Ethiopia vs Madagascar

Ethiopia vs Madagascar: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 42.9 days in Ethiopia and 3.9 days in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 39 days, or 11 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Ethiopia vs Madagascar: Days above 35 °CDays above 35 °C in 2014: 42.9 days in Ethiopia and 3.9 days in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 39 days, or 11 times that in Madagascar.
EthiopiaMadagascarCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Ethiopia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ethiopia at 80.7 days and Madagascar at 29.3 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

YearEthiopiaMadagascar
201442.93.9
201342.44.4
201241.63.6
201141.74
2010413.7
200939.42.7
200838.43
200737.33.2
200638.42.5
200538.53.3
200437.63.3
200338.33.6
2002393
200138.73
200037.32.8
199936.72.3
199836.82.5
199735.72.4
199634.42
199534.21.5
199432.71.8
199330.21.5
199229.71.4
199134.71.6
199034.22.8
198933.72.5
198834.32.5
198734.72
198634.22.5
1985321.7
198432.12
198331.11.8
198233.21.3
1981341.9
198033.91.9
1979331.8
197832.21.4
197732.61.7
197631.11.4
197530.41.7
197431.91.8
197332.61.5
197231.41.5
197130.41.2
197030.31.4
1969311.9
196829.81.6
196729.51
196630.31.4
196529.61.3
196427.21.3
196328.61.1
196231.81.7
196132.61.5
196031.11.7
195931.31.8
195830.91.6
1957321.3
195631.31.3
195530.52.1
195431.11.6
195331.71.4
195231.51.5
195131.41.4
195031.41.8
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEthiopiaMadagascar
201543.232.9–53.64.81.7–11.4
201641.931.5–52.84.31.4–10.8
201743.730.8–54.54.71.8–9.6
201843.231.7–56.45.21.3–12.6
201943.132.6–54.95.11.6–11.3
202045.232.1–575.61.9–10.8
20214432.6–55.54.51.4–10.4
202245.633–57.26.31.9–12.3
202346.934.4–59.56.82.3–12.9
202448.136–61.561.9–11.4
202546.334.6–58.65.41.7–13.2
202645.732.3–63.16.12–14.7
202746.132.5–61.17.52.5–14.1
202847.633.9–626.62.3–13.4
202949.435.8–62.77.71.8–16
203048.535.7–62.672.4–15.7
203151.139.4–65.97.22.9–14.6
203250.137.7–64.17.73.1–19.1
203353.438.5–66.48.83.1–16.9
203451.538.9–67.19.43.5–18.6
203551.737.3–67.59.54–19.4
203650.537.8–64.57.73–15.4
203752.738.1–68.310.14–18
203853.640.2–68.610.15–17.2
203954.840.3–68.99.63.5–19.5
204053.740.8–71.18.33.6–18.8
204155.640.9–72.99.13.8–19
204255.742–71.710.95.4–21.4
204354.839.1–72.710.53.5–19.2
204457.440.3–72.910.33.5–21.1
20455841.7–76.49.34.2–18.7
204660.840.5–78.911.73.8–20.8
204761.544–78.812.64.4–24.6
204860.143.7–7812.95.5–23.9
204962.445.4–8112.34.8–23.1
20506044.7–80.413.35–24.3
205162.245.7–85.113.46.8–25.4
205262.244.5–79.614.96.6–26.1
205361.143.4–81.413.35.3–27
205459.343.9–79.114.36.1–29.8
205564.645.2–84.117.36.2–30.3
205662.243.7–85.515.35.4–29.9
205764.347.1–87.316.86.5–27.9
205865.743.7–87.115.76.3–31.7
205966.145.7–8816.48.1–29.1
206067.546.8–88.114.85.7–28.4
206167.548.2–88.8156.3–28.7
206267.146.1–91.615.97.6–32.4
206367.648.5–88.1198–34.3
206468.946.1–87.5177.6–27.5
206566.149.5–91.318.19–34.7
206668.249.7–87.117.66.9–35.1
206769.348.8–91.115.87.1–31.2
206867.548.2–92.419.87–39.1
206969.450.1–9019.66.1–36
207067.948.5–95.4198.1–38.8
207173.149.8–96.219.67.3–40.8
207272.849.4–92.621.58–38.1
207371.653.2–95.323.48.7–42.3
207468.448.8–96.8208.4–40.3
207572.849.6–96.6208.7–36.6
20767552.9–98.324.29.4–38.2
207777.651.6–104.221.78.3–40
207872.252.6–97.622.310.2–42.8
207974.452.7–95.3217.4–39.9
20807750.9–100.625.17.6–41.3
208178.953.6–104.322.18.9–38.4
208277.354.5–99.122.29.7–36.4
208378.455.3–102.521.69.8–41.3
20847854.4–101.3239.5–39
208578.855–103.625.210.3–46.6
208681.653.6–106.322.311.7–41.2
208778.353–102.224.910.5–44.3
20887854–103.924.87.7–48.5
208978.455.9–100.226.29.8–52.5
209082.555.7–105.326.610.2–49.3
209182.554.6–108.226.59.7–52.9
209280.652.6–10426.99.5–48.7
209380.758.9–10726.28.8–53.6
209481.357.6–105.426.710.8–45.3
20958257–107.828.112.6–44.9
209680.654–107.625.19.8–51
209779.556.7–107.522.99.9–47.2
209878.853.4–108.726.79.7–47
20998155.7–110.52810.4–48.3
210080.755.5–106.429.312.2–51.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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