China

Days above 35 °C in China

Days above 35 °C in China: 3.4 days in 1950 and 5.1 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
5.1 days
Modelled
Since 1950
+1.7 days
Projected, 2100
16.5 days
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Days above 35 °C in ChinaDays above 35 °C in China: 3.4 days in 1950 and 5.1 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 16.5 days in 2100, between 8.3 days and 27.6 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 16.5 days in 2100, between 8.3 days and 27.6 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 5.4 days in 2013, the lowest 2.5 days in 1964.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearChina
20145.1
20135.4
20125.3
20114.9
20105
20094.9
20084.4
20074.2
20064.7
20054.6
20044.8
20034.6
20024.6
20014.5
20004.5
19994.4
19984.2
19973.7
19963.9
19953.4
19943.6
19932.8
19922.6
19913.8
19903.6
19893.9
19883.1
19873.3
19863.1
19852.6
19842.8
19832.7
19823.3
19813.2
19803.1
19793
19783.3
19773.2
19762.8
19753
19743.1
19732.7
19722.9
19712.9
19702.7
19693
19682.9
19673
19663
19652.9
19642.5
19633.3
19623.1
19613.5
19603.5
19593.2
19583.7
19573.4
19563.4
19553.3
19543.3
19533.3
19523.4
19513.4
19503.4
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearChina
20155.32.9–9.2
20165.72.6–10.5
201763.3–10.4
20185.83.1–9.6
20196.23.2–10.5
20206.23.5–10.4
20216.33.4–11.3
20226.93.9–11.5
20236.93.7–12
20246.83.7–12
20257.13.8–11.7
20267.33.6–12.8
202773.7–11.6
20287.23.6–12.4
20297.54–13.1
20307.34–12.7
20317.94.1–14.2
20327.84.4–13.8
20337.54.3–13.5
20347.94–13.7
20358.54.6–14.2
20367.84–14.3
20378.54.5–14.6
20389.15–15.5
20398.24.1–14.8
20409.45.3–16.6
20419.45.2–15.7
20429.35.4–16.8
20439.34.9–16.9
20449.64.9–17.5
20459.55.6–16.4
20469.95.7–17.1
204710.45.6–17.3
2048105.3–18.3
204910.15.6–17.2
205010.55.8–18
205110.35.3–18.3
205210.35.5–17.9
2053115.6–19.6
205411.26.7–19
2055116–19.3
205611.66–19.2
205711.66–19.5
205811.35.9–20.8
205911.66–20.3
206012.97.3–21.6
2061126.7–20.4
206212.36.6–21.5
206312.66.1–22
206412.47.1–21.2
206512.86.8–21.5
206612.96.9–21.3
206713.26.7–22
206813.27.1–22.6
206912.96.8–21.1
207012.77–24.1
207113.47.3–24
207213.77.4–24
207314.78–23.7
207414.27.4–23.9
207513.97.6–24
207614.87.8–24.5
207714.98.1–25.3
207813.87.5–24.2
207914.27.8–24.1
208014.58.1–25.3
208114.48.1–25.7
208214.98.8–25.8
208314.88.6–25.1
208414.87.9–25.6
208515.67.9–26.9
2086157.8–25.1
208714.88.5–25.2
208816.29–27.9
208915.98.5–27.3
209016.18.7–26
209115.78.7–27.1
209216.48.7–28
209316.78.8–27.3
209415.67.7–27.4
209516.59–27.8
209616.89.8–28.2
209715.88.5–26.2
209815.78.8–26.8
2099168.3–27.9
210016.58.3–27.6

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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