Madagascar vs Mozambique

Madagascar vs Mozambique: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 186.3 nights in Mozambique, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mozambique, by 48 nights, or 1.35 times that in Madagascar.

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nights a year · CMIP6

Madagascar vs Mozambique: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 186.3 nights in Mozambique, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mozambique, by 48 nights, or 1.35 times that in Madagascar.
MadagascarMozambiqueCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Mozambique has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Madagascar at 198.5 nights and Mozambique at 254.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMadagascarMozambique
2014138.3186.3
2013138186.9
2012138.3185.2
2011136.8184.1
2010134.2182.2
2009133.5178.2
2008132.3176.8
2007133.1178.9
2006131.6177.4
2005130.3176.9
2004133.5181
2003131180
2002131.8177.1
2001131.7180.6
2000127.4173.6
1999128.4171.5
1998128.6174.1
1997125.3169.9
1996121.8164.7
1995123.3165.8
1994121.8163.1
1993116155.5
1992116.6156
1991124.9167.5
1990126.2170.2
1989124164
1988123.8166.4
1987122.8166
1986123.8166.6
1985120159.3
1984118.6161.1
1983116.5159.7
1982121.8160.6
1981122.1164.5
1980120.3161.9
1979120.7162.2
1978119.3160.2
1977119160.2
1976117.4157.4
1975116.5157.7
1974119.5159.1
1973119160.4
1972117157.6
1971116.3155.6
1970117159.7
1969116.3157.8
1968113.1153
1967113152.8
1966114.1152.5
1965112.2153.1
1964109.6145.9
1963109.7146.8
1962115.3158.5
1961118.5158.8
1960118.2160.6
1959119159.7
1958118.7159.5
1957117.6156.9
1956115.5153.4
1955116.6159.6
1954115.9155.4
1953116.4156.8
1952117.4156.6
1951116157.4
1950116.3156.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMadagascarMozambique
2015142.8126.7–159.3191170.1–212.1
2016137.8122.2–156187.6168.6–208.2
2017143.1125.6–159.4190.1169.4–210.1
2018143.7125.9–160.3189.8163.6–212.8
2019143.4124.4–162.3189.7171.9–208.8
2020143.4125.2–159191.3169–213.8
2021145.4128.8–160.4193.1172.7–212.9
2022150.4133.4–165.2199.9176.3–216.7
2023149.7132.1–166196.8176.4–217.3
2024150.7131.4–167.9199.7173.4–222.8
2025149128.8–169.1195.7173–219.1
2026150.1127.4–169.9197.7172.6–219.3
2027151.8131.9–170.8199.9177.9–221.8
2028154.9137.7–173.1202.5181.1–221.1
2029155.7135.2–173.8207.6187.3–227.3
2030154.8136.4–171.3203.6183.2–223.8
2031158.1141.3–174.8207.3188.7–225
2032157.9136.2–178.4207.4186.7–230.9
2033158.9136.7–177.8206.1180.7–226.1
2034158.6140.6–179.6206.3181.3–227.7
2035161.1140.2–181.6208.2184.1–233.6
2036159.5139.4–177.1208.3183.8–226.4
2037165.8144.7–182.8213.7191.8–234.3
2038166.5149.3–183.9218.4195.7–240.9
2039164.1145.1–183.9212.6192.3–233.5
2040162.8144.5–184.8212.7189–233.9
2041165.8143.5–183.9213.1187.1–238
2042165.1144.3–188.4214.9190.4–241.3
2043165.6148.5–184.7216196.2–238.9
2044167.3145.8–187220.2196.1–242.1
2045166.9147.1–187.1217.2198.6–237.6
2046171.4149.6–193224.4200.5–247.6
2047171.7148.8–193.4224.5201.3–246.3
2048173.7151.7–193.6225.7205–247.5
2049172.2151.4–192.9226.4199.2–247.8
2050174.4150.5–193.6225.5198.1–246.6
2051175154.3–195.1227.5206.2–248.7
2052176153.8–196.7230.5208.6–255.2
2053176.6151.1–197.8226.3200.4–250
2054175.5152.8–199.2227.8203.9–256.1
2055179.2157.3–196.8231.5208.3–254.4
2056178.8156.5–199.7227.8204.6–253.1
2057177.7155.5–201227.6205.7–252.2
2058180.5158.9–202.4230.2208.3–251.8
2059181.8158.3–202.5235.5212.5–261.4
2060185.1159.5–207.8237.5208.9–257.9
2061180.6157.6–203.8232.1204.8–256.1
2062180.6157.1–205.6233.2208.6–257.9
2063185156.8–210.7233.3207.3–261.6
2064184.7159.1–205.7234.6209.3–255.8
2065183.8157.1–208.5236208.7–261
2066187.3159.6–211239.4213.6–261.8
2067184.9155.9–208.9235.5205.9–259.4
2068187.5161.7–211.1237.7211–264.3
2069187.5162–211.3241.1212.2–263.4
2070187.8160.4–213.6240.7212.1–266
2071190.7162.7–216.6244.1214.3–272.8
2072191.8168.2–215.8244.7215.8–267.8
2073191.4168.7–214.5246214.2–267.6
2074189.4162.6–217.7242.2219.9–271.1
2075189.3163.8–214.2244.4215.6–267.9
2076191.1164.3–214240.8211–264.8
2077191.9168.8–217.1241.4214.7–272.4
2078190.1166.5–219.3245.4220.8–271.1
2079190.1163.7–216.2244.1214.3–276.4
2080194.8167.7–219.4246.1221–273.6
2081191.7166.7–218.1245.6214.5–268.1
2082193.8169.2–216.7246.9220.6–268.3
2083194.6166.1–218.1247.3217.4–276.4
2084197.9170–219.7248.5223.3–270.9
2085197.8172.3–223.7253.4221.5–277.6
2086192.9169.6–220242.9216.4–272.3
2087195.2170.4–220.1247.4222.8–271.3
2088198.1165.1–225.5253221.1–274.9
2089196.3167.9–227.6251.6221.9–277.3
2090197.5172.4–228.1249.9218.6–277.9
2091199.2172.7–226.7253.2221.4–280.8
2092202.4170.7–226.6252.7221.5–279.5
2093202.1172.3–230.5256221.7–279.4
2094198.3168.6–224251.8221–280.3
2095200.7171.7–225.1255.6225.8–278.1
2096199.8173.6–226.3254.7225.8–280.4
2097201.2170–227.6253.2221.8–281.6
2098201.1170.7–227.2256.1225.2–279.6
2099198.3173.8–225.8254.9223.4–278.7
2100198.5173.3–227.7254.4226.1–279.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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