Madagascar vs Somalia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 3.9 days in Madagascar and 58 days in Somalia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Somalia, by 54.1 days, or 15 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

MadagascarSomaliaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Somalia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Madagascar at 29.3 days and Somalia at 132.6 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Madagascar	Somalia
2014	3.9	58
2013	4.4	58.1
2012	3.6	56
2011	4	57.6
2010	3.7	57
2009	2.7	53
2008	3	51.3
2007	3.2	51.1
2006	2.5	51.2
2005	3.3	51.9
2004	3.3	52.6
2003	3.6	53
2002	3	51.4
2001	3	51.7
2000	2.8	51.6
1999	2.3	50
1998	2.5	49.2
1997	2.4	48.2
1996	2	44.7
1995	1.5	44.3
1994	1.8	42.8
1993	1.5	39
1992	1.4	36.2
1991	1.6	46.9
1990	2.8	45.5
1989	2.5	43.4
1988	2.5	44.2
1987	2	44.2
1986	2.5	44.3
1985	1.7	40.6
1984	2	42.6
1983	1.8	39.7
1982	1.3	43.5
1981	1.9	44.6
1980	1.9	44.8
1979	1.8	43.5
1978	1.4	42.4
1977	1.7	42.1
1976	1.4	38.3
1975	1.7	39.4
1974	1.8	41.9
1973	1.5	40.8
1972	1.5	40.5
1971	1.2	38.4
1970	1.4	38.2
1969	1.9	39.6
1968	1.6	36.3
1967	1	35.4
1966	1.4	38.9
1965	1.3	35.3
1964	1.3	34.1
1963	1.1	35.8
1962	1.7	39.6
1961	1.5	42.1
1960	1.7	41
1959	1.8	40.6
1958	1.6	39.4
1957	1.3	40.9
1956	1.3	39
1955	2.1	40.6
1954	1.6	38.5
1953	1.4	40.3
1952	1.5	40.7
1951	1.4	41.3
1950	1.8	40.4

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Madagascar	Somalia
2015	4.81.7–11.4	61.244–78.5
2016	4.31.4–10.8	60.241.9–78.7
2017	4.71.8–9.6	63.439.6–81.2
2018	5.21.3–12.6	6245.5–79.9
2019	5.11.6–11.3	62.444.6–82.9
2020	5.61.9–10.8	65.944–86.1
2021	4.51.4–10.4	64.146.7–83.1
2022	6.31.9–12.3	67.847.3–88.5
2023	6.82.3–12.9	70.948.3–92.1
2024	61.9–11.4	72.751.4–92.7
2025	5.41.7–13.2	67.148.6–93.9
2026	6.12–14.7	66.543.9–99.9
2027	7.52.5–14.1	67.147.5–96.2
2028	6.62.3–13.4	69.949.2–95.5
2029	7.71.8–16	74.150.6–96
2030	72.4–15.7	72.553.5–97.1
2031	7.22.9–14.6	7655.6–99.9
2032	7.73.1–19.1	74.752.3–98.3
2033	8.83.1–16.9	79.656.7–101.7
2034	9.43.5–18.6	76.456.7–102.6
2035	9.54–19.4	77.552.5–105.2
2036	7.73–15.4	76.753.9–100.7
2037	10.14–18	80.456.2–107.2
2038	10.15–17.2	80.359.3–108.7
2039	9.63.5–19.5	82.258.9–108.7
2040	8.33.6–18.8	81.357.4–113.8
2041	9.13.8–19	84.860.6–118.5
2042	10.95.4–21.4	8556.5–118.5
2043	10.53.5–19.2	83.660.2–115.7
2044	10.33.5–21.1	86.862.5–117.6
2045	9.34.2–18.7	86.961.3–121.1
2046	11.73.8–20.8	92.160.2–126.6
2047	12.64.4–24.6	95.564.1–127.6
2048	12.95.5–23.9	95.969.2–124.6
2049	12.34.8–23.1	96.966.8–131.6
2050	13.35–24.3	93.366.5–129.9
2051	13.46.8–25.4	96.666.3–137.2
2052	14.96.6–26.1	98.867.9–126.4
2053	13.35.3–27	96.765.5–130.9
2054	14.36.1–29.8	91.563.1–130.8
2055	17.36.2–30.3	10168.8–131.1
2056	15.35.4–29.9	99.267.2–140.6
2057	16.86.5–27.9	98.171.7–135.6
2058	15.76.3–31.7	100.566.1–140.3
2059	16.48.1–29.1	10371.1–144.1
2060	14.85.7–28.4	109.573.1–143.8
2061	156.3–28.7	105.575.3–142.2
2062	15.97.6–32.4	106.769.6–147.9
2063	198–34.3	11075.4–143.5
2064	177.6–27.5	108.368.2–139.7
2065	18.19–34.7	103.571.4–150.4
2066	17.66.9–35.1	110.373.5–142.6
2067	15.87.1–31.2	110.571.3–148.5
2068	19.87–39.1	106.373.1–150.5
2069	19.66.1–36	112.378.2–147.4
2070	198.1–38.8	107.971.2–150.8
2071	19.67.3–40.8	116.976–161.6
2072	21.58–38.1	11774–152.9
2073	23.48.7–42.3	118.283.9–157.3
2074	208.4–40.3	112.577.8–162.7
2075	208.7–36.6	11778.6–160.3
2076	24.29.4–38.2	12184.8–156.5
2077	21.78.3–40	124.478.7–167.9
2078	22.310.2–42.8	118.683–162
2079	217.4–39.9	121.379.2–161
2080	25.17.6–41.3	124.781.5–169.5
2081	22.18.9–38.4	127.587.6–172.7
2082	22.29.7–36.4	126.584.2–165.4
2083	21.69.8–41.3	126.386.8–173.9
2084	239.5–39	128.184.6–170.5
2085	25.210.3–46.6	126.884.7–167.3
2086	22.311.7–41.2	13283.7–173
2087	24.910.5–44.3	127.683.8–170.6
2088	24.87.7–48.5	131.180.1–167.8
2089	26.29.8–52.5	128.383.8–169.7
2090	26.610.2–49.3	134.390.9–176.1
2091	26.59.7–52.9	130.987.6–178.4
2092	26.99.5–48.7	133.685.4–169
2093	26.28.8–53.6	133.794.2–185.6
2094	26.710.8–45.3	130.490.9–173.8
2095	28.112.6–44.9	132.593.5–175.3
2096	25.19.8–51	136.290.3–181
2097	22.99.9–47.2	129.288.6–176.1
2098	26.79.7–47	129.984.9–182.6
2099	2810.4–48.3	134.685.5–175.8
2100	29.312.2–51.1	132.688.7–171.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Madagascar vs Somalia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Madagascar vs Somalia

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