Spain vs Tanzania: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 16.8 nights in Spain and 106.3 nights in Tanzania, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Tanzania, by 89.5 nights, or 6.31 times that in Spain.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

SpainTanzaniaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Tanzania has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Spain at 51.6 nights and Tanzania at 208 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Spain	Tanzania
2014	16.8	106.3
2013	17.9	105.5
2012	16.4	108.4
2011	16.2	109
2010	17.5	103.9
2009	16.2	101.1
2008	16.5	100.3
2007	15.3	99.5
2006	17.6	100.4
2005	16.5	98.7
2004	16.4	100.4
2003	14.5	99.6
2002	14.9	98.4
2001	15.6	101.5
2000	13.8	94.9
1999	13.9	94.2
1998	13.5	96.8
1997	12.7	93.5
1996	12.9	89.6
1995	11.4	88.5
1994	12.1	85.4
1993	11	81.2
1992	9.5	80.1
1991	12.3	89.6
1990	13.1	91.1
1989	11.5	89.1
1988	12.3	87.6
1987	11.1	88.5
1986	9.2	89.4
1985	8.9	83
1984	8.9	83.1
1983	9.5	82.1
1982	10	84.8
1981	10.1	88
1980	9.6	85
1979	10.5	85.5
1978	11.1	82.9
1977	9.7	84.1
1976	8.3	81
1975	8.7	80.8
1974	10	82.2
1973	8.9	83.6
1972	9.6	81.4
1971	8.4	80.7
1970	8	81.8
1969	9.2	79.5
1968	9	79.1
1967	8.8	77.5
1966	8.1	78.1
1965	7.6	78
1964	10.1	73.8
1963	8.7	73.1
1962	9.5	81.1
1961	9.4	82.6
1960	9.3	83.9
1959	10.2	81.4
1958	9.7	82.1
1957	9.5	80.9
1956	10.5	80
1955	10.4	81.6
1954	9.8	81.4
1953	9	80.6
1952	10.5	81.4
1951	10.2	82.1
1950	11.8	80.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Spain	Tanzania
2015	20.413.3–30.2	114.895.2–137.4
2016	20.113.2–33.4	108.391.6–125.6
2017	21.313.3–31.1	114.893.6–137.8
2018	22.815.6–34.2	116.497.4–137.1
2019	22.714.6–33.6	113.495.2–133.2
2020	22.314.2–32.8	119.396.2–143.5
2021	23.114.2–34.2	119.5100.9–147.1
2022	26.515–37.6	124.4105.3–147.4
2023	25.215.5–35.2	122.1102.1–147.8
2024	25.216.8–37	126.2100–150.1
2025	24.914–36.5	124.6100.9–154
2026	24.814.9–36.8	126.999.1–155.6
2027	26.817–38.3	128102.9–147.7
2028	27.315.8–39.5	129.9106.4–152.1
2029	2816–41.8	134.1111–156.5
2030	27.816.8–38	129.4106.4–151.1
2031	2817–39	136.4115.9–158.4
2032	29.720.5–40.3	135.1114–166.8
2033	28.920–39.2	135.2110.9–161.9
2034	31.419.3–44.8	134.7112.5–166.3
2035	30.619.2–43.3	140.2114.6–165
2036	30.721.4–43.8	137.8113.3–165.5
2037	31.319.8–41.7	142.9121.5–168.9
2038	31.621.5–45	147.9124.3–169.3
2039	31.723–43.8	144.3117.6–171.3
2040	30.119–46	140.5117–178
2041	30.419.5–43.3	149.1121.7–175.6
2042	31.521.5–43.1	146.3120.5–185.3
2043	3219.4–47.6	144.6117–173
2044	3221.8–45.9	147.7121.2–175.8
2045	34.122.7–47.8	150.1125.2–183.4
2046	33.921.1–47.3	161.5128.6–192.2
2047	34.322.3–49	160.2129.7–194.4
2048	35.723.1–46	158.8132.7–193.1
2049	37.324.6–52.2	157.6131.1–196
2050	37.425.7–52.7	159.7127.8–192
2051	36.322.6–51.6	163.2135.5–197.8
2052	38.224.4–51.2	161.9136.2–199.1
2053	36.325.2–51.9	160.6127.5–197.7
2054	3623–53	163.2131.5–200.2
2055	39.126.3–52.3	167.4137–208.3
2056	38.227–52.8	166.4130.8–209.7
2057	40.526.6–53.5	168134.6–208.3
2058	41.827–54.8	168.7134.9–210.3
2059	39.225.5–55.2	174.7144.9–219.5
2060	41.929.2–55	181.7138.1–219.8
2061	42.629.2–58.6	171.8135.5–218.1
2062	41.429–55.5	177.5139.9–224
2063	45.225.2–59.7	181.4140.1–213.8
2064	42.625.1–57.5	185.3140.1–215.2
2065	40.825.4–61.7	183.5141.1–221.8
2066	4228.9–57.3	181.9146.3–219.3
2067	45.531.3–61.4	178.8138.8–229.2
2068	41.528.4–58.9	186144.2–228.4
2069	4630–59.7	183.7141.7–225.3
2070	45.430.7–63.3	180.7140.4–228.2
2071	45.931.7–62.2	184.9146.9–235.2
2072	47.130.2–62.5	191.3155–226.1
2073	46.630.5–63.8	191.6152.4–235.6
2074	43.429.5–61.4	183.3149.7–231.7
2075	45.529–60.5	183.8144.8–233
2076	46.930.2–64.9	191.1150.9–233.2
2077	46.129.6–63	191.3152.6–238.2
2078	4729.9–67.3	189156.6–233.8
2079	43.731.4–63.5	190.5147–237.3
2080	46.830–63.9	197.3150.7–241.2
2081	4733.2–65	195.6153.4–237.4
2082	4834.3–63.4	194.5157.3–237.3
2083	49.932.4–65.9	193.2151–249.8
2084	49.234.7–65.4	201.1152.2–246.7
2085	5037.5–66	204.2162.3–252.3
2086	5133.7–67.6	195156–248.7
2087	5236–70.2	196.7160.8–244.5
2088	52.133.4–72.5	208.4154.7–246.9
2089	50.936.8–67.7	201.3158.6–248.2
2090	52.832.7–72.3	197.9160.7–253.6
2091	54.133.4–70	210161.6–256
2092	51.532.8–66.4	205.8158.3–253.6
2093	48.734.9–66.7	207.2161.2–251.9
2094	50.331.4–70.1	207.9161.3–250.6
2095	52.733.7–72.2	214.2166.4–258.5
2096	54.134.9–72.5	205.3159.8–257.4
2097	53.136.1–71.9	206.6158.4–256.8
2098	5234.3–70.7	209.1161–258.3
2099	55.737–70.7	208.5160.1–256
2100	51.634.3–71.2	208158.6–258.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Spain vs Tanzania: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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