Madagascar vs South Africa: Infant mortality

Infant mortality in 2023: 45 per 1,000 live births in Madagascar and 27.9 per 1,000 live births in South Africa, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Madagascar, by 17.2 per 1,000 live births, or 1.62 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

MadagascarSouth AfricaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Madagascar has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2023, Madagascar ranked 22 and South Africa ranked 51 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Madagascar at 12 per 1,000 live births and South Africa at 3 per 1,000 live births in 2100.
The world as a whole: 27.3 per 1,000 live births in 2023.

Every year

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

Year	Madagascar	South Africa	World
2023	45	27.9	27.3
2022	45.1	30.1	28.2
2021	45.2	27.6	28.4
2020	45.2	21.8	28.7
2019	45.2	27.8	29.2
2018	45.2	26.1	29.7
2017	45.3	23.8	30.3
2016	45.3	26.2	31.1
2015	45.4	28	32.1
2014	45.6	29.2	32.9
2013	46	29.6	33.9
2012	46.6	27.6	35
2011	47.3	28.5	36.8
2010	48.2	35.4	37.7
2009	49.3	39.7	39.1
2008	50.7	45.4	40.4
2007	52.2	48.3	42
2006	53.9	49.6	43.7
2005	55.7	51.9	45.4
2004	57.8	51.2	47.2
2003	60	53.5	48.8
2002	62.4	51.9	50.6
2001	64.8	47.3	52.2
2000	67.6	45.8	53.7
1999	70.1	51.1	55.5
1998	72.8	49.8	57.1
1997	75.6	48.6	58.3
1996	78.4	47.6	59.6
1995	81.2	46.8	60.8
1994	84	46.2	62
1993	86.7	46.1	62.9
1992	89.6	46.2	64.1
1991	92.4	46.7	64.9
1990	95.1	47.5	64.9
1989	97.8	48.6	66.2
1988	100.4	49.9	68
1987	102.6	51.7	68.6
1986	104.3	53.4	70.8
1985	105.4	55.5	72.9
1984	106	57.7	74.6
1983	105.9	60	76.1
1982	105.6	62.5	76.6
1981	104.7	65.1	78.7
1980	103.6	67.5	80.6
1979	102.5	70	82.5
1978	101.6	72.3	84.7
1977	100.9	74.6	86.4
1976	100.5	76.7	88.1
1975	100.5	78.6	89.6
1974	100.9	80.4	90.9
1973	101.6	82.1	92.1
1972	102.7	83.8	93.6
1971	104.1	85.3	96.1
1970	105.7	86.7	96.9
1969	107.5	88	98.3
1968	109.3	89.1	100.2
1967	111.2	90.2	103.1
1966	113	91.3	104.9
1965	114.7	92.3	106.4
1964	116.3	93.3	106.1
1963	117.9	94.5	107.7
1962	119.6	95.9	110.2
1961	121.2	97.6	121.5
1960	122.9	99.7	131.8
1959	124.6	102.3	125.7
1958	126.4	105.5	117.7
1957	128.1	109.3	120
1956	129.9	113.4	121.9
1955	131.6	117.8	124.8
1954	133.3	122.2	127.7
1953	135	126.4	130.1
1952	136.8	130.6	132.7
1951	138.5	134.5	136
1950	140.2	138.5	138.1

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Madagascar	South Africa	World
2024	44.237.8–50.3	22.918.8–26.8	26.9
2025	43.434.6–52.8	22.416.7–28.1	26.4
2026	42.632.1–53.2	21.915.4–28.6	25.9
2027	41.930–53.8	21.514.1–29.7	25.4
2028	41.227.6–54.3	2112.8–30.1	24.9
2029	40.526.2–55.4	20.611.9–30.8	24.5
2030	39.824.7–56.5	20.211–31.2	24
2031	39.123.2–57.1	19.810.4–31.1	23.6
2032	38.421.9–57.4	19.49.5–31.7	23.2
2033	37.821–57.8	199–31.8	22.8
2034	37.120–57.2	18.68.4–32.1	22.3
2035	36.518.7–58.3	18.27.7–32.2	21.9
2036	35.917.9–57.5	17.97.5–32.9	21.5
2037	35.317–57.5	17.57.1–32.9	21.1
2038	34.815.7–57.7	17.17.1–33.5	20.8
2039	34.215.2–58.2	16.76.3–32.5	20.4
2040	33.614.8–58.8	16.26.2–32.5	20
2041	33.114.4–58.6	15.85.7–33.3	19.7
2042	32.513.7–57.6	15.45.4–33.1	19.4
2043	31.912.4–57.8	155.2–32.6	19
2044	31.312.1–58.7	14.64.9–32.4	18.7
2045	30.611.6–58.2	14.24.7–31.8	18.4
2046	3010.8–57.4	13.84.4–31.8	18.2
2047	29.510.8–58.8	13.44.2–32.4	17.9
2048	2910.4–59.2	13.14.1–33.1	17.7
2049	28.59.8–58.3	12.73.9–32.8	17.5
2050	289.5–59.4	12.43.7–31.4	17.3
2051	27.59.1–58.2	123.4–31.1	17.1
2052	279.1–57.9	11.73.4–31.2	16.9
2053	26.58.3–57.2	11.43.1–31.4	16.7
2054	267.8–57.8	11.13–31.2	16.5
2055	25.67.8–56.5	10.82.9–30.8	16.3
2056	25.17.3–56	10.52.7–30.7	16.1
2057	24.77.1–55.3	10.12.6–30.7	15.9
2058	24.26.9–54.8	9.82.5–30.4	15.7
2059	23.86.6–54.3	9.62.4–30.5	15.5
2060	23.36.6–53.9	9.32.3–29.9	15.3
2061	22.96.4–54.2	92.2–29.9	15.1
2062	22.55.9–53.2	8.72.1–29.4	14.9
2063	22.15.8–53.1	8.52.1–28.9	14.7
2064	21.75.6–54.3	8.22–28	14.5
2065	21.45.6–54	81.9–28.1	14.3
2066	215.5–53.1	7.81.9–27.5	14.1
2067	20.75.4–53.4	7.51.7–28	13.9
2068	20.35.4–52.9	7.31.7–27.5	13.8
2069	205.2–52.5	71.6–27.1	13.6
2070	19.65–52	6.81.5–27	13.4
2071	19.34.9–51.7	6.61.4–27.3	13.2
2072	18.94.9–51.9	6.41.4–26.7	13
2073	18.64.6–50.5	6.21.3–26.2	12.9
2074	18.34.6–50.9	61.3–26.2	12.7
2075	184.5–50.3	5.91.3–25.3	12.6
2076	17.74.4–48.3	5.71.2–25.6	12.4
2077	17.44.5–49.6	5.61.2–25.7	12.3
2078	17.14.3–50.2	5.41.2–25.4	12.1
2079	16.84.3–50.4	5.31.1–24.4	12
2080	16.54.1–49.3	5.21.1–24.9	11.8
2081	16.24–48.4	51.1–24.9	11.7
2082	15.94–49.7	4.91–24.9	11.6
2083	15.73.9–49.4	4.81–24.5	11.5
2084	15.43.8–48.6	4.71–24.5	11.4
2085	15.23.7–49.5	4.51–24.4	11.3
2086	14.93.6–49.2	4.41–24.4	11.1
2087	14.73.6–49.3	4.30.9–23.8	11
2088	14.53.6–49.7	4.20.9–24.3	10.9
2089	14.33.5–49.8	4.10.9–24.3	10.8
2090	14.13.4–48.7	40.8–23.1	10.7
2091	13.83.4–48.5	3.90.8–23.3	10.6
2092	13.63.4–49.3	3.80.8–23	10.5
2093	13.43.3–48.7	3.60.8–22.6	10.4
2094	13.23.2–48.8	3.50.7–22.6	10.3
2095	12.93.1–48.5	3.40.7–21.8	10.1
2096	12.73.1–48.5	3.40.7–22.5	10
2097	12.53–48.9	3.30.7–22.2	9.9
2098	12.33–48.1	3.20.7–22.2	9.8
2099	12.13–47.9	3.10.6–22.3	9.7
2100	122.9–48.6	30.6–21.8	9.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Babies who die before their first birthday, per 1,000 born alive.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Madagascar vs South Africa: Infant mortality

What the numbers say

Every year

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