Canada vs Nigeria: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.5 nights in Canada and 303.9 nights in Nigeria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 303.4 nights, or 570 times that in Canada.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CanadaNigeriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 4.1 nights and Nigeria at 332.3 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Canada	Nigeria
2014	0.5	303.9
2013	0.4	299.5
2012	0.5	304.4
2011	0.5	301.5
2010	0.4	301.4
2009	0.5	297.8
2008	0.4	297.4
2007	0.4	298
2006	0.5	297.2
2005	0.4	295.4
2004	0.4	294.1
2003	0.4	298.4
2002	0.4	295.2
2001	0.3	299.1
2000	0.3	293.9
1999	0.4	290.3
1998	0.3	289.9
1997	0.3	292.5
1996	0.3	290
1995	0.3	289.1
1994	0.2	287.4
1993	0.2	284
1992	0.1	281.6
1991	0.2	289.1
1990	0.3	290.6
1989	0.2	287.2
1988	0.2	288
1987	0.2	285.6
1986	0.2	289.1
1985	0.2	284.2
1984	0.2	284.4
1983	0.1	281.9
1982	0.1	283.5
1981	0.2	286.4
1980	0.2	282.8
1979	0.2	283
1978	0.2	282.8
1977	0.2	285.9
1976	0.1	281.7
1975	0.3	280.4
1974	0.2	280.7
1973	0.2	284.3
1972	0.2	284.1
1971	0.1	279.3
1970	0.2	282
1969	0.1	278.7
1968	0.1	279.6
1967	0.1	278.1
1966	0.2	279.4
1965	0.2	279
1964	0.1	276.8
1963	0.2	275.1
1962	0.2	284.1
1961	0.3	281.9
1960	0.2	285.9
1959	0.2	282.8
1958	0.2	281.4
1957	0.2	283.3
1956	0.2	280.8
1955	0.2	280.4
1954	0.2	284.1
1953	0.1	280.4
1952	0.2	280.8
1951	0.2	284.2
1950	0.2	279.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Canada	Nigeria
2015	0.60.1–1.9	301.7282.9–317.3
2016	0.60.2–1.9	301.4280.8–312.5
2017	0.60.1–2	302.5284.3–316.3
2018	0.60.2–1.8	302.2286.8–316.5
2019	0.60.2–1.9	300.1281.2–318
2020	0.60.1–2	303283.7–318.5
2021	0.60.1–1.9	305.1287.1–318.4
2022	0.80.3–2.3	305.1286–319.5
2023	0.80.2–2.5	305286.4–318.9
2024	0.70.1–2.6	310.6295.1–321.5
2025	0.90.2–2.5	307.5292–319.4
2026	10.2–3.1	306.9286.1–322.9
2027	0.90.2–3.3	307.4288–321.7
2028	10.3–2.6	310.7293.4–322.6
2029	10.3–3	311.4293.3–324.4
2030	10.2–2.7	310.6294.1–322.5
2031	0.90.2–2.7	312.2295–324.8
2032	1.10.3–3.3	310290–323.5
2033	1.10.4–3	313292.9–327
2034	1.10.3–3.1	311.7294.8–325.1
2035	1.30.3–3.8	314.5296.7–327.7
2036	1.30.3–4	313.5294.1–326.5
2037	10.3–3.3	315.6297.9–327.1
2038	1.10.3–3.9	316.9301.2–329.6
2039	1.10.3–3.5	315.4299.4–328.2
2040	1.40.3–4.9	315.6297.9–327.4
2041	1.30.4–3.7	316.8300.6–330.2
2042	1.20.4–3.9	316.3300.3–330.3
2043	1.20.3–4.5	316298.4–326
2044	1.60.5–4.3	317.9299.5–329.6
2045	1.40.4–4.2	316.6300.5–330.4
2046	1.60.4–4.9	317.8302.2–330.7
2047	1.70.6–4.8	319.8301.5–333
2048	1.60.5–4.1	320.1302.4–331.7
2049	1.60.4–5	320.7305.3–331.7
2050	1.70.4–5.2	320.9304–335
2051	1.80.5–6	321304.1–334.2
2052	20.3–5.2	320.9303.9–333.5
2053	1.50.3–4.9	320.9303.3–334.1
2054	1.80.4–5.7	324.5304.5–338.2
2055	20.5–5	322.2308.4–333.7
2056	1.90.5–5.8	324.8305.8–336.3
2057	20.5–5.8	326310.8–337.3
2058	2.10.5–6.4	322.9307.4–334.2
2059	20.6–5.9	325.7308.9–339
2060	2.50.8–5.6	323.8307.5–337
2061	2.40.6–6	324.4307.1–338.2
2062	2.60.4–6.4	325.7308–339.3
2063	2.20.6–6.4	326.6308.7–337
2064	1.70.4–6	326.2311–339.8
2065	2.40.5–7	327.6313.5–339.4
2066	2.30.5–7.4	328.4311.3–339.6
2067	2.40.6–6.3	326308.4–340.5
2068	2.50.5–7.9	329.3311.2–342.9
2069	2.90.8–7	326.6309.9–338.1
2070	2.30.7–7.2	327.4312.6–340.7
2071	2.40.5–7.3	329.1313–341.1
2072	2.50.7–7.2	330.3315.9–342.1
2073	2.60.6–7.6	326.3309.5–341
2074	2.60.7–7.6	326.7311.4–341.4
2075	2.60.6–7.7	328.9314.5–341.8
2076	2.80.7–7.9	329.6313.4–342
2077	2.90.7–8.5	332.5314.4–343.3
2078	2.60.8–8.4	329.8312.8–342.1
2079	30.7–7.4	329.6313.8–340.6
2080	2.70.8–7.5	331.7314.1–344.8
2081	31–8.6	329.3311.6–343.7
2082	3.40.7–9.1	329.3313.3–341.4
2083	3.21–9.4	330.4315–342.2
2084	2.90.8–8.4	330.5311.9–344.2
2085	3.51–9.1	332.7316.6–343.6
2086	3.51–9.4	331.9316.3–343.6
2087	3.80.9–9.5	330.7314.9–342.4
2088	3.60.7–9.2	331.7313.2–342.7
2089	3.40.9–8.5	331.1318.3–341.9
2090	3.30.8–9	332.4312.7–343.9
2091	3.91–10.6	333.3311–345.8
2092	3.91–10	332.7313.8–345.7
2093	3.61–9.6	334.2318.6–344.9
2094	3.90.6–9.2	334.2317.3–345.6
2095	3.71.1–11.2	333.8319.3–346.3
2096	3.91.1–10.7	332.5317.4–346.7
2097	41.1–10.7	331.8312.6–344.6
2098	3.71.1–10.2	332.3316–343.7
2099	3.81.3–9.7	333316.9–344.2
2100	4.11–11.5	332.3318.5–345

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Canada vs Nigeria: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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