Days above 35 °C in Zimbabwe

Days above 35 °C in Zimbabwe: 9 days in 1950 and 15.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 15.9 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +6.9 days
Projected, 2100: 58.2 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 58.2 days in 2100, between 29.4 days and 85.2 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 17.1 days in 2013, the lowest 6.2 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Zimbabwe
2014	15.9
2013	17.1
2012	15.7
2011	12.5
2010	15.3
2009	13
2008	13.5
2007	14.3
2006	12.9
2005	14.6
2004	16.2
2003	15.4
2002	14.9
2001	14.6
2000	15.1
1999	12.5
1998	13.2
1997	12
1996	9.7
1995	10.5
1994	9.8
1993	7.4
1992	7.9
1991	8.9
1990	10.9
1989	12.1
1988	11.6
1987	10.5
1986	10.4
1985	8.9
1984	8.9
1983	9
1982	9.2
1981	9.7
1980	10
1979	9.3
1978	8
1977	9.4
1976	7.4
1975	10
1974	11
1973	10
1972	8.2
1971	8.4
1970	9.1
1969	9.3
1968	8.6
1967	7.4
1966	7.5
1965	8.4
1964	6.2
1963	6.3
1962	9.1
1961	8.8
1960	9
1959	9.6
1958	10.2
1957	9.9
1956	7.9
1955	11.2
1954	8.8
1953	8.6
1952	9.4
1951	8.3
1950	9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Zimbabwe
2015	17.19.2–27.4
2016	17.37.9–31.7
2017	189–29.3
2018	18.78.6–33.5
2019	18.48.7–28.5
2020	2211.6–34.5
2021	17.48.9–31.5
2022	22.111.3–34.2
2023	23.914.6–37.2
2024	22.712.2–35.4
2025	19.47.7–35.5
2026	23.213.8–35.1
2027	24.313.2–47.8
2028	23.213.4–42.3
2029	26.913.5–41.7
2030	24.713.5–44.4
2031	21.710.1–43.4
2032	23.913.4–37.9
2033	28.314.5–44.9
2034	30.915.4–52.5
2035	2714.6–44
2036	25.613–44.1
2037	29.415.2–46.3
2038	3316.3–54
2039	26.413.6–43.8
2040	2414.1–43.5
2041	29.216.6–45.4
2042	30.917.6–52.3
2043	32.416–51.2
2044	30.117.1–50.7
2045	29.414.1–46.6
2046	3318.1–50.4
2047	32.717.6–52.7
2048	35.519.2–56.3
2049	34.619.8–57.8
2050	38.920–58.3
2051	37.319.7–65.6
2052	42.321.3–67.1
2053	35.519.9–56.4
2054	43.823–73.8
2055	40.622.1–66.4
2056	37.819.9–64.7
2057	36.319.8–63.3
2058	38.519.1–60.6
2059	46.824.8–70.1
2060	42.620.1–66.8
2061	42.920.8–66.2
2062	39.224.1–65.6
2063	40.424.4–62.1
2064	4122.2–59.1
2065	4523.3–75.1
2066	42.423.1–67.5
2067	38.622.2–72.6
2068	42.622.4–65
2069	45.524.4–72.1
2070	4223.8–65.3
2071	43.622.9–68.4
2072	47.623.8–70.9
2073	52.827.6–86.9
2074	49.329–82.9
2075	41.824.5–70.4
2076	44.125.3–76.6
2077	47.728.3–86.8
2078	47.125–73.2
2079	48.326.6–83
2080	54.828.1–82.5
2081	49.525.8–88.8
2082	46.129–81.5
2083	46.623.8–90.9
2084	52.128.9–75.3
2085	57.231.7–91.8
2086	49.230–75.3
2087	52.130.2–87.7
2088	58.629.2–86.4
2089	55.432–84.2
2090	54.730.4–83.6
2091	5226.4–87.2
2092	56.332.9–86.5
2093	53.624.6–86.7
2094	61.331.2–91.4
2095	56.329.4–87.6
2096	52.230.1–86.6
2097	48.627–81.7
2098	55.831.3–98.2
2099	54.931.1–96.5
2100	58.229.4–85.2

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Zimbabwe

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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