Spain

Tropical nights in Spain

Tropical nights in Spain: 11.8 nights in 1950 and 16.8 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
16.8 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+5 nights
Projected, 2100
51.6 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in SpainTropical nights in Spain: 11.8 nights in 1950 and 16.8 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 51.6 nights in 2100, between 34.3 nights and 71.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 51.6 nights in 2100, between 34.3 nights and 71.2 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 17.9 nights in 2013, the lowest 7.6 nights in 1965.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearSpain
201416.8
201317.9
201216.4
201116.2
201017.5
200916.2
200816.5
200715.3
200617.6
200516.5
200416.4
200314.5
200214.9
200115.6
200013.8
199913.9
199813.5
199712.7
199612.9
199511.4
199412.1
199311
19929.5
199112.3
199013.1
198911.5
198812.3
198711.1
19869.2
19858.9
19848.9
19839.5
198210
198110.1
19809.6
197910.5
197811.1
19779.7
19768.3
19758.7
197410
19738.9
19729.6
19718.4
19708
19699.2
19689
19678.8
19668.1
19657.6
196410.1
19638.7
19629.5
19619.4
19609.3
195910.2
19589.7
19579.5
195610.5
195510.4
19549.8
19539
195210.5
195110.2
195011.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearSpain
201520.413.3–30.2
201620.113.2–33.4
201721.313.3–31.1
201822.815.6–34.2
201922.714.6–33.6
202022.314.2–32.8
202123.114.2–34.2
202226.515–37.6
202325.215.5–35.2
202425.216.8–37
202524.914–36.5
202624.814.9–36.8
202726.817–38.3
202827.315.8–39.5
20292816–41.8
203027.816.8–38
20312817–39
203229.720.5–40.3
203328.920–39.2
203431.419.3–44.8
203530.619.2–43.3
203630.721.4–43.8
203731.319.8–41.7
203831.621.5–45
203931.723–43.8
204030.119–46
204130.419.5–43.3
204231.521.5–43.1
20433219.4–47.6
20443221.8–45.9
204534.122.7–47.8
204633.921.1–47.3
204734.322.3–49
204835.723.1–46
204937.324.6–52.2
205037.425.7–52.7
205136.322.6–51.6
205238.224.4–51.2
205336.325.2–51.9
20543623–53
205539.126.3–52.3
205638.227–52.8
205740.526.6–53.5
205841.827–54.8
205939.225.5–55.2
206041.929.2–55
206142.629.2–58.6
206241.429–55.5
206345.225.2–59.7
206442.625.1–57.5
206540.825.4–61.7
20664228.9–57.3
206745.531.3–61.4
206841.528.4–58.9
20694630–59.7
207045.430.7–63.3
207145.931.7–62.2
207247.130.2–62.5
207346.630.5–63.8
207443.429.5–61.4
207545.529–60.5
207646.930.2–64.9
207746.129.6–63
20784729.9–67.3
207943.731.4–63.5
208046.830–63.9
20814733.2–65
20824834.3–63.4
208349.932.4–65.9
208449.234.7–65.4
20855037.5–66
20865133.7–67.6
20875236–70.2
208852.133.4–72.5
208950.936.8–67.7
209052.832.7–72.3
209154.133.4–70
209251.532.8–66.4
209348.734.9–66.7
209450.331.4–70.1
209552.733.7–72.2
209654.134.9–72.5
209753.136.1–71.9
20985234.3–70.7
209955.737–70.7
210051.634.3–71.2

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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