Kyrgyzstan vs Tajikistan

Kyrgyzstan vs Tajikistan: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 2.6 °C in Kyrgyzstan and 2.9 °C in Tajikistan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Tajikistan, by 0.3 °C, or 1.11 times that in Kyrgyzstan.

°C · ERA5

Kyrgyzstan vs Tajikistan: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 2.6 °C in Kyrgyzstan and 2.9 °C in Tajikistan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Tajikistan, by 0.3 °C, or 1.11 times that in Kyrgyzstan.
KyrgyzstanTajikistanCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Tajikistan has been higher since 2025, when it overtook Kyrgyzstan.
  • In 2025, Kyrgyzstan ranked 228 and Tajikistan ranked 227 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Kyrgyzstan at 3.7 °C and Tajikistan at 3.2 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearKyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan: CMIP6 historical run, model medianTajikistanTajikistan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20252.61.62.91.2
20241.51.61.31.1
20231.81.41.60.8
20221.61.31.70.8
20210.91.310.8
20200.51.40.30.9
20191.11.210.6
20180.51.10.80.6
20170.61.31.10.8
20161.411.60.6
20151.110.80.5
20140.20.800.5
20131.10.80.90.5
2012-0.20.9-0.70.4
20110.60.90.50.4
20100.90.60.50.1
20090.30.7-0.20.1
20080.70.40.4-0
20071.10.70.80.2
20061.10.80.90.2
20050.40.5-0.30
20040.90.50.30.1
20030.20.5-0.20.1
20021.10.80.40.3
20010.70.50.5-0.1
20000.30.4-0.3-0.2
19990.50.4-0.3-0
199810.30.5-0.2
19971.10.20.2-0.3
1996-0.40.4-1-0.1
199500.2-0.5-0.3
199400-0.2-0.5
1993-0.4-0.2-0.6-0.7
19920.1-0.3-0.3-0.8
19910.10.1-0.4-0.3
19900.80.10.7-0.4
1989-0.90.1-1.5-0.4
19880.4-0.10.2-0.6
19870.20-0.3-0.4
1986-0.1-0.2-0.5-0.7
19850.1-0.10-0.5
1984-0.4-0.5-0.3-0.9
19830.3-0.60-1.1
1982-0.3-0.2-0.9-0.7
19810-0-0-0.5
19800.800.5-0.6
19790.5-0.30.3-0.7
19780.4-0.30.2-0.7
19770.4-0.30.4-0.9
1976-0.2-0.4-0.4-1
1975-0.5-0.3-1.1-0.8
1974-0.8-0.3-1.3-0.8
19730.3-0.3-0.2-1
1972-1.1-0.4-1.9-0.9
19710.4-0.50.1-1
1970-0.1-0.5-0.1-1
1969-0.4-0.3-1-1
1968-0.1-0.6-0.6-1.2
1967-0.5-0.3-1.1-0.9
1966-0.1-0.5-0.5-1
19650.3-0.5-0.8-1
1964-0.6-0.4-1.6-1
19630.7-0.50.2-1
1962-0.1-0.1-0.9-0.7
1961-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.8
1960-0.5-0.3-0.9-0.7
1959-0.2-0.1-0.4-0.7
1958-0.1-0.4-0.7-1
1957-1.2-0.2-1.7-0.6
19560.4-0.3-0.1-0.9
195500-0.4-0.7
1954-0.4-0.1-1.1-0.7
19530.1-0.3-0.3-1
19520.1-0.3-0.2-0.9
1951-0.1-0.1-0.4-0.7
1950-0.2-0.1-0.9-0.6
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearKyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan: CMIP6 historical run, model medianTajikistanTajikistan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–1.30.3–2.7–0.9-0–2.3
2027–1.60.9–2.4–1.10.3–1.9
2028–1.60.8–2.6–1.10.3–2.1
2029–1.70.7–2.4–1.20.2–2
2030–1.60.6–2.5–1.10.1–2
2031–1.81–2.6–1.20.5–2
2032–1.80.8–2.6–1.30.2–2.1
2033–1.70.9–2.4–1.10.5–2.2
2034–1.70.7–2.7–1.30.2–2.3
2035–1.80.9–2.8–1.30.3–2.3
2036–1.91.1–2.6–1.30.6–2.1
2037–2.11.2–3–1.80.6–2.6
2038–21.1–2.8–1.50.6–2.4
2039–1.80.9–3–1.40.5–2.4
2040–21.3–3.2–1.60.7–2.7
2041–21.2–3.3–1.50.7–2.7
2042–1.91–3.3–1.50.4–2.7
2043–1.91–3–1.40.4–2.6
2044–2.31.4–3.2–1.81–2.7
2045–2.21.2–3.1–1.70.8–2.7
2046–2.61.6–3.4–2.11.1–2.9
2047–2.41.3–3.3–1.90.8–2.8
2048–2.21.5–3.5–1.71–2.9
2049–2.51.4–3.4–1.91–2.9
2050–2.51.4–3.6–2.11.1–3.2
2051–2.41.3–3.4–1.90.8–3
2052–2.61.2–3.6–20.7–3.1
2053–2.51.7–3.5–21.1–3
2054–2.61.5–4–20.9–3.4
2055–2.71.8–3.9–2.21.1–3.4
2056–2.81.9–3.7–2.21.4–3.2
2057–2.71.3–3.9–2.21.1–3.5
2058–2.61.8–3.6–2.11.2–3.1
2059–2.91.8–4.2–2.41.4–3.6
2060–2.51.7–4.2–21.1–3.7
2061–2.71.7–3.6–2.21.4–3.1
2062–2.91.3–4.2–2.51.2–3.7
2063–2.92.3–3.8–2.41.6–3.5
2064–2.81.4–4.1–2.31–3.7
2065–31.9–4.1–2.41.4–3.5
2066–2.82.1–4.4–2.41.6–4
2067–3.12.1–4–2.61.8–3.5
2068–3.22–4.5–2.71.6–3.9
2069–3.32.2–4.2–2.71.7–3.8
2070–3.12.1–4.1–2.61.6–3.5
2071–3.11.8–4.5–2.61.4–3.8
2072–31.9–4.8–2.41.3–4.2
2073–3.42.3–4.8–2.91.6–4.3
2074–3.42.4–4.9–2.91.8–4.5
2075–3.22.2–4.6–2.71.8–4.3
2076–31.9–4.5–2.41.2–4
2077–3.52.1–5–31.5–4.4
2078–3.32–4.9–2.81.5–4.3
2079–3.22–4.4–2.61.5–3.9
2080–3.22.1–4.4–2.71.7–4
2081–32.2–4.7–2.51.7–4.2
2082–3.22.3–4.4–2.91.9–3.9
2083–3.62.6–4.9–3.12.2–4.3
2084–3.52.4–4.6–3.11.9–4.1
2085–3.42.2–5–2.91.9–4.6
2086–3.41.8–4.8–2.71.3–4.4
2087–3.52.4–4.9–2.91.9–4.3
2088–3.32.2–4.9–2.81.7–4.5
2089–3.52.4–5.1–3.12.1–4.6
2090–3.62.4–4.9–3.21.9–4.4
2091–3.72.1–4.7–3.11.6–4.3
2092–3.62.4–4.9–3.12–4.5
2093–3.72.8–4.6–3.12.3–4.4
2094–3.52.4–5–3.22–4.8
2095–3.72–5.1–3.11.4–4.7
2096–3.72.3–5–3.21.9–4.6
2097–3.62.5–4.9–32.1–4.4
2098–3.82.6–5.3–3.52–4.8
2099–3.72–5.1–3.11.4–4.7
2100–3.72.5–5–3.22.1–4.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Kyrgyzstan vs Tajikistan

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