Kenya vs Madagascar: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: 1.97% a year in Kenya and 2.45% a year in Madagascar, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Madagascar, by 0.48 percentage points, or 1.24 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

KenyaMadagascarUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Madagascar has been higher since 2010, when it overtook Kenya.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Kenya at -0.04% a year and Madagascar at 0.44% a year in 2100.
The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

Year	Kenya	Madagascar	World
2023	1.97	2.45	0.87
2022	2	2.47	0.88
2021	1.85	2.49	0.8
2020	1.95	2.54	0.9
2019	1.97	2.6	1.03
2018	1.96	2.61	1.07
2017	2.11	2.6	1.13
2016	2.24	2.61	1.17
2015	2.17	2.62	1.18
2014	2.28	2.66	1.22
2013	2.4	2.7	1.23
2012	2.55	2.74	1.27
2011	2.67	2.8	1.26
2010	2.83	2.88	1.27
2009	2.97	2.94	1.28
2008	3.07	2.94	1.28
2007	2.99	2.93	1.28
2006	3.06	2.94	1.28
2005	3.03	2.94	1.27
2004	3.11	2.92	1.28
2003	3.1	2.91	1.29
2002	3.07	2.95	1.3
2001	3.22	3.03	1.33
2000	3.05	3.13	1.35
1999	2.98	3.22	1.35
1998	2.79	3.28	1.37
1997	2.73	3.27	1.39
1996	2.74	3.24	1.42
1995	2.77	3.19	1.45
1994	2.91	3.13	1.47
1993	2.9	3.08	1.52
1992	3.04	3.02	1.57
1991	3.09	3	1.63
1990	3.4	2.98	1.76
1989	3.49	2.93	1.78
1988	3.53	2.89	1.79
1987	3.52	2.86	1.84
1986	3.53	2.84	1.83
1985	3.63	2.9	1.8
1984	3.65	2.91	1.8
1983	3.7	2.93	1.78
1982	3.6	2.96	1.86
1981	3.55	2.96	1.82
1980	3.6	3.01	1.8
1979	3.49	3.04	1.79
1978	3.44	3.04	1.74
1977	3.44	3.03	1.75
1976	3.19	3.03	1.78
1975	3.3	3.02	1.8
1974	3.34	3.01	1.88
1973	3.43	2.99	1.94
1972	3.48	2.96	1.97
1971	3.48	2.93	1.97
1970	3.78	2.88	2.06
1969	3.92	2.81	2.06
1968	3.93	2.76	2.09
1967	3.98	2.7	2
1966	3.96	2.65	2.04
1965	4.02	2.61	2.09
1964	3.95	2.59	2.16
1963	3.91	2.58	2.28
1962	3.86	2.59	2.11
1961	3.79	2.6	1.67
1960	3.67	2.62	1.58
1959	3.54	2.62	1.73
1958	3.25	2.6	2
1957	3.27	2.58	2.07
1956	3.08	2.57	1.98
1955	2.9	2.55	2.01
1954	2.73	2.54	1.99
1953	2.52	2.54	1.9
1952	2.42	2.53	1.94
1951	2.27	2.52	1.75
1950	1.99	2.53	1.74

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Kenya	Madagascar	World
2024	1.941.5–2.41	2.421.86–3.01	0.86
2025	1.921.39–2.45	2.381.78–3.01	0.84
2026	1.891.28–2.5	2.341.68–3.01	0.83
2027	1.861.25–2.52	2.31.6–2.99	0.81
2028	1.831.16–2.51	2.261.53–2.95	0.8
2029	1.811.09–2.53	2.221.47–2.95	0.78
2030	1.781.06–2.48	2.181.43–2.94	0.76
2031	1.761–2.48	2.151.36–2.9	0.75
2032	1.720.91–2.49	2.111.3–2.87	0.73
2033	1.690.88–2.51	2.071.25–2.85	0.72
2034	1.650.82–2.48	2.031.22–2.84	0.7
2035	1.610.8–2.45	21.19–2.79	0.69
2036	1.570.73–2.37	1.971.14–2.75	0.67
2037	1.530.69–2.35	1.941.09–2.71	0.65
2038	1.50.65–2.34	1.911.06–2.7	0.64
2039	1.450.61–2.29	1.881.03–2.68	0.62
2040	1.410.56–2.25	1.850.99–2.68	0.61
2041	1.370.52–2.22	1.820.95–2.64	0.59
2042	1.330.49–2.18	1.790.92–2.65	0.57
2043	1.280.44–2.17	1.760.9–2.64	0.56
2044	1.240.39–2.11	1.730.84–2.67	0.54
2045	1.190.33–2.05	1.70.82–2.65	0.52
2046	1.160.28–2.05	1.680.8–2.66	0.5
2047	1.120.3–2.02	1.650.79–2.66	0.48
2048	1.090.26–2.01	1.620.75–2.66	0.46
2049	1.060.22–2	1.590.72–2.67	0.44
2050	1.040.18–2.02	1.570.67–2.64	0.42
2051	1.010.17–2.03	1.540.62–2.64	0.4
2052	0.980.11–1.99	1.510.6–2.59	0.38
2053	0.950.08–1.99	1.480.53–2.57	0.36
2054	0.930.03–1.99	1.450.49–2.56	0.34
2055	0.910.01–1.95	1.430.47–2.55	0.33
2056	0.88-0.03–1.95	1.40.42–2.54	0.31
2057	0.87-0.06–1.98	1.370.39–2.52	0.3
2058	0.85-0.08–1.96	1.350.36–2.51	0.28
2059	0.82-0.11–1.97	1.320.32–2.5	0.27
2060	0.8-0.14–1.93	1.30.3–2.49	0.25
2061	0.78-0.22–1.97	1.270.27–2.5	0.24
2062	0.75-0.23–1.95	1.240.25–2.48	0.23
2063	0.72-0.26–1.9	1.220.21–2.5	0.22
2064	0.69-0.29–1.88	1.190.19–2.46	0.21
2065	0.66-0.34–1.85	1.160.13–2.49	0.2
2066	0.63-0.4–1.8	1.140.12–2.45	0.19
2067	0.6-0.48–1.79	1.110.09–2.44	0.18
2068	0.58-0.52–1.8	1.090.07–2.39	0.17
2069	0.55-0.49–1.71	1.060.03–2.38	0.16
2070	0.52-0.53–1.73	1.03-0.01–2.39	0.15
2071	0.49-0.59–1.66	1.01-0.03–2.37	0.14
2072	0.47-0.61–1.7	0.99-0.06–2.39	0.13
2073	0.43-0.67–1.65	0.96-0.12–2.35	0.12
2074	0.41-0.66–1.62	0.94-0.15–2.34	0.1
2075	0.39-0.7–1.63	0.91-0.16–2.33	0.09
2076	0.37-0.7–1.58	0.89-0.2–2.33	0.08
2077	0.34-0.78–1.56	0.87-0.21–2.34	0.07
2078	0.32-0.83–1.56	0.84-0.27–2.28	0.06
2079	0.3-0.82–1.51	0.82-0.32–2.28	0.05
2080	0.29-0.82–1.52	0.8-0.34–2.3	0.04
2081	0.26-0.82–1.52	0.78-0.37–2.26	0.03
2082	0.24-0.87–1.48	0.75-0.42–2.23	0.02
2083	0.23-0.89–1.49	0.74-0.41–2.27	0.01
2084	0.21-0.93–1.45	0.72-0.44–2.27	-0
2085	0.19-0.97–1.43	0.7-0.47–2.25	-0.01
2086	0.18-1.03–1.45	0.68-0.51–2.24	-0.02
2087	0.16-1–1.5	0.67-0.56–2.2	-0.03
2088	0.15-1.05–1.45	0.65-0.59–2.21	-0.04
2089	0.14-1.11–1.44	0.63-0.66–2.18	-0.05
2090	0.12-1.11–1.43	0.61-0.62–2.19	-0.05
2091	0.1-1.19–1.44	0.59-0.66–2.13	-0.06
2092	0.09-1.21–1.46	0.58-0.75–2.15	-0.07
2093	0.07-1.26–1.45	0.56-0.73–2.11	-0.07
2094	0.05-1.29–1.4	0.54-0.78–2.07	-0.08
2095	0.04-1.29–1.38	0.52-0.79–2.06	-0.09
2096	0.03-1.33–1.4	0.51-0.82–2.06	-0.1
2097	0.01-1.35–1.39	0.49-0.83–2.07	-0.11
2098	0-1.38–1.34	0.47-0.87–2.05	-0.11
2099	-0.02-1.4–1.32	0.45-0.91–2.06	-0.12
2100	-0.04-1.43–1.29	0.44-0.94–2.03	-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Kenya vs Madagascar: Population growth

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

Kenya vs Madagascar

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment