Kenya vs Madagascar

Kenya vs Madagascar: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 25.9 °C in Kenya and 23.1 °C in Madagascar, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 2.7 °C, or 1.12 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Kenya vs Madagascar: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 25.9 °C in Kenya and 23.1 °C in Madagascar, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 2.7 °C, or 1.12 times that in Madagascar.
KenyaMadagascarCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Kenya ranked 80 and Madagascar ranked 126 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Kenya at 27.4 °C and Madagascar at 24.9 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMadagascarMadagascar: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202525.92623.123.4
202426.126.223.423.5
202325.72623.223.5
202225.725.922.623.5
202125.825.92323.3
202025.525.92323.3
201925.925.823.323.3
201825.125.922.823.3
201725.925.823.123.3
201625.825.722.823.1
201525.825.822.823.3
201425.525.722.823.1
201325.225.622.723.1
201225.425.622.723.2
201125.525.722.823.1
201025.525.62323
200925.825.622.823
200825.325.522.423
200725.425.422.723
200625.425.522.823
200525.625.522.622.9
200425.325.522.623
200325.325.522.623
200225.125.522.622.9
20012525.622.622.9
200025.225.422.422.8
19992525.422.322.8
199824.825.422.722.8
199724.925.322.422.8
199625.125.322.322.7
199525.125.222.422.7
19942525.122.222.6
199324.72522.122.5
199224.824.922.122.5
199124.825.222.322.7
199024.625.322.422.8
198924.425.222.222.7
19882525.222.522.7
198725.325.222.522.6
198624.625.221.922.7
198524.52521.822.6
198424.725.121.822.5
198325.22522.522.5
198224.625.122.122.6
198124.625.222.122.7
19802525.222.222.6
197924.225.122.222.6
197824.125.122.322.5
197724.325.122.422.6
197624.6252222.5
197524.42521.622.5
197424.52521.622.6
197325.125.122.122.6
197224.72521.922.5
197124.32521.622.5
197024.524.921.822.5
196924.624.922.122.5
196823.724.921.622.4
196724.224.821.922.3
196624.724.921.822.4
196524.324.921.122.4
19642424.721.422.3
196323.924.821.522.2
1962242521.622.4
196124.32522.122.5
196024.42521.722.5
195924.62521.722.6
195824.42521.722.5
195724.12521.922.5
195624.22521.622.5
195524.32521.522.5
1954242521.622.5
195323.12521.722.5
195223.52521.622.5
195123.52521.822.5
195023.52521.322.5
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMadagascarMadagascar: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–2625.4–26.7–23.422.9–24
2027–2625.4–26.6–23.523.1–24
2028–26.125.6–26.6–23.523.2–24.1
2029–26.225.6–26.7–23.623.1–24.1
2030–26.125.7–26.6–23.623.1–24.1
2031–26.225.8–26.7–23.723.3–24.2
2032–26.225.8–26.8–23.723.2–24.2
2033–26.325.7–26.8–23.723.2–24.2
2034–26.225.7–26.8–23.823.3–24.2
2035–26.325.7–26.8–23.823.3–24.4
2036–26.225.7–26.8–23.723.3–24.1
2037–26.325.8–26.9–23.923.4–24.3
2038–26.425.7–26.9–23.923.5–24.4
2039–26.425.8–26.8–23.823.4–24.4
2040–26.325.9–26.9–23.823.4–24.4
2041–26.525.8–27.2–23.923.4–24.4
2042–26.525.9–27.1–23.923.4–24.5
2043–26.325.8–27–23.923.5–24.4
2044–26.525.9–27–23.923.4–24.5
2045–26.526–27.2–23.923.5–24.4
2046–26.626–27.4–24.123.5–24.6
2047–26.726–27.3–24.123.5–24.6
2048–26.626.1–27.4–24.223.7–24.6
2049–26.826.1–27.4–24.123.7–24.6
2050–26.626.1–27.4–24.123.6–24.7
2051–26.826.1–27.4–24.123.7–24.8
2052–26.826.2–27.4–24.223.7–24.8
2053–26.726–27.3–24.223.5–24.8
2054–26.726–27.3–24.323.7–24.9
2055–26.826.1–27.4–24.323.8–24.9
2056–26.826–27.5–24.323.7–24.9
2057–26.826.3–27.6–24.323.7–24.9
2058–26.926.1–27.6–24.323.8–25
2059–26.926.2–27.7–24.423.8–25
2060–27.126.1–27.7–24.523.8–25
2061–2726.2–27.7–24.323.7–25
2062–26.926.2–27.8–24.423.8–25.2
2063–2726.4–27.6–24.523.8–25.2
2064–27.126.2–27.6–24.523.8–24.9
2065–2726.4–27.8–24.523.8–25.1
2066–2726.4–27.7–24.523.8–25.3
2067–27.126.3–27.8–24.423.7–25.1
2068–27.126.3–27.8–24.723.8–25.2
2069–2726.3–27.9–24.623.7–25.2
2070–2726.3–27.8–24.623.8–25.3
2071–27.226.4–28–24.624–25.4
2072–27.226.5–27.8–24.724–25.3
2073–27.226.5–28–24.724–25.4
2074–27.126.4–28–24.624–25.4
2075–27.126.3–28–24.624.1–25.3
2076–27.326.5–28.1–24.723.9–25.4
2077–27.326.5–28.1–24.724–25.5
2078–27.126.5–27.9–24.624.1–25.5
2079–27.326.5–28.1–24.623.9–25.5
2080–27.326.5–28.1–24.924–25.6
2081–27.326.6–28.1–24.724–25.4
2082–27.426.5–28.1–24.724.1–25.3
2083–27.326.6–28.4–24.724–25.5
2084–27.426.6–28.2–24.824.1–25.5
2085–27.326.6–28.3–24.924.1–25.7
2086–27.526.5–28.3–24.824.1–25.5
2087–27.426.6–28.3–24.824.1–25.6
2088–27.426.6–28.3–24.924–25.7
2089–27.426.7–28.1–24.824.1–25.8
2090–27.426.7–28.4–24.924.2–25.8
2091–27.626.6–28.4–24.924.1–25.8
2092–27.426.6–28.3–2524.1–25.7
2093–27.526.7–28.3–2524.1–25.9
2094–27.526.8–28.3–24.924.1–25.6
2095–27.626.7–28.4–25.124.2–25.6
2096–27.526.5–28.5–24.924.1–25.8
2097–27.526.5–28.3–2524.1–25.8
2098–27.626.7–28.4–24.924–25.7
2099–27.526.5–28.6–24.924.2–25.7
2100–27.426.5–28.4–24.924.3–25.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Kenya vs Madagascar

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