Brazil vs Mexico

Brazil vs Mexico: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 282 nights in Brazil and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Brazil, by 178.3 nights, or 2.72 times that in Mexico.

nights a year · CMIP6

Brazil vs Mexico: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 282 nights in Brazil and 103.7 nights in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Brazil, by 178.3 nights, or 2.72 times that in Mexico.
BrazilMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Brazil has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Brazil at 317.3 nights and Mexico at 142.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearBrazilMexico
2014282103.7
2013282.5103.9
2012283.6102.8
2011281.8102.9
2010280.2101.5
2009279.2101.8
2008277.8100.1
2007275.999.1
2006275.499.8
2005275.899.5
2004278.599.4
2003276.798.3
2002276.299.1
2001277.798.7
2000273.397.9
199927196.6
1998273.695.8
1997270.995.9
1996264.793.8
1995263.892.7
1994263.690.7
1993258.389
1992252.888.5
1991269.793.4
1990272.594.9
1989267.193
1988264.792.1
1987265.992
1986265.790.2
1985260.690
1984261.188
1983255.986.7
1982264.888.7
1981265.391.5
198026290.1
1979261.290.8
1978259.789
1977261.889
1976258.489.1
1975252.486.8
1974258.787.9
197326188.6
1972258.187.7
1971256.586.8
1970254.586.1
1969255.187.5
1968254.987.1
1967250.386.7
1966254.586.4
1965250.884.9
1964246.284.7
1963241.987.1
1962257.988
1961258.289.5
1960260.389.7
1959255.789.6
1958258.189.1
1957256.689
1956251.288.5
1955257.288.2
195425888.4
1953255.288.6
1952255.887.8
1951256.389.4
1950254.488.1
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearBrazilMexico
2015284257.6–299.5106.192.9–118.4
2016281.5261.4–296.3107.695–120
2017284.1263.2–297.8108.696.3–119.7
2018283.4263.1–298.810997.1–120.4
2019283.7262.9–302.4110.396.4–123
2020286.3264.2–303.6109.696.8–121.8
2021287.9266.9–302.3111.296.9–124.1
2022289.6270.7–303.9109.796–121.7
2023287.3270.5–303111.898.6–125.3
2024291.5268.2–304.6112.298.2–126.2
2025289.6269.1–304.811298.8–125.8
2026289.7266.2–305.1113.999.5–126.4
2027289.5269.1–303.7112.999.5–128.3
2028291.2271.9–306115.2101.9–127.9
2029295.5276.3–309.6115.6101.9–127.9
2030292.2269.1–306.9115.9101.7–128.4
2031295.3274–308.9116.1100.9–129.9
2032296.8280.1–310.9116.1102.5–129.1
2033295.4273.3–308.5117.5102.5–131.1
2034294.3273.5–311.8117.2104.1–130.3
2035295.2274.4–310.9116.4103.1–130.3
2036295.1278.2–307.8117.8105.1–131
2037299.9283.7–311.3118.6104.3–131.7
2038299.6283.5–312.1121107.5–133.4
2039296.9279.9–311121.3107–135.6
2040298.5279.4–311.9121.9108.1–135.1
2041301.4282.2–314.1121.3105.3–134.6
2042300.6277.8–314.7122.7107.7–137.1
2043298.2279.8–312.7122.4108.1–137.5
2044300.3281.2–315.6121.9108–135.6
2045299.9279.7–313.1123.1108.8–139.2
2046302.8285.8–316.6123.8109.9–139.4
2047303.3285–316.4125.6111.9–139.4
2048304.4287.3–317.3126.3113–140.3
2049305.4288.4–318.5127111.2–140.8
2050303.9283.9–316.2128.1112.6–142.5
2051305.7287.5–317.5127.2113.4–140.8
2052305.9290.6–318.8126.2112.5–141.1
2053305.3285.9–317.5128.4111.5–142.7
2054306.1288.4–319.3128.1113.1–142.3
2055306.4290.8–319.8129114.4–144.7
2056306.7288.3–321.1129.5114.3–143.8
2057306.4287.6–321.1130.3113.5–145.9
2058309291–321.4128.8114.1–144.5
2059310.4290.7–322.8129.5114.5–144.5
2060311.6294.4–325.1131.4115.5–146.5
2061307.5290.3–321.2131.3118.4–146.8
2062309291.5–322.8130.8115.1–146.3
2063310.8290.6–322.8131.2115.6–147.9
2064309.6290.2–321.1132.2116.5–147.8
2065311.1291.6–323.1133.1115.8–148.6
2066312.2294.2–324.2133.3117.2–149.4
2067310.9291.5–323.3133.3117–150.3
2068311.5293–324.5134.6117.4–150.5
2069310.6292.2–323.6134.4117.8–150.9
2070312.7293–325.3134.2116.7–151.8
2071311.5292.1–323.9136.3120.8–152.7
2072313.3297.8–325.5137.2119.9–153.1
2073313.8298.6–327.2136.1119.1–153.6
2074311.4292.4–323.5136119.7–152.2
2075310.9291.5–324.5135.2118.5–151.8
2076314.2294.4–327.7136.3117.4–154.7
2077315.1295.6–326.8136.8119.6–152.8
2078314.9296.3–327.1137.1118.3–154.2
2079313292.8–326.8138.1121.3–157.1
2080311.9294.7–325.4137.6120.5–157.9
2081313.5295.5–325.6137.8120.7–154.7
2082315296.8–327.1138.7121.6–155.2
2083315.7295.3–328.7139.2119.3–158.8
2084316.6298.5–327.9140.3123.4–157.5
2085317.4299.3–329.8139.2120.9–157.2
2086315.8294–328139.8121–157.8
2087316.5297.9–328.5139.5121.5–157.4
2088315.6297.3–328.8141121.8–159.9
2089315296.6–327.9140.4121.7–158.9
2090316298.9–330.3141.2123–160.7
2091317298.1–330.6141.8123–161.6
2092317.6298.7–330.7141.3122.5–159.3
2093316.3297.5–328.6141.4124.3–161
2094316.4300.2–327.5142123.3–159.6
2095319299.8–330.7143.5124–160.7
2096317.7299.5–330.8142.3125–161.3
2097316.9297.8–329141.2123.2–160
2098318.6299.9–331.9142.2122.5–162
2099318.1300–330.2141.8122.4–160.7
2100317.3298.4–330.3142.8124.3–160.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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