日本与韩国：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：日本为 58.6 夜，韩国为 68.9 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年韩国的数值较高，高出 10.3 夜，是日本的 1.18 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

日本韩国CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，韩国的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年日本为 87.7 夜，韩国为 96.3 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	日本	韩国
2014	58.6	68.9
2013	59.9	69.7
2012	59.3	67.7
2011	57.9	65.3
2010	59.6	68.3
2009	57.6	65.8
2008	57.3	63.7
2007	56.6	64.2
2006	57.5	64.8
2005	57.2	65.1
2004	56.7	66.8
2003	56.1	63.2
2002	56	63.3
2001	54.2	63.4
2000	53.8	61.7
1999	55.3	64.2
1998	52.4	60.7
1997	52.4	60.4
1996	52.9	61.2
1995	49.7	55.2
1994	49.5	54.8
1993	45.4	49.2
1992	45.1	50.7
1991	49.4	56.9
1990	50.7	58.8
1989	51.4	58.7
1988	48.1	55.6
1987	47.7	52.6
1986	46.1	51.4
1985	46.7	53.1
1984	44.8	50.4
1983	41.9	46.8
1982	46.4	54
1981	45.9	53.9
1980	46.5	51.6
1979	46.7	52.6
1978	47.6	56.4
1977	45.8	51.8
1976	46	52.8
1975	46.9	54.6
1974	45.6	52.7
1973	44.3	50.4
1972	45.8	51.8
1971	44.8	49.7
1970	44	50.4
1969	46.9	55.2
1968	45.7	51.7
1967	48.3	57.3
1966	45.9	52.9
1965	45.8	52.8
1964	44.9	52.2
1963	48.3	57.9
1962	45.6	53.3
1961	48.9	58.2
1960	46.4	55.2
1959	46.9	54.8
1958	48.8	56
1957	49.2	55.8
1956	50.6	59.1
1955	47.9	55.7
1954	46.9	54
1953	49.2	55.4
1952	49.5	57
1951	46.2	54.7
1950	49.9	59.8

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	日本	韩国
2015	60.649.3–74.4	68.656.8–82
2016	61.547.9–73.9	70.353.5–81.8
2017	62.352.1–75.8	70.559.5–82.9
2018	60.548.5–73.8	69.156.9–81.2
2019	64.152.1–80.1	74.663.1–84.4
2020	63.151–74.5	7157.6–83
2021	62.348.5–78.8	70.252.7–84.1
2022	64.653.8–76.5	72.563–81.2
2023	65.951.7–78	74.563.2–84.2
2024	65.352.9–80.7	73.558.6–87.1
2025	65.652.8–80.4	75.762.3–87.1
2026	65.554.2–81.2	7564–88.4
2027	66.452.9–79.5	74.163.4–88.9
2028	65.352.4–80.1	77.361.5–87.9
2029	68.555–80.4	75.463.1–86.7
2030	66.552.3–80.6	75.364.5–87.6
2031	66.554.7–80	76.763.6–87.3
2032	6650.8–82.1	76.761–89.2
2033	70.354.7–84.8	78.860–92.7
2034	68.553.9–81.7	77.264.7–87.2
2035	72.960.4–84.6	8168.9–92.1
2036	72.556.1–89.7	81.964.1–95
2037	67.656.7–82.5	78.465.8–89.3
2038	70.558.6–83.8	78.866.9–89.4
2039	70.455.6–85.7	77.564.7–89.2
2040	73.657.4–89.3	80.567.4–92.7
2041	72.955.6–88.5	80.966.4–97.7
2042	71.258.1–86.4	82.469.1–95
2043	73.357.9–88.1	83.268.5–97.9
2044	72.657.8–85.5	83.169.3–91.6
2045	72.959.5–86.7	8170.4–92.2
2046	76.261–90.3	8668.3–95.2
2047	75.656.6–89.3	83.469.7–96.7
2048	74.858.5–89.4	82.769.2–95.2
2049	74.359.7–90.8	81.669–96.8
2050	75.160.8–89.3	81.569.8–93.8
2051	75.861.1–92.4	84.572.7–98.8
2052	74.557.9–90.4	83.167.8–98.5
2053	78.559.6–91.6	86.969.8–98.1
2054	75.959.6–89.3	84.773.3–97.5
2055	76.862.2–95.1	86.570.8–101.3
2056	77.861.9–93.7	85.874.5–99.8
2057	79.962.8–94.4	87.976.1–100.7
2058	79.263.7–94.9	86.275.2–99.4
2059	79.858–95.6	86.766.9–100.4
2060	78.261.1–95.1	86.371.9–101.9
2061	80.865.7–96.7	8974.8–99.5
2062	8063.6–96.3	87.772.3–102.2
2063	8064.1–96.5	86.774.6–101.2
2064	77.661.4–95.2	86.673.6–100.3
2065	81.763–97.4	91.575.3–102.2
2066	80.363.8–94.2	89.272.6–100.5
2067	81.363.2–97.1	90.372.7–102.6
2068	79.861.4–99.3	90.473.8–106.4
2069	82.365–96.1	9174.5–102.5
2070	83.360.2–102.3	89.774.6–107
2071	83.663.6–99.2	92.674.9–107.9
2072	84.363.3–99.1	90.976.6–103.9
2073	83.564.9–97.4	91.376.2–104
2074	84.366.8–100.9	91.974.6–107
2075	85.664.1–99.8	94.576.4–103.7
2076	83.968.8–99.3	93.477.5–105.6
2077	86.467.6–102.4	95.776.3–107.2
2078	84.167.7–103.2	93.576.9–110.5
2079	86.168.3–99.4	91.179.2–105.7
2080	84.767.6–103.7	92.481.7–107.1
2081	83.668.5–104.3	93.878–108.8
2082	86.469.4–107.7	96.279.9–110.1
2083	85.966.5–105.7	94.481.1–108
2084	85.867.4–102.3	91.574.4–107.3
2085	87.568.9–102.8	9481.4–107.4
2086	84.668.6–105.3	93.678.5–111.5
2087	87.270.3–107	94.480.9–113.5
2088	86.866.3–102.5	93.779.8–108.5
2089	85.765.9–103.8	94.478.9–107
2090	89.469.5–104.4	97.979.5–109
2091	88.367.4–103.1	95.280.6–107.7
2092	8667.7–102.3	9580–106.3
2093	88.969.8–107.4	95.379.5–109.9
2094	87.569.3–103.7	92.279.8–111
2095	8872.4–104.9	94.884–112.2
2096	90.771–107.3	100.481–113.2
2097	89.471–103.1	97.278.6–108.8
2098	88.571–106.5	97.479.9–110.4
2099	88.370.8–102.4	95.879.9–109.3
2100	87.769.2–106.2	96.381.6–113.8

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数日本：2022 年为 0 人死亡韩国：2022 年为 0 人死亡