Libya

Days above 35 °C in Libya

Days above 35 °C in Libya: 78.7 days in 1950 and 106.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
106.9 days
Modelled
Since 1950
+28.2 days
Projected, 2100
151 days
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

days a year · CMIP6

Days above 35 °C in LibyaDays above 35 °C in Libya: 78.7 days in 1950 and 106.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 151 days in 2100, between 129.7 days and 169.9 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 151 days in 2100, between 129.7 days and 169.9 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 111 days in 2011, the lowest 74.4 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearLibya
2014106.9
2013109
2012109.5
2011111
2010110.2
2009105.7
2008107.5
2007104.1
2006105.6
2005102.8
2004103.9
2003105.3
2002102.9
2001102.6
200099.8
199997.2
199894.6
199796.4
199694.9
199594.4
199489.4
199385.8
199287.4
199195.2
199094
198991.2
198887
198785.2
198692.8
198586.6
198481
198381.7
198284
198189.3
198091.7
197983.2
197886.2
197780.4
197685.7
197581
197479
197383.3
197282.8
197180.3
197083.4
196979.4
196882
196779.9
196678.8
196575.3
196474.4
196382.6
196280.4
196181.7
196088.1
195986.3
195883.1
195784.4
195681.7
195581.7
195476.7
195384.9
195282.8
195180.8
195078.7
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearLibya
2015114.492.9–131.3
2016114.298.3–130.2
201711797.9–133.1
2018112.295.8–130.1
2019117.392.5–130.7
202011799–131.3
2021117.2103.4–133.7
2022120.1103.9–139.1
2023117.1101.9–132.1
2024122.2106.3–139.8
2025122104.8–138.3
2026121.7108.1–136
2027119.199.1–133.5
2028122.5103–139.4
2029122.8105.2–137.8
2030122.7104.1–136.7
2031121.7106.1–138
2032127.5113.3–143.5
2033128108.7–141.1
2034127.3109.8–142.6
2035126.8110–144.9
2036124.3109–140.5
2037126.6110.8–141.6
2038129.3113.7–146.9
2039129.1105.3–150.4
2040133.3116.2–148.8
2041130.6113.2–146
2042134.4112.3–151.1
2043130.9117–144.3
2044129.1111.3–147.6
2045133.5116.4–146.9
2046135.3115.2–150.1
2047133.6119.3–151.4
2048134.9116.6–149
2049131.7110.9–150
2050134.6119.7–150.5
2051133.1117.4–147.7
2052136.9123.5–152.7
2053135.1120.6–151.1
2054136.3119–153.8
2055139.1119.5–152.9
2056134.1116.3–153.2
2057135.3117.6–156.7
2058139.8121.6–157.2
2059141.4122.4–159.8
2060140.8119.7–157.4
2061138.7123.1–156.2
2062140.5122.3–155.7
2063137.1121.2–150.4
2064142.1122.9–159
2065143121.8–158.5
2066135.1116.7–158.5
2067145.8125.7–160.8
2068145.9123.5–164.8
2069144.1125.1–158.9
2070144.3123.2–162.5
2071143.2123.6–163
2072147.2126.3–162.4
2073142.2126–159.4
2074138.7120.7–158.1
2075141.5123–162.4
2076147.6123.3–164.4
2077148.1121.6–161.8
2078148.3132.4–161.7
2079147.6127.6–164.2
2080147.8122.3–164.3
2081144.1125.7–159.2
2082147.3127.4–166.1
2083145125.9–166.7
2084151.9128.8–168
2085147.4129.2–164.4
2086150.5131.2–164.5
2087144.2120–164.9
2088149.4129.3–165.8
2089147.6129.3–169.3
2090147.5127.6–165.2
2091153.4133.6–167.6
2092150.6130.9–166.7
2093151.2133.9–167.5
2094150.5131.4–165.1
2095150.8132–167.9
2096148.7133.1–166.2
2097148.4133.1–162.5
2098146.3130.8–165.7
2099149.3133.2–168.8
2100151129.7–169.9

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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