Rwanda vs South Africa: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: 2.18% a year in Rwanda and 1.32% a year in South Africa, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Rwanda, by 0.86 percentage points, or 1.66 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

RwandaSouth AfricaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Rwanda has been higher since 2001, when it overtook South Africa.
In 2023, Rwanda ranked 44 and South Africa ranked 87 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Rwanda at 0.22% a year and South Africa at 0.23% a year in 2100.
The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

Year	Rwanda	South Africa	World
2023	2.18	1.32	0.87
2022	2.22	1.34	0.88
2021	2.16	1.49	0.8
2020	2.22	1.6	0.9
2019	2.26	1.65	1.03
2018	2.3	1.65	1.07
2017	2.33	1.72	1.13
2016	2.36	-0.42	1.17
2015	2.38	2.31	1.18
2014	2.41	1.7	1.22
2013	2.43	1.62	1.23
2012	2.38	1.69	1.27
2011	2.41	1.26	1.26
2010	2.49	1.21	1.27
2009	2.55	1.15	1.28
2008	2.61	1.24	1.28
2007	2.65	1.07	1.28
2006	2.67	1.04	1.28
2005	2.67	1	1.27
2004	2.66	1.02	1.28
2003	2.63	0.99	1.29
2002	1.76	1	1.3
2001	0.95	0.89	1.33
2000	0.82	0.83	1.35
1999	0.79	1	1.35
1998	0.84	1.18	1.37
1997	7.54	1.25	1.39
1996	22.58	1.15	1.42
1995	9.9	1.45	1.45
1994	-41.78	0.98	1.47
1993	5.26	2.27	1.52
1992	2.29	1.7	1.57
1991	1.82	1.89	1.63
1990	2.26	2.69	1.76
1989	2.99	2.88	1.78
1988	3.14	3	1.79
1987	3.24	3.09	1.84
1986	3.32	3.15	1.83
1985	3.37	3.25	1.8
1984	3.38	3.42	1.8
1983	3.36	3.5	1.78
1982	3.32	3.48	1.86
1981	3.24	3.43	1.82
1980	3.15	3.38	1.8
1979	3.06	2.7	1.79
1978	2.98	2.71	1.74
1977	2.94	2.75	1.75
1976	2.96	2.66	1.78
1975	2.95	2.75	1.8
1974	2.93	2.79	1.88
1973	2.93	2.85	1.94
1972	2.9	2.87	1.97
1971	2.89	2.87	1.97
1970	3.03	2.99	2.06
1969	3.07	3.07	2.06
1968	3.1	3.11	2.09
1967	3.11	3.13	2
1966	2.93	3.11	2.04
1965	2.74	3.09	2.09
1964	2.49	3.06	2.16
1963	2.11	3.05	2.28
1962	2.42	3.02	2.11
1961	2.63	2.93	1.67
1960	2.89	2.68	1.58
1959	3.15	2.56	1.73
1958	3.25	2.43	2
1957	3.36	2.44	2.07
1956	3.38	2.39	1.98
1955	3.4	2.33	2.01
1954	3.43	2.26	1.99
1953	3.44	2.17	1.9
1952	3.51	2.16	1.94
1951	3.56	2.1	1.75
1950	3.63	2.01	1.74

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Rwanda	South Africa	World
2024	2.11-7.25–9.81	1.190.34–1.98	0.86
2025	2.23-7.34–10.14	1.120.23–2.01	0.84
2026	2.12-7.84–9.85	1.050.1–1.94	0.83
2027	2.19-7.17–10	1.040.12–1.97	0.81
2028	2-6.73–9.87	1.030.07–2.02	0.8
2029	1.93-7.68–10.08	0.990.04–1.9	0.78
2030	1.95-7.47–9.73	0.94-0.03–1.93	0.76
2031	1.96-7.48–10.25	0.920–1.95	0.75
2032	1.64-7.87–9.94	0.9-0.06–1.9	0.73
2033	1.92-7.76–9.98	0.87-0.12–1.84	0.72
2034	1.89-7.24–10.22	0.84-0.19–1.83	0.7
2035	2.02-7.45–10.38	0.83-0.15–1.82	0.69
2036	1.67-7.14–9.94	0.8-0.19–1.74	0.67
2037	1.83-7.5–10.17	0.79-0.26–1.8	0.65
2038	1.77-7.83–9.96	0.76-0.27–1.73	0.64
2039	1.9-8.05–10.06	0.73-0.31–1.74	0.62
2040	1.88-7.5–9.78	0.73-0.37–1.71	0.61
2041	1.84-7.95–10.07	0.72-0.33–1.73	0.59
2042	1.64-8.28–10.31	0.71-0.31–1.81	0.57
2043	1.77-7.94–9.92	0.7-0.31–1.75	0.56
2044	1.48-8.38–9.67	0.68-0.34–1.72	0.54
2045	1.52-8.15–9.85	0.67-0.35–1.76	0.52
2046	1.36-8.38–9.7	0.68-0.29–1.74	0.5
2047	1.47-7.78–10.17	0.66-0.38–1.71	0.48
2048	1.46-8.62–9.61	0.62-0.43–1.66	0.46
2049	1.39-8.29–9.94	0.61-0.42–1.71	0.44
2050	1.3-8.39–10	0.6-0.46–1.66	0.42
2051	1.32-8.25–9.52	0.6-0.43–1.72	0.4
2052	1.21-8.25–9.36	0.56-0.46–1.69	0.38
2053	1.2-8.19–9.46	0.54-0.51–1.6	0.36
2054	1.2-8.38–9.79	0.54-0.55–1.62	0.34
2055	1.23-8.12–9.79	0.52-0.56–1.6	0.33
2056	1.1-9.04–9.47	0.5-0.6–1.6	0.31
2057	1.07-8.66–9.47	0.5-0.66–1.66	0.3
2058	1.31-8.86–9.88	0.49-0.58–1.71	0.28
2059	1.08-8.58–9.6	0.47-0.66–1.64	0.27
2060	1.05-8.62–8.93	0.46-0.65–1.62	0.25
2061	1.19-8.55–9.58	0.44-0.69–1.57	0.24
2062	0.94-9.53–9.17	0.44-0.73–1.59	0.23
2063	1.04-9.2–9.07	0.43-0.75–1.56	0.22
2064	0.98-9.16–9.04	0.42-0.74–1.6	0.21
2065	1-9.49–10.17	0.39-0.74–1.52	0.2
2066	0.86-9.16–9.2	0.39-0.76–1.53	0.19
2067	0.95-9.2–10.01	0.37-0.8–1.52	0.18
2068	0.89-9.83–9.27	0.36-0.86–1.53	0.17
2069	0.76-9.23–9.25	0.35-0.89–1.54	0.16
2070	0.86-10.15–9.31	0.38-0.87–1.6	0.15
2071	0.77-9.33–9.23	0.37-0.83–1.6	0.14
2072	0.79-9.35–9.35	0.32-0.85–1.52	0.13
2073	0.75-10.09–9.05	0.32-0.88–1.45	0.12
2074	0.68-9.43–9.1	0.32-0.92–1.58	0.1
2075	0.69-10.05–9.24	0.31-0.94–1.44	0.09
2076	0.58-9.7–8.65	0.3-0.96–1.37	0.08
2077	0.66-9.9–9.21	0.31-0.93–1.51	0.07
2078	0.59-10.03–9.34	0.31-0.93–1.53	0.06
2079	0.63-10.96–8.73	0.3-1.05–1.53	0.05
2080	0.63-9.75–9.39	0.3-1.01–1.52	0.04
2081	0.57-10.68–9.35	0.3-0.99–1.52	0.03
2082	0.6-10.02–9.62	0.29-1.04–1.49	0.02
2083	0.57-11.43–9.57	0.29-1.04–1.51	0.01
2084	0.46-10.62–9.5	0.27-1.01–1.55	-0
2085	0.46-11.07–9.35	0.25-1.1–1.51	-0.01
2086	0.49-10.28–9.51	0.28-1.09–1.53	-0.02
2087	0.61-10.6–9.65	0.27-1.06–1.54	-0.03
2088	0.46-11.4–9.33	0.26-1.13–1.51	-0.04
2089	0.61-12.22–9.57	0.26-1.11–1.51	-0.05
2090	0.32-12.17–9.24	0.25-1.16–1.52	-0.05
2091	0.32-11.75–9.09	0.27-1.09–1.45	-0.06
2092	0.38-11.48–9.5	0.24-1.17–1.46	-0.07
2093	0.41-11.26–10.59	0.24-1.19–1.54	-0.07
2094	0.26-12.34–9.55	0.24-1.21–1.48	-0.08
2095	0.41-11.86–9.67	0.22-1.12–1.52	-0.09
2096	0.26-10.9–9.51	0.21-1.14–1.48	-0.1
2097	0.23-10.71–9.72	0.2-1.23–1.49	-0.11
2098	0.24-11.75–10.17	0.22-1.19–1.5	-0.11
2099	0.32-12.1–10.28	0.22-1.1–1.46	-0.12
2100	0.22-12.71–9.05	0.23-1.2–1.45	-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Rwanda vs South Africa: Population growth

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Rwanda vs South Africa

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