Madagascar vs Somalia

Madagascar vs Somalia: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 295.2 nights in Somalia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Somalia, by 156.9 nights, or 2.13 times that in Madagascar.

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nights a year · CMIP6

Madagascar vs Somalia: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 295.2 nights in Somalia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Somalia, by 156.9 nights, or 2.13 times that in Madagascar.
MadagascarSomaliaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Somalia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Madagascar at 198.5 nights and Somalia at 328.2 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMadagascarSomalia
2014138.3295.2
2013138296.8
2012138.3296.7
2011136.8297.1
2010134.2294.6
2009133.5293.5
2008132.3292.2
2007133.1293.3
2006131.6292.4
2005130.3292.3
2004133.5293.8
2003131293.5
2002131.8292.1
2001131.7292.4
2000127.4290.2
1999128.4288.6
1998128.6289.9
1997125.3288.8
1996121.8285
1995123.3285.2
1994121.8284.2
1993116280.2
1992116.6278.1
1991124.9286.6
1990126.2288.5
1989124285.1
1988123.8285.6
1987122.8282.5
1986123.8283.4
1985120279.6
1984118.6281.4
1983116.5277.1
1982121.8283.7
1981122.1282.5
1980120.3280
1979120.7280.4
1978119.3280.5
1977119282.9
1976117.4278.7
1975116.5276.8
1974119.5279.3
1973119280.8
1972117278.3
1971116.3278.2
1970117278.3
1969116.3276.8
1968113.1276.3
1967113274.3
1966114.1275.9
1965112.2275.2
1964109.6275.1
1963109.7272.9
1962115.3277.9
1961118.5280.3
1960118.2280.8
1959119278.8
1958118.7280.9
1957117.6280.3
1956115.5276.1
1955116.6280.1
1954115.9278.2
1953116.4277.2
1952117.4279.4
1951116279
1950116.3278.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMadagascarSomalia
2015142.8126.7–159.3299.3283.7–311
2016137.8122.2–156296.8282.3–308.3
2017143.1125.6–159.4299.6284.6–310.1
2018143.7125.9–160.3301.3287.9–310.2
2019143.4124.4–162.3299.1286.1–311.9
2020143.4125.2–159299.4285.3–310.3
2021145.4128.8–160.4302.4289.1–313.6
2022150.4133.4–165.2304.5289.7–314.6
2023149.7132.1–166304.1290.6–312.4
2024150.7131.4–167.9303.4290.1–317
2025149128.8–169.1303.1288.8–317.8
2026150.1127.4–169.9303.2288.7–315.4
2027151.8131.9–170.8303.8287.7–314.9
2028154.9137.7–173.1305.4291.3–316.8
2029155.7135.2–173.8307.8294–317.8
2030154.8136.4–171.3304.5289.6–314.9
2031158.1141.3–174.8307.4292.3–317.9
2032157.9136.2–178.4308.3292.4–319.6
2033158.9136.7–177.8307.2292–317.6
2034158.6140.6–179.6305.9292.3–321.2
2035161.1140.2–181.6308.7293.4–321.1
2036159.5139.4–177.1307.5295.4–317.7
2037165.8144.7–182.8310.1298.4–319.9
2038166.5149.3–183.9311.1296.4–323.2
2039164.1145.1–183.9308.6295.9–321.9
2040162.8144.5–184.8311.7295.9–324.2
2041165.8143.5–183.9312296.6–321.5
2042165.1144.3–188.4311.7295–325.7
2043165.6148.5–184.7312298–323.1
2044167.3145.8–187311.4297.3–323
2045166.9147.1–187.1312.3298.6–323
2046171.4149.6–193314.4299–327.7
2047171.7148.8–193.4315.8300.2–327.9
2048173.7151.7–193.6316.9302.8–327.5
2049172.2151.4–192.9314.9303.2–325.2
2050174.4150.5–193.6315.9300.6–324.5
2051175154.3–195.1314.9301.9–326.9
2052176153.8–196.7316.2301.6–329
2053176.6151.1–197.8314.8302.3–326.8
2054175.5152.8–199.2316.2301.5–330.1
2055179.2157.3–196.8317.4302.7–327.8
2056178.8156.5–199.7316.5302.9–332.3
2057177.7155.5–201316.8302.5–329.8
2058180.5158.9–202.4316.9300.7–330.9
2059181.8158.3–202.5320.8305.2–332.5
2060185.1159.5–207.8321.3305.7–331.9
2061180.6157.6–203.8317.8304.8–330.3
2062180.6157.1–205.6319.6304.3–336
2063185156.8–210.7320.9305.3–332
2064184.7159.1–205.7319.7306.8–330.5
2065183.8157.1–208.5318.3304.6–334.6
2066187.3159.6–211321307.9–333.9
2067184.9155.9–208.9320.5304.3–334.4
2068187.5161.7–211.1321.7305.6–336.3
2069187.5162–211.3322.3308.6–335.4
2070187.8160.4–213.6321.1305.3–335.6
2071190.7162.7–216.6324.5308.4–336.9
2072191.8168.2–215.8324.1308.2–334.1
2073191.4168.7–214.5323.7308.1–337.9
2074189.4162.6–217.7322306–334.6
2075189.3163.8–214.2323.6307.6–336.4
2076191.1164.3–214323.6309–333.3
2077191.9168.8–217.1324.2309.6–335.9
2078190.1166.5–219.3324.7310.1–333.7
2079190.1163.7–216.2323.2307.6–336.3
2080194.8167.7–219.4324.7310.6–337.8
2081191.7166.7–218.1323.2311.1–335.3
2082193.8169.2–216.7324.3309.4–336.4
2083194.6166.1–218.1323.6308.3–342.4
2084197.9170–219.7326.2309.4–337.5
2085197.8172.3–223.7327.7311.9–339.4
2086192.9169.6–220326.6311.1–340.2
2087195.2170.4–220.1327.3311.5–339.1
2088198.1165.1–225.5328.6308.2–341.6
2089196.3167.9–227.6326.7312–340.2
2090197.5172.4–228.1326.5311.7–339.5
2091199.2172.7–226.7328.6311.5–340.9
2092202.4170.7–226.6329.1312.2–341.8
2093202.1172.3–230.5327.3312.1–342.8
2094198.3168.6–224325.6312–336.2
2095200.7171.7–225.1329314–341.2
2096199.8173.6–226.3327.9311.6–341.9
2097201.2170–227.6325.6311–340
2098201.1170.7–227.2327.7311.4–341.1
2099198.3173.8–225.8327.3311.9–339.3
2100198.5173.3–227.7328.2313.4–341.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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