Rwanda vs Senegal: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 2.4 nights in Rwanda and 302.1 nights in Senegal, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Senegal, by 299.7 nights, or 130 times that in Rwanda.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

RwandaSenegalCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Senegal has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Rwanda at 34.2 nights and Senegal at 347.3 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Rwanda	Senegal
2014	2.4	302.1
2013	2.8	300.9
2012	2.9	304.1
2011	2.7	302.1
2010	2.3	301.5
2009	2.5	302.1
2008	2	298.3
2007	1.9	298.5
2006	2.2	298.6
2005	2	298.1
2004	1.8	294.7
2003	1.8	296.1
2002	2.4	296
2001	2.4	298.9
2000	1.7	295
1999	1.6	293.2
1998	1.5	292.5
1997	1	288.5
1996	1.1	285.1
1995	1.1	285.9
1994	1.2	283.7
1993	0.9	282
1992	0.6	277.6
1991	1.2	286.7
1990	1.7	292.5
1989	1.5	282.1
1988	1.2	282.4
1987	1.3	281.8
1986	1.2	283
1985	0.8	278.1
1984	1	274.6
1983	0.9	276.3
1982	0.8	281.3
1981	1.1	277.9
1980	1.1	277.6
1979	0.9	281
1978	0.7	280.7
1977	1.1	278
1976	0.8	274.4
1975	1	278.4
1974	0.9	273.8
1973	1.3	274.5
1972	0.7	273.5
1971	0.7	273.4
1970	0.6	271.3
1969	0.8	271.6
1968	0.8	272.6
1967	0.5	275.4
1966	0.6	273.3
1965	0.6	272.8
1964	0.4	271.8
1963	0.6	272.8
1962	0.9	280.2
1961	0.8	276.9
1960	1.1	279.2
1959	0.7	277.4
1958	0.9	278.8
1957	0.8	274.4
1956	0.7	273.2
1955	0.8	273.4
1954	0.9	275
1953	0.8	271.7
1952	0.8	271
1951	1	272.9
1950	0.9	270.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Rwanda	Senegal
2015	3.41.5–7.6	298.9275.9–321
2016	2.91.2–5.6	302.7276.5–319
2017	3.41.8–5.5	302.9285.4–318.6
2018	3.81.8–7.1	305.6289.2–321.5
2019	3.61.3–6.9	307.6280.6–328.1
2020	4.32.1–7.9	305.2276.2–322.9
2021	4.22.6–7.5	307.6286–325.6
2022	42.9–7.8	312.9289.6–334.3
2023	4.41.9–8.4	307.5292.2–328.6
2024	52–9.6	313.2294.6–326.9
2025	4.42.1–9.5	311.8289–329.4
2026	4.81.7–8.9	308.3285.2–328.6
2027	4.92.1–8.7	310.7287.8–330
2028	5.21.7–8.7	316.3289.2–331.6
2029	5.43–9.2	315.7291.2–334.2
2030	5.33.1–10.2	311.5289.1–329.1
2031	6.63.4–10.4	318.8296.3–335
2032	6.34–12.2	316295.7–332.4
2033	6.52.8–12	316.7289.6–336.4
2034	6.13.3–12.4	315.4291.6–335.1
2035	6.83.2–12.7	316.8291.1–335.3
2036	6.83.7–12.7	320.8298.5–335.3
2037	7.94.3–14.6	324.5303.1–337.7
2038	8.44.1–15.3	323.5304.2–339.7
2039	7.23.6–15.9	323.3300.9–337
2040	7.74.3–14.8	322.4298.9–339.5
2041	8.44.7–15	320.2300.1–343.6
2042	8.44.4–20.2	320302.1–339.9
2043	7.83.8–16.5	320.4303.7–340.4
2044	7.24.1–14.5	326.9301.5–340.9
2045	9.24.6–21	324.1304.1–340
2046	124.6–24.1	325.9304.7–340.6
2047	11.25.4–26	329301.4–347
2048	11.74.6–25.4	331.1314.3–344.8
2049	12.25.7–26.7	331.3308.3–343.7
2050	11.75.4–22.9	327.6306.5–341.9
2051	12.36.4–24	328307.1–344
2052	14.56–26.1	325.4308.1–344.2
2053	12.55–23.9	331.8304.9–347.2
2054	12.85.6–34.3	330.1310.8–345.2
2055	12.66.2–32.8	330.1305.5–344
2056	145.6–31.6	331.4307.4–349.8
2057	14.96–32.3	337306.4–351.5
2058	15.15.3–38.7	333313.2–350.2
2059	14.96.7–38.1	334315.6–353.5
2060	18.46.1–38.2	334.5316.4–351.1
2061	16.65.9–40.7	333.7307.5–352.9
2062	17.25.6–49.3	333.3312.4–350.2
2063	16.46.3–39.1	335.4313.2–352.8
2064	21.76.3–40.1	335.4307.1–351.1
2065	17.17.2–40.5	334.8314.1–352.8
2066	18.37.2–42.5	337.3312.9–351
2067	16.86.3–50.2	335.5309.9–349.9
2068	19.76.6–53.2	335.5313.5–354
2069	17.66–55	336.1316.9–351.8
2070	18.17.6–53.8	333.3312.9–352.9
2071	19.36.3–60	335.7321.1–351.9
2072	22.18.7–49.3	342.3321–354.6
2073	24.39.2–61.7	339.4320.1–356.1
2074	23.28.3–57.2	335.9317.1–351.8
2075	21.86.3–53.9	338.4320.7–354.1
2076	26.77–59.7	338.7321.9–352
2077	24.19.1–64.8	342.8314.8–357.3
2078	21.48.3–62.1	343325.8–355.4
2079	26.47.8–64.8	341.2322.3–357.6
2080	28.78.2–62.2	340.9317.7–358.1
2081	25.79–66.4	339.8315.5–357.1
2082	27.59.2–63.2	341.6316.4–354.9
2083	31.68.7–87	340.8324.8–356.9
2084	31.39.4–78.4	340.4322.8–354.9
2085	35.29.2–79.6	346.8325.6–357
2086	299.7–76.5	341.7324.4–357.6
2087	30.69.5–80	343.9325.9–357.7
2088	32.59.4–76.8	341.5321.6–358.2
2089	27.49.3–82.1	343.2324.3–355.2
2090	25.911.4–96.6	342320.6–356
2091	43.28.7–89.1	341.7319.8–356.4
2092	33.910.5–89.6	339.7318.4–357.7
2093	35.510.9–91	345326.8–356.4
2094	34.79.4–91.6	344.4324.3–357.6
2095	40.412.9–106.1	346.3320.6–359.4
2096	35.99.8–99.9	344.4323.1–359.2
2097	32.69.9–89.6	341.4321.3–353.8
2098	35.69.8–105.9	345322.3–357
2099	32.810.9–105.8	344.6322.7–357.5
2100	34.211.1–102.5	347.3323.6–359.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Rwanda vs Senegal: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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