2039–25.224.5–25.9–27.827.3–28.1
2040–25.124.4–26.1–27.727.3–28.2
2041–25.324.7–26–27.827.4–28.2
2042–25.524.7–26.2–27.827.4–28.3
2043–25.324.6–26.1–27.827.3–28.2
2044–25.424.7–26.2–27.827.4–28.3
2045–25.424.7–26.1–27.827.5–28.3
2046–25.624.6–26.5–27.927.5–28.4
2047–25.624.7–26.4–27.927.6–28.4
2048–25.724.8–26.6–2827.6–28.5
2049–25.624.9–26.6–2827.7–28.6
2050–25.724.9–26.7–27.927.5–28.5
2051–25.725–26.6–28.127.5–28.7
2052–25.724.9–26.5–28.127.6–28.6
2053–25.725–26.6–2827.6–28.6
2054–25.824.9–26.7–28.127.6–28.6
2055–25.825.1–26.7–28.127.7–28.6
2056–25.925–26.8–28.127.6–28.7
2057–25.924.9–26.8–28.327.7–28.7
2058–25.825.1–26.9–28.227.6–28.8
2059–2625.2–27–28.227.8–28.8
2060–26.125.3–26.8–28.427.7–28.8
2061–2625.1–26.8–28.227.7–28.8
2062–25.925.1–27.2–28.227.6–29
2063–25.925.2–27–28.327.8–28.9
2064–2625.2–27–28.327.7–28.8
2065–26.125.3–27.1–28.327.8–28.9
2066–26.125.4–27–28.327.8–28.9
2067–25.925.2–27.2–28.327.7–28.9
2068–26.125.2–27.3–28.427.8–28.9
2069–26.225.3–27.2–28.427.9–29
2070–2625.3–27.1–28.427.7–29
2071–26.125.3–27.3–28.427.8–29.1
2072–26.225.4–27.1–28.428–29
2073–26.325.5–27.1–28.528–29.1
2074–26.225.5–27.2–28.327.9–29.2
2075–26.225.4–27.1–28.427.8–29.1
2076–26.225.4–27.4–28.427.9–29.2
2077–26.325.5–27.4–28.527.8–29.3
2078–26.325.5–27.3–28.428–29.2
2079–26.325.4–27.2–28.527.9–29.1
2080–26.425.5–27.4–28.527.9–29.2
2081–26.425.7–27.5–28.528–29.2
2082–26.325.6–27.5–28.528–29.1
2083–26.525.7–27.6–28.528–29.3
2084–26.525.5–27.6–28.628–29.4
2085–26.525.5–27.8–28.628–29.3
2086–26.425.4–27.7–28.627.9–29.3
2087–26.425.4–27.6–28.528.1–29.4
2088–26.425.5–27.8–28.628–29.3
2089–26.425.6–27.6–28.628–29.2
2090–26.525.7–27.6–28.528.1–29.4
2091–26.625.7–27.8–28.728–29.4
2092–26.625.7–27.7–28.728.1–29.3
2093–26.525.6–27.8–28.528–29.5
2094–26.625.7–27.7–28.928–29.3
2095–26.825.7–27.7–28.828–29.4
2096–26.525.6–27.8–28.728–29.5
2097–26.525.6–27.6–28.828–29.3
2098–26.725.7–27.7–28.728.1–29.5
2099–26.725.7–27.8–28.628–29.4
2100–26.625.8–27.7–28.728.1–29.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

India vs Sri Lanka

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