Pakistan vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 149.9 nights in Pakistan and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Pakistan, by 122.8 nights, or 5.53 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

PakistanSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Pakistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Pakistan at 177.6 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Pakistan	South Africa
2014	149.9	27.1
2013	149.1	28.3
2012	149.9	27.9
2011	149	26.1
2010	148.4	26
2009	147.1	25.8
2008	147.4	24.8
2007	147.3	24.7
2006	146.7	25.5
2005	146.5	25.3
2004	147.5	25.8
2003	146	25.1
2002	148.3	25
2001	145.4	24.5
2000	144.7	23.3
1999	146.9	23
1998	144.8	23.4
1997	143.2	22.5
1996	141.2	20.4
1995	141.8	19.3
1994	142.1	20
1993	140.4	18.1
1992	139.9	18.1
1991	142.5	22.3
1990	142.6	22.7
1989	142.5	22
1988	140.3	21.2
1987	140	21.9
1986	140	21
1985	140	18.9
1984	138.9	20
1983	136.3	19
1982	138.5	20.3
1981	141.5	20
1980	139.5	21.2
1979	139.1	19.9
1978	139	19.8
1977	138.6	19.2
1976	139.2	19.2
1975	136.5	18.8
1974	138.7	19.7
1973	137.8	19.6
1972	137.4	19
1971	136	19.1
1970	137.7	18.6
1969	135.9	18.7
1968	136.6	17.8
1967	135.2	17.5
1966	136.9	17.8
1965	138.3	17.2
1964	135.1	14.9
1963	135.7	16.5
1962	137	19.6
1961	138.6	19.7
1960	139	19.8
1959	138.6	18.5
1958	137.7	19.3
1957	140	19.4
1956	137.8	18
1955	137.5	19.5
1954	137.8	18.4
1953	136.9	18.4
1952	138.1	19.3
1951	136.7	18.9
1950	139.1	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Pakistan	South Africa
2015	152.4138.7–163.3	28.620–39.5
2016	150.6139.4–161.7	26.817.8–37.9
2017	151.3138.8–162	28.919.6–37.8
2018	152.6139.8–161.8	29.620.6–40.6
2019	151.8138.1–163.3	29.820.8–41.5
2020	153.1140.3–164.5	29.518.9–39.1
2021	154.1140.6–165.7	31.121.4–42.9
2022	153.1140.2–165.7	3223.7–43.1
2023	155.5141.6–165.9	31.922.9–41.8
2024	156.8143.3–168.7	3324–45.6
2025	155.7141.5–168.6	31.920.7–44.5
2026	155.3142.2–167.9	34.521.9–46.9
2027	156.8140.9–168.9	34.423–47.7
2028	156.5143.9–167.6	33.522.9–46
2029	155.9141.5–167.7	36.226.5–48.3
2030	156.3143.3–167.6	36.124.9–49
2031	157.3144.4–168.1	36.324.5–50.3
2032	157.4142.5–169.6	36.424.5–49.2
2033	157.7143.6–169.4	36.924.5–48.3
2034	159.5145.6–173.4	37.626.4–51.8
2035	159.3146.7–170.3	37.625.2–49.5
2036	159.1147.5–171.4	3826.5–50.5
2037	162.2147.5–175.3	39.928.2–53.4
2038	161.4148.6–171.7	41.528.4–54.2
2039	160148.2–170.4	39.227–52.9
2040	160.9147.9–171.3	38.125.6–55.6
2041	160.8146.7–171.7	40.227.4–54.3
2042	162.3149.9–175.6	4229–56.4
2043	161.1150.3–173.8	42.128.2–58.4
2044	163150.9–173.9	41.929.5–57.8
2045	163149.5–174.8	42.728.2–59
2046	163.5149.8–177.2	44.130–59.5
2047	165.2151.8–178.5	44.630.7–61.2
2048	166.4154.1–179.4	4531.9–61.5
2049	165150.8–178.2	45.632.3–61.4
2050	166.9153.5–179.3	46.931–63.6
2051	165.6150.8–180	47.532–65
2052	166.7155.4–179.5	48.332.7–64.3
2053	166.3154.2–178.8	45.733.7–62.1
2054	167.5153.9–181	4833.3–64.3
2055	167.8155.8–182.5	46.833–68.4
2056	166.3153.6–179.7	47.933.2–64.8
2057	168.3153.9–182.3	50.232.6–68.9
2058	167.5157–179.9	47.934–66.4
2059	170.9155.9–183.8	51.333.1–66.9
2060	170.3156.5–181.8	51.936–69.9
2061	168.8156.8–179.6	50.534.8–71.3
2062	171.6153.5–186.5	50.532.7–71
2063	171.3159.5–183.8	50.434.3–69.7
2064	170.2155.3–184.5	5134.1–67.7
2065	169.7156.4–185	50.433.6–70.2
2066	172.2157–186.7	5335.7–72.4
2067	173.2160.2–186.3	50.634.8–70.4
2068	172.6157.7–186.3	54.837.8–72.5
2069	171.8157.3–185.6	54.339.1–73.4
2070	171.7158.9–186.7	54.337.2–73.3
2071	173.4158.7–186.8	55.837.9–76.9
2072	174161.5–186.9	5639.4–78.6
2073	175.6157.2–187.9	60.443.4–80.3
2074	173.5160–186.3	57.439.1–75.3
2075	173161.5–187.8	56.137.7–76
2076	172.9158.8–186.7	58.538.4–75.3
2077	175161.3–187.8	57.341–80.5
2078	174.4160.9–189.3	5639.5–79
2079	172.5158.3–187.7	57.639.3–78
2080	175.1160.7–189.2	59.540.3–80.9
2081	174.9159.2–190.2	5841.5–79.6
2082	175.4161.8–190.6	58.839.7–77.7
2083	176.5161.8–190.8	60.839.1–82.9
2084	176.1160.9–190.5	62.540.4–82.9
2085	176.3161.9–193.6	60.741.3–87.6
2086	173.9160–189.1	60.542.1–83.3
2087	176161–193.1	57.941–82.9
2088	175.4160.5–195.2	64.243.4–85.3
2089	177.2164.2–191.7	61.541.3–81.2
2090	177.7163.9–192.2	61.641.5–86.8
2091	177.8162.8–192.2	63.341.6–86.3
2092	178.7162.9–192.9	63.144.9–84.8
2093	177164–191	62.443.2–86.1
2094	176.8164.1–190.7	63.145.6–87.4
2095	178.6163.8–193.1	65.342.6–91.7
2096	177.8163.7–192.5	6142.7–90.1
2097	177.3160.4–192.5	58.841.2–84.6
2098	178.7162.6–195.7	65.143.8–89.8
2099	176159.9–193.2	64.345–87
2100	177.6162.2–193	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Pakistan vs South Africa: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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