Malawi vs South Sudan: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 3.7 days in Malawi and 115.2 days in South Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in South Sudan, by 111.5 days, or 31 times that in Malawi.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

MalawiSouth SudanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

South Sudan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Malawi at 16.3 days and South Sudan at 172 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Malawi	South Sudan
2014	3.7	115.2
2013	4.3	111.2
2012	3.5	108.8
2011	3.1	112.9
2010	3.4	112.8
2009	3.2	104.3
2008	3.2	104.2
2007	3.5	100.7
2006	3.1	105.3
2005	3	102.8
2004	3.4	103.4
2003	3.7	102.5
2002	3.5	104.6
2001	3.6	108.9
2000	3.2	99.1
1999	2.7	97.8
1998	3.1	97.6
1997	2.8	99.2
1996	2.7	94
1995	2.3	94
1994	2.3	89.9
1993	1.7	84.6
1992	2.3	87.9
1991	2.3	95.2
1990	2.5	94
1989	2.5	93.6
1988	2.6	98
1987	2.4	97.7
1986	2.5	97.9
1985	2	89.8
1984	2.2	90.8
1983	2.5	90.8
1982	2.2	89.3
1981	2.3	96.2
1980	2.4	97.5
1979	2.3	95.4
1978	2.1	89.1
1977	2.4	92.9
1976	2	86.7
1975	2.4	91.5
1974	2.5	90
1973	2.1	90.1
1972	2	89.8
1971	2	84.8
1970	2.3	87.8
1969	2.3	90.8
1968	2	85.5
1967	2	84.3
1966	1.7	87
1965	2.4	82.2
1964	1.4	79.2
1963	2	84.4
1962	2.2	93.5
1961	2.3	90.4
1960	2.5	92
1959	2.6	90.1
1958	2.6	88
1957	2.2	90.7
1956	2	85.5
1955	2.3	87.3
1954	2.5	91
1953	1.9	95.5
1952	2.1	88.7
1951	1.9	93.2
1950	2.2	86.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Malawi	South Sudan
2015	4.62.2–8.3	112.487.1–135.9
2016	4.22.1–8.2	103.878.8–129.9
2017	4.12.3–7.6	114.384.4–134.8
2018	4.22.2–7.4	109.674.1–140.7
2019	4.32.4–7.7	107.285.2–133.3
2020	4.82–8.5	114.783–140.8
2021	3.72.1–6.7	112.182.3–137.9
2022	4.82.5–8.6	108.880.6–137.3
2023	5.52.5–9	113.188.8–147.8
2024	4.72.7–7.7	121.591–149.4
2025	4.71.4–9.6	115.889.9–141.1
2026	4.82.7–9.2	112.283.6–145.9
2027	62.9–13	115.482.9–143.9
2028	5.32.7–8.9	118.387.9–145.1
2029	5.32.4–10.7	120.789.9–140.1
2030	5.42.5–13.1	117.292.5–147.7
2031	5.53.1–9.9	123.397.3–147.8
2032	5.72.9–11	118.791.5–148.1
2033	72.9–12.9	123.791.9–159.9
2034	6.73.3–13	120.889.9–159.1
2035	6.73.1–13.6	122.892.3–153.1
2036	5.52.8–11.8	118.790.7–147.5
2037	7.13.6–13.7	127.792.4–161
2038	7.34.2–13.7	129.5101.9–159.2
2039	6.33.2–13.5	128.394.6–153.1
2040	6.33.1–12.1	125.894.8–150.7
2041	72.9–13.3	133.899.2–157.8
2042	6.83.8–12.4	129.3101.8–150.8
2043	6.53.5–16.7	124.788.4–161.9
2044	6.92.8–15.2	12893.3–153.7
2045	7.13.9–12.2	134.398–166.7
2046	7.83.8–14.2	142.1102.3–172.2
2047	8.34–17.8	139.3111.2–169.4
2048	9.14.7–17.3	133.1102.8–175.4
2049	7.33.8–15	144106.7–173.4
2050	9.54.7–18.2	131.8102.7–175.9
2051	10.64.5–23.3	136.9103.8–181
2052	105–21	140.6107.1–170.7
2053	8.72.4–19.7	136.798.4–174.4
2054	9.93.7–23.4	143.499–172.9
2055	10.64.6–20.7	143.4108.5–177.2
2056	10.33.7–22.2	140.5106.1–187.1
2057	10.54.6–21.4	152.3116.4–191.2
2058	11.35.9–20.5	151.7101.9–183.5
2059	11.55.6–21.2	145.9103.5–182.1
2060	10.84.1–22.7	148.7106.5–190.2
2061	11.34.8–22.1	149.5111.4–191.8
2062	11.35.1–22.7	146.1106.4–194.6
2063	10.15.2–23.7	147.1109.1–180.2
2064	11.85–20.3	149.2109.2–185.1
2065	12.85.1–26.9	153.7122.4–192.3
2066	126–29.8	150.4119.4–190.7
2067	10.44.9–22.7	149.8119–196.2
2068	11.45–23.2	153.9118.8–193.6
2069	13.15.1–24.7	148.8111.4–191.2
2070	12.15.2–23.4	154.5117–195.8
2071	13.75–26.6	153.5117.6–200.4
2072	14.36.3–26.1	161.7122–189.2
2073	14.85.2–31	159.7124.4–198.7
2074	11.45.2–26.8	151.9106.9–200.6
2075	11.65.5–26.2	155.5106.6–190
2076	13.35.3–28.2	159.9116.3–216.8
2077	13.56.6–25.7	163.6123.7–216.5
2078	13.95–24.9	161.4123.3–199.6
2079	14.37–26.2	158.8127.9–190.6
2080	13.56.3–29.4	161.6116.1–198.3
2081	13.94.7–26.2	163.3126.3–208.9
2082	12.46.4–28.7	159.2127.6–200.5
2083	14.47.5–27.7	168129–211.4
2084	14.76.5–27.6	162.7120.4–199.8
2085	15.77.8–31.7	166.1126.3–209.4
2086	136.6–27.8	162.5122.2–208.7
2087	13.96.4–30.6	163.7110.7–202.2
2088	17.15.9–35.2	164.8122.3–214.2
2089	15.67–28.8	162.4126–199.8
2090	17.34.8–37.7	167120.8–211.8
2091	17.95.2–35.8	165.6119.3–210.6
2092	16.76.7–34.9	173.9126.9–217.6
2093	15.95.8–32.8	168.8131.2–208.4
2094	18.86–34.8	171.1131.9–222.8
2095	16.77.4–29.2	171.7128.2–224.7
2096	16.36.4–31.6	166.3122.8–214.1
2097	145.6–30.8	165.8123.7–214.6
2098	15.77.8–29.3	165.5125–217.9
2099	18.37.2–39.1	171126.6–227.6
2100	16.36.6–32.1	172124.2–217.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Malawi vs South Sudan: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

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