Estonia vs Russia

Estonia vs Russia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 7.8 °C in Estonia and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Estonia, by 10 °C.

°C · ERA5

Estonia vs Russia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 7.8 °C in Estonia and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Estonia, by 10 °C.
EstoniaRussiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Estonia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Estonia ranked 217 and Russia ranked 231 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Estonia at 9.1 °C and Russia at 0.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearEstoniaEstonia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20257.86.8-2.3-2.7
202486.4-2.2-2.8
20237.16.6-2.5-2.9
202277.3-2.5-2.7
20216.57-3.4-2.9
20208.36.7-1.2-2.9
20197.46.5-2.5-2.9
20187.16.3-3.1-3
20176.46.4-2.5-3.2
20166.56.5-2.8-3.1
20157.46.4-2.6-3
20146.96.7-3.4-3
20136.76.5-3.2-3
20125.46.2-3.4-3.3
201176.1-2.8-3.5
201056.4-4-3.4
200966.1-4.1-3.4
20087.36.5-2.8-3.2
20076.96-2.4-3.4
20066.76.3-4.1-3.5
20056.16.1-2.9-3.4
200466-4-3.8
20035.96.1-3.3-3.5
20026.45.8-3.7-3.7
20016.15.9-4-3.7
20007.16-4.2-3.8
19996.65.7-4.3-4
19985.56-4.8-4
199765.5-3.9-4.3
19964.75.9-4.4-4.1
19956.35.6-2.7-4.3
19945.55.4-4.4-4.6
19935.25-4.1-4.6
19926.65.2-4.4-4.7
19916.45.3-3.7-4.3
19906.95.8-3.5-4.2
19897.45.5-3.5-4.2
19885.95.5-3.8-4.3
19873.55.2-5.8-4.7
19865.25.5-4.3-4.5
19853.95.4-5-4.4
19845.94.4-4.8-5.1
19836.44.9-3.4-5.1
19825.74.9-4.6-4.7
19815.34.9-3.6-4.9
19804.55.1-4.9-4.8
19794.95.2-5.3-4.7
19783.95.1-4.8-4.6
19774.85-5-4.7
19763.94.8-5.4-5.1
197574.9-3.6-4.9
19746.35.3-5.1-4.8
19735.54.9-4.3-5.1
19725.94.9-5.2-5
19715.54.8-4.4-5.1
19704.34.4-5-5.1
19693.74.6-6.2-5.1
19684.75.1-5.1-4.8
19675.54.8-3.8-5
19664.15-5.7-5.1
19654.55-5.3-5.3
19645.15-5.2-4.9
19634.25.1-4.5-5
19624.64.6-3.9-5
19616.54.8-4.4-4.8
19604.85-5.4-4.9
19595.84.7-4.2-4.8
19584.35-5.5-4.9
19575.64.7-4.6-5.1
19563.55.3-5.2-4.8
19554.34.7-5-4.7
195454.8-4.7-4.8
19535.64.9-4.1-4.9
19524.45.1-5.6-4.9
19515.14.8-4.4-5
19505.35.1-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearEstoniaEstonia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–76.2–8.4–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–75.8–8.4–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–7.36.1–8.7–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–7.26.1–8.8–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–7.46–8.5–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–7.25.6–8.3–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–7.66–8.6–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–7.46.6–9–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–7.26.6–8.7–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–7.46.2–8.8–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–7.86–9.2–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–7.36.2–8.8–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–7.35.8–9.2–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–7.36–8.8–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–7.96.4–9–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–7.76.1–8.9–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–7.46.1–9.4–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–86.6–9.6–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–7.15.6–9.5–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–7.85.8–9.4–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–7.26.4–9.2–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–86.6–9.6–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–8.47–9.5–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–86.3–9.7–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–86.9–9.6–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–86.5–9.7–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–7.96.5–9.6–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–8.16.7–9.6–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–7.76.6–9.3–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–7.86.3–9.4–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–8.27–9.9–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–8.16.8–9.5–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–8.76.9–10.1–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–8.17.2–10.2–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–8.27.1–9.8–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–8.47.1–9.5–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–8.66.6–10.3–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–8.37–10.2–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–8.56.7–9.5–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–8.56.5–9.7–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–8.56.8–9.7–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–87.2–10–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–8.36.9–10.2–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–8.86.7–10.4–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–8.76.5–9.9–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–8.46.5–10.6–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–8.67–9.8–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–8.46.6–9.9–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–8.77.4–9.9–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–8.16.9–9.8–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–8.87.1–10.4–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–8.87.4–10.2–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–8.67.1–10.2–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–8.86.7–10.5–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–8.76.7–10.2–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–8.76.9–10.3–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–8.96.6–10.9–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–8.46.7–10.9–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–8.67–10.3–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–8.66.7–10.6–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–9.17.5–10.6–-0-2–2.2
2087–97–11.1–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–8.87.1–10.6–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–8.87.3–10–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–8.86.8–10.1–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–9.16.5–10.7–0.2-1.8–2
2092–9.37.5–10.7–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–9.27.6–10.9–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–8.96.9–10.7–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–9.37.6–10.8–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–8.86.9–10.4–0.2-2–2.3
2097–8.97.8–11–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–9.17–10.8–0-1.9–2.3
2099–97.4–10.9–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–9.17.5–10.4–0.1-1.7–2.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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