Kenya vs South Africa

Kenya vs South Africa: Net migration rate

Net migration rate in 2023: -0.2 per 1,000 people in Kenya and 3.6 per 1,000 people in South Africa, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in South Africa, by 3.8 per 1,000 people.

Watch it change on the map

per 1,000 people · UN

Kenya vs South Africa: Net migration rateNet migration rate in 2023: -0.2 per 1,000 people in Kenya and 3.6 per 1,000 people in South Africa, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in South Africa, by 3.8 per 1,000 people.
KenyaSouth AfricaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction interval

What the numbers say

  • South Africa has been higher since 2017, when it overtook Kenya.
  • In 2023, Kenya ranked 123 and South Africa ranked 51 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The UN projection (medium variant) puts Kenya at -0.9 per 1,000 people and South Africa at 2.1 per 1,000 people in 2100.

Every year

per 1,000 people · UN

YearKenyaSouth Africa
2023-0.23.6
2022-0.23.7
2021-17.5
2020-0.36.1
2019-1.25.6
2018-2.35.4
2017-1.46
2016-0.6-15.4
2015-211.3
2014-1.64.9
2013-1.34.2
2012-14.9
2011-11.2
2010-0.51.3
20090.20.8
20080.80.7
2007-0.30.7
20060.40.7
20050.20.6
20040.91.2
20030.71.4
20020.31
20011.7-1.3
20000.2-2.9
1999-0.4-2.7
1998-2.4-1.8
1997-2.9-2.2
1996-2.9-4.3
1995-2.8-2.2
1994-1.6-6.1
1993-2.44.5
1992-1.8-1.7
1991-2.5-0.9
1990-0.56.4
1989-1.16.5
1988-1.56.4
1987-2.46.2
1986-2.76.5
1985-1.87
1984-1.88.6
1983-1.39.5
1982-2.59.3
1981-3.29.2
1980-2.58.7
1979-3.62
1978-4.12.2
1977-42.4
1976-6.51
1975-5.31.5
1974-4.81.5
1973-4.11.7
1972-41.6
1971-4.21.4
1970-1.12.8
196903.4
19680.23.8
19670.54
19660.23.9
19650.94.3
19640.54.1
19630.54.1
19620.54
19610.53.4
19600.31.1
1959-0.30.3
1958-2.3-0.9
1957-0.8-0.2
1956-0.7-0.1
1955-0.7-0.2
1954-0.6-0.2
1953-0.9-0.4
19520.30.3
19510.90.6
19501.10.7
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
YearKenyaSouth Africa
2024-0.4-2.3–1.42.6-5.3–9.8
2025-0.5-3–1.92.3-5.9–10.1
2026-0.6-3.7–2.12-6.3–9.5
2027-0.7-4.1–2.42.2-5.5–10.2
2028-0.8-4.3–2.42.3-5.9–10.5
2029-0.8-4.7–2.72.3-6.3–10.1
2030-0.8-4.5–2.62.1-5.9–10.6
2031-0.8-4.6–2.82.2-5.9–10.6
2032-0.9-4.9–2.82.2-6.3–10.3
2033-0.9-5–2.92.1-6–10.1
2034-1-4.9–3.12.2-6.5–10.3
2035-1-5.1–3.22.3-6.1–10.4
2036-1-5.1–3.32.2-6.2–9.6
2037-1-5.2–3.22.3-6–9.9
2038-0.9-5.1–3.12.1-5.8–10.1
2039-1-5.3–3.22-6.4–10.2
2040-0.9-5.3–3.52.1-6.3–10.2
2041-0.9-5.5–3.52.2-6.5–10.5
2042-0.9-5.3–3.32.2-6.4–10.9
2043-1-5.4–3.62.1-6–10.5
2044-1-5.5–3.42.1-6–10.4
2045-1-5.5–3.42.1-7–10.3
2046-1-5.2–3.42.3-5.5–10.9
2047-1-5.2–3.32.3-6.2–10.6
2048-1-5.5–3.42.1-5.9–10.4
2049-1-5.2–3.52.3-5.7–10.5
2050-1-5.4–3.82.3-6.2–11.1
2051-1-5.5–3.72.5-5.5–10.9
2052-1-5.3–3.92.2-5.9–10.8
2053-1-5.5–3.72.2-6.4–10.3
2054-1.1-5.6–3.62.3-6.1–10.2
2055-1-5.6–3.82.3-6.2–10.5
2056-1-5.6–3.62.2-5.9–10.1
2057-0.9-5.6–3.82.3-6.6–10.3
2058-0.9-5.9–3.62.4-6.3–11.1
2059-0.9-5.7–3.72.3-6.6–11
2060-0.9-5.5–3.32.3-5.8–10.3
2061-0.8-5.8–3.72.2-6.5–10.5
2062-0.8-5.7–3.92.3-6.2–10.3
2063-0.9-5.6–3.62.4-6.5–10.8
2064-0.9-5.6–3.72.3-6.5–10.6
2065-1-5.6–3.82.1-6.6–10.5
2066-0.9-5.6–3.72.2-6.1–10.5
2067-0.9-5.7–3.92.2-6.2–10.3
2068-0.9-5.8–3.82.1-6–10.4
2069-0.9-5.9–3.62.2-6.5–10.4
2070-0.9-5.5–3.82.5-5.9–11.1
2071-0.9-5.9–3.62.5-5.8–10.5
2072-0.9-5.7–3.42.1-6.6–10
2073-1-6–3.42.1-5.9–10
2074-1-6–3.52.2-6.9–11.1
2075-1-6–3.42.1-5.9–10.5
2076-0.9-5.9–3.32-6.7–9.9
2077-1-6–3.32.2-6.4–10.5
2078-1-6.5–3.42.3-5.9–10.5
2079-0.9-5.8–3.42.2-6.5–11
2080-0.9-5.8–3.52.3-6.8–10.5
2081-0.9-5.8–3.72.2-6.1–10.6
2082-0.9-5.8–3.52.2-6.4–10.3
2083-0.9-5.8–3.62.2-6.2–10.3
2084-0.9-5.7–3.52-6.5–10.6
2085-0.9-5.8–3.51.9-6.8–9.6
2086-0.9-5.8–3.62.1-6.3–10.8
2087-0.8-6–3.62.1-6.5–10.4
2088-0.8-5.8–3.72.1-6.6–9.9
2089-0.8-5.7–3.82.1-6.6–10.5
2090-0.8-5.6–3.72-7.1–10.2
2091-0.8-5.9–3.82.2-6.4–10.8
2092-0.9-5.8–3.52-6.9–10.4
2093-0.9-5.8–3.52-7.9–10.4
2094-0.9-5.9–3.72-7.1–10.4
2095-0.8-6.1–3.71.9-6.5–10.1
2096-0.8-6–3.61.8-6.6–10.1
2097-0.9-6.4–3.61.8-7.4–10.4
2098-0.8-5.9–3.42-6.5–10.1
2099-0.9-6.1–3.62-5.7–11
2100-0.9-6.3–3.42.1-6.2–10.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • People moving in minus people moving out in a year, per 1,000 residents; below zero, more left than arrived.
  • Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
  • The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
  • Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Kenya vs South Africa

Health

People

Economy

Education

Politics

Conflict

Military

Climate

Technology and environment