Poland vs United Kingdom: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.4 nights in Poland and 0.2 nights in United Kingdom, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Poland, by 0.3 nights, or 2.63 times that in United Kingdom.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

PolandUnited KingdomCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Poland has been higher since 2009, when it overtook United Kingdom.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Poland at 7.9 nights and United Kingdom at 0.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Poland	United Kingdom
2014	0.4	0.2
2013	0.2	0.2
2012	0.2	0.2
2011	0.2	0.2
2010	0.4	0.2
2009	0.2	0.2
2008	0.1	0.2
2007	0.1	0.2
2006	0.2	0.2
2005	0.2	0.2
2004	0.4	0.2
2003	0.1	0.2
2002	0	0.2
2001	0.2	0.2
2000	0.1	0.2
1999	0.1	0.2
1998	0	0.2
1997	0	0.2
1996	0.1	0.2
1995	0.1	0.1
1994	0	0.2
1993	0	0.1
1992	0	0.2
1991	0	0.2
1990	0	0.2
1989	0	0.2
1988	0	0.1
1987	0	0.2
1986	0	0.2
1985	0	0.1
1984	0	0.1
1983	0	0.1
1982	0	0.1
1981	0	0.1
1980	0	0.1
1979	0	0.1
1978	0.1	0.1
1977	0	0.1
1976	0	0.1
1975	0	0.1
1974	0	0.1
1973	0	0.1
1972	0	0.1
1971	0	0.1
1970	0	0.1
1969	0	0.1
1968	0	0.1
1967	0	0.1
1966	0	0.1
1965	0	0.1
1964	0	0.1
1963	0	0.1
1962	0	0.2
1961	0	0.1
1960	0	0.1
1959	0	0.1
1958	0	0.1
1957	0	0.2
1956	0	0.2
1955	0	0.2
1954	0	0.1
1953	0	0.1
1952	0	0.1
1951	0	0.1
1950	0	0.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Poland	United Kingdom
2015	0.40–3.3	0.20.2–0.3
2016	0.60–4.2	0.20.2–0.4
2017	0.70–3.4	0.20.2–0.4
2018	0.40–3.8	0.20.2–0.3
2019	0.60–3.5	0.20.1–0.2
2020	0.90–4.5	0.20.2–0.3
2021	0.60–4.4	0.20.1–0.4
2022	10–5.4	0.20.2–0.3
2023	0.80–5.2	0.20.2–0.4
2024	0.90–4.7	0.20.2–0.3
2025	1.20–8.4	0.20.2–0.4
2026	1.20–6.2	0.20.2–0.4
2027	1.10–4.1	0.20.2–0.3
2028	1.20–5	0.20.2–0.3
2029	1.40–7.7	0.20.2–0.3
2030	10–5.9	0.20.2–0.3
2031	0.70–4.8	0.20.2–0.4
2032	1.20–8.4	0.20.2–0.4
2033	1.40–6	0.20.2–0.4
2034	1.70–6.8	0.20.2–0.9
2035	1.40–6.7	0.20.2–0.6
2036	2.40–8.9	0.20.2–0.5
2037	20–8.4	0.20.2–0.4
2038	1.40–8.4	0.20.2–0.5
2039	3.30–9.4	0.20.2–0.5
2040	2.20–6.7	0.20.2–0.5
2041	2.10.1–7.6	0.20.2–0.4
2042	2.40.1–8.6	0.20.2–0.6
2043	2.70–9.9	0.20.2–0.6
2044	3.30.1–10.7	0.20.2–0.7
2045	2.40–7.8	0.20.2–0.6
2046	2.80.2–11.4	0.20.2–0.6
2047	4.30.2–11.6	0.20.2–0.8
2048	4.20.1–13.2	0.20.2–0.8
2049	4.40–11	0.20.2–1.1
2050	2.70.1–11.2	0.20.2–0.7
2051	2.10–11.6	0.20.2–0.7
2052	30.3–10.9	0.20.2–1.1
2053	2.70–8.2	0.20.2–0.9
2054	2.70.2–8.7	0.20.2–1.3
2055	2.40.1–12.2	0.20.2–1
2056	3.50.2–11.8	0.20.2–0.6
2057	3.20.3–13.1	0.20.2–1
2058	4.40.3–13.8	0.30.2–1.3
2059	3.40.2–15.2	0.20.2–0.9
2060	3.90.2–10.8	0.20.2–1
2061	5.40.6–12.4	0.20.2–1
2062	3.30.4–14.5	0.40.2–1.4
2063	4.90.3–15.7	0.20.2–1.4
2064	4.60.4–12.5	0.20.2–0.7
2065	5.30.4–16.1	0.20.2–2
2066	5.60.7–14	0.20.2–0.8
2067	4.10.2–13.6	0.40.2–2
2068	3.80.2–13.6	0.20.2–0.8
2069	5.50.5–16.8	0.30.2–1.3
2070	4.50.2–17.2	0.30.2–1.7
2071	3.80.3–16	0.30.2–1.5
2072	51.1–12.6	0.30.2–0.9
2073	5.31.3–17.1	0.30.2–2.2
2074	4.50.8–17.1	0.30.2–1.9
2075	6.20.4–18.6	0.30.2–1.4
2076	50.5–19.1	0.30.2–2.2
2077	4.60.3–18.1	0.20.2–2.2
2078	6.81–18.1	0.50.2–2.2
2079	6.80.5–25.3	0.20.2–1.4
2080	6.31.5–15.6	0.20.2–1.6
2081	5.51–20.5	0.30.2–1.7
2082	7.70.8–26.5	0.30.2–2.6
2083	60.4–17.4	0.40.2–1.9
2084	6.20.5–16.8	0.20.2–1.6
2085	6.40.7–19.1	0.30.2–1.9
2086	7.70.6–24.6	0.30.2–2.6
2087	7.60.7–25.8	0.50.2–4
2088	7.11.6–20.5	0.30.2–2.1
2089	7.20.5–21.9	0.40.2–1.7
2090	5.40.5–25.2	0.30.2–2.1
2091	10.30.6–23.7	0.40.2–2.2
2092	9.21.5–20	0.60.2–2.2
2093	6.20.6–20.8	0.30.2–1.7
2094	9.20.8–18.4	0.40.2–1.9
2095	91.3–20.5	0.50.2–2.7
2096	6.80.9–17.5	0.40.2–4
2097	6.40.3–19.6	0.30.2–2.9
2098	8.41.8–20.1	0.40.2–3
2099	6.10.8–17.6	0.40.2–2.5
2100	7.91.2–18.1	0.40.2–1.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Poland vs United Kingdom: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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