Libya vs Sudan: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 106.9 days in Libya and 184 days in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Sudan, by 77.1 days, or 1.72 times that in Libya.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

LibyaSudanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Sudan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Libya at 151 days and Sudan at 230.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Libya	Sudan
2014	106.9	184
2013	109	179.8
2012	109.5	180.9
2011	111	183.5
2010	110.2	181.3
2009	105.7	175.7
2008	107.5	173.9
2007	104.1	171.9
2006	105.6	171.2
2005	102.8	169.5
2004	103.9	171.6
2003	105.3	172.7
2002	102.9	173.6
2001	102.6	177.8
2000	99.8	170.3
1999	97.2	170.7
1998	94.6	166
1997	96.4	169.3
1996	94.9	165.5
1995	94.4	165.1
1994	89.4	162.2
1993	85.8	154.5
1992	87.4	154.3
1991	95.2	165.3
1990	94	166.6
1989	91.2	164.1
1988	87	164.2
1987	85.2	163.3
1986	92.8	166.1
1985	86.6	159.7
1984	81	158
1983	81.7	157
1982	84	155.1
1981	89.3	162.1
1980	91.7	161.1
1979	83.2	160.4
1978	86.2	155.5
1977	80.4	157.9
1976	85.7	157.3
1975	81	153.9
1974	79	155.3
1973	83.3	161.4
1972	82.8	156.2
1971	80.3	153.4
1970	83.4	156.8
1969	79.4	153.8
1968	82	154.6
1967	79.9	148.4
1966	78.8	153
1965	75.3	154.2
1964	74.4	148.7
1963	82.6	146.1
1962	80.4	155.9
1961	81.7	158.5
1960	88.1	161.3
1959	86.3	158.4
1958	83.1	156.7
1957	84.4	159.4
1956	81.7	157.7
1955	81.7	154.7
1954	76.7	158.7
1953	84.9	156.3
1952	82.8	156.1
1951	80.8	158.9
1950	78.7	155.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Libya	Sudan
2015	114.492.9–131.3	183.4158.5–201.6
2016	114.298.3–130.2	179.1156.3–200.8
2017	11797.9–133.1	184.1159.3–204.4
2018	112.295.8–130.1	178.9156–204.1
2019	117.392.5–130.7	181.9158.3–204.8
2020	11799–131.3	182.3159.2–205.5
2021	117.2103.4–133.7	183.1159.4–206.8
2022	120.1103.9–139.1	187.9165.4–207.6
2023	117.1101.9–132.1	185.3162.7–207.9
2024	122.2106.3–139.8	192.2168–211.3
2025	122104.8–138.3	188.6166.8–209.3
2026	121.7108.1–136	188.5157.9–211.8
2027	119.199.1–133.5	189.2157–211.6
2028	122.5103–139.4	189.6162.9–211.3
2029	122.8105.2–137.8	190.4166.6–209.3
2030	122.7104.1–136.7	191.6170.8–214.6
2031	121.7106.1–138	192.2167.3–218
2032	127.5113.3–143.5	191.2169.9–210.3
2033	128108.7–141.1	195.3172.4–216.8
2034	127.3109.8–142.6	197.1168.8–222.4
2035	126.8110–144.9	196.4168.7–221.2
2036	124.3109–140.5	191.3171.4–213.6
2037	126.6110.8–141.6	198173.5–220.2
2038	129.3113.7–146.9	200.4179.8–221.2
2039	129.1105.3–150.4	199.5171.5–218.6
2040	133.3116.2–148.8	196.3172.7–217.9
2041	130.6113.2–146	202.2174.1–221.8
2042	134.4112.3–151.1	201.6175.8–224.1
2043	130.9117–144.3	198.7169.7–224.3
2044	129.1111.3–147.6	198.3173.4–222.2
2045	133.5116.4–146.9	203.4179.1–224.6
2046	135.3115.2–150.1	210.2177.8–229.9
2047	133.6119.3–151.4	206.2180.9–228.4
2048	134.9116.6–149	204.6180–231.3
2049	131.7110.9–150	204.3178.2–227.3
2050	134.6119.7–150.5	205.3180.8–234.5
2051	133.1117.4–147.7	206.2186–229.8
2052	136.9123.5–152.7	209182–231.9
2053	135.1120.6–151.1	208.7181.2–230.7
2054	136.3119–153.8	211180.1–231.4
2055	139.1119.5–152.9	212.3184–233.5
2056	134.1116.3–153.2	208.5182.4–235.7
2057	135.3117.6–156.7	213.2186.4–240.1
2058	139.8121.6–157.2	213.4183–233.4
2059	141.4122.4–159.8	214.6189.2–242.4
2060	140.8119.7–157.4	213.7189.1–241.7
2061	138.7123.1–156.2	214.5186.1–239.4
2062	140.5122.3–155.7	214.4187–241.2
2063	137.1121.2–150.4	212.5181.1–235.9
2064	142.1122.9–159	214.9189.9–242.2
2065	143121.8–158.5	217.2195.4–238.5
2066	135.1116.7–158.5	217.1190.9–246.3
2067	145.8125.7–160.8	216.5188.1–243.9
2068	145.9123.5–164.8	216.7193.9–247.6
2069	144.1125.1–158.9	216.1187.6–243.2
2070	144.3123.2–162.5	219.4189.5–241.3
2071	143.2123.6–163	224.1190.5–247.8
2072	147.2126.3–162.4	222.3196.2–245.1
2073	142.2126–159.4	221.8196.1–246.8
2074	138.7120.7–158.1	218.1183.5–249
2075	141.5123–162.4	221.9188.6–243.6
2076	147.6123.3–164.4	222.4196.4–250.8
2077	148.1121.6–161.8	225.8194.6–252.8
2078	148.3132.4–161.7	224.1196.8–250.7
2079	147.6127.6–164.2	220.7194.1–245.3
2080	147.8122.3–164.3	225.9191.3–250
2081	144.1125.7–159.2	225.1197.7–250.3
2082	147.3127.4–166.1	222.6195.3–249.8
2083	145125.9–166.7	228.1199.6–251.9
2084	151.9128.8–168	224.5194.9–252.9
2085	147.4129.2–164.4	226.3199.3–251.5
2086	150.5131.2–164.5	225.2193.1–258.3
2087	144.2120–164.9	222.9190.2–250.1
2088	149.4129.3–165.8	220.4194.2–256.8
2089	147.6129.3–169.3	227195.7–249.8
2090	147.5127.6–165.2	229198.7–254.5
2091	153.4133.6–167.6	227196.4–254.1
2092	150.6130.9–166.7	227.2200.5–253.1
2093	151.2133.9–167.5	227.5203–252.1
2094	150.5131.4–165.1	231.9201.3–256
2095	150.8132–167.9	228.4202.1–255
2096	148.7133.1–166.2	226.4198.4–255.9
2097	148.4133.1–162.5	225.9196.5–255.7
2098	146.3130.8–165.7	227.8194.4–253.4
2099	149.3133.2–168.8	229.5200.7–257.4
2100	151129.7–169.9	230.7199.7–256.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Libya vs Sudan: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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