Ethiopia vs Madagascar

Ethiopia vs Madagascar: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 144.9 nights in Ethiopia and 138.3 nights in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 6.6 nights, or 1.05 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Ethiopia vs Madagascar: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 144.9 nights in Ethiopia and 138.3 nights in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 6.6 nights, or 1.05 times that in Madagascar.
EthiopiaMadagascarCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Ethiopia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ethiopia at 201.7 nights and Madagascar at 198.5 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearEthiopiaMadagascar
2014144.9138.3
2013145.1138
2012144.4138.3
2011145.6136.8
2010142.4134.2
2009140.3133.5
2008137.1132.3
2007138.2133.1
2006138.7131.6
2005138.1130.3
2004139.1133.5
2003138.8131
2002137.4131.8
2001139.2131.7
2000135.5127.4
1999132.6128.4
1998132.9128.6
1997132.7125.3
1996129.7121.8
1995127.8123.3
1994126.3121.8
1993122.5116
1992119.7116.6
1991129.5124.9
1990132.7126.2
1989129.4124
1988128.2123.8
1987126.4122.8
1986128.1123.8
1985122.8120
1984124.8118.6
1983120.6116.5
1982126.3121.8
1981127122.1
1980124.9120.3
1979125.1120.7
1978124.7119.3
1977125.8119
1976122117.4
1975119.5116.5
1974124119.5
1973125.2119
1972122.3117
1971120.6116.3
1970121.3117
1969120.4116.3
1968119.1113.1
1967118.1113
1966119.5114.1
1965117.4112.2
1964116.6109.6
1963115.7109.7
1962121.6115.3
1961124.2118.5
1960124.5118.2
1959121.6119
1958124.1118.7
1957123.2117.6
1956120.9115.5
1955122.8116.6
1954121.6115.9
1953121.2116.4
1952122.8117.4
1951123116
1950122116.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEthiopiaMadagascar
2015146.6129.4–163.9142.8126.7–159.3
2016144.1127–160.6137.8122.2–156
2017148.3129.2–164.9143.1125.6–159.4
2018149.6131.6–166143.7125.9–160.3
2019146.2129.3–166143.4124.4–162.3
2020149.4129.6–168.5143.4125.2–159
2021150.7132.1–170145.4128.8–160.4
2022154135.7–171.2150.4133.4–165.2
2023153.5135.4–171.4149.7132.1–166
2024156.5135.9–175.6150.7131.4–167.9
2025154132.6–175.5149128.8–169.1
2026153132–175150.1127.4–169.9
2027154.2134.4–175.3151.8131.9–170.8
2028157.5138.3–177.4154.9137.7–173.1
2029159.2141.8–176.8155.7135.2–173.8
2030156.8136.3–175.7154.8136.4–171.3
2031161.4142.4–179.1158.1141.3–174.8
2032161.7143.1–182.5157.9136.2–178.4
2033161.8140–180.9158.9136.7–177.8
2034158.8141.5–184.3158.6140.6–179.6
2035162141.7–184.2161.1140.2–181.6
2036160.5143.6–179.4159.5139.4–177.1
2037165145.8–184.5165.8144.7–182.8
2038167.1146.5–186.7166.5149.3–183.9
2039164.5143.9–186164.1145.1–183.9
2040165.9146.2–190.1162.8144.5–184.8
2041167.9146.3–189.3165.8143.5–183.9
2042167.7146–194.3165.1144.3–188.4
2043167.3145.5–190.8165.6148.5–184.7
2044168.2148.2–189.9167.3145.8–187
2045170.7149.1–192.3166.9147.1–187.1
2046175.3150–198.6171.4149.6–193
2047176.9151.8–197.5171.7148.8–193.4
2048177.5155.4–199.1173.7151.7–193.6
2049177.5157.9–198.4172.2151.4–192.9
2050176.4153.8–199174.4150.5–193.6
2051176.6155.3–199.7175154.3–195.1
2052177155.6–200.7176153.8–196.7
2053176.7154.2–201.6176.6151.1–197.8
2054177.6156.9–201.1175.5152.8–199.2
2055180.6155.2–202.3179.2157.3–196.8
2056177.3155–205.4178.8156.5–199.7
2057180.3159.3–205.5177.7155.5–201
2058182.6153.7–209.4180.5158.9–202.4
2059185.7160.1–210.6181.8158.3–202.5
2060185.9160.3–210.4185.1159.5–207.8
2061183.3158.3–211.7180.6157.6–203.8
2062183.8155.4–213180.6157.1–205.6
2063184.5159.1–208.6185156.8–210.7
2064186.7160.6–207.2184.7159.1–205.7
2065183.7162.4–212.9183.8157.1–208.5
2066187.1165.4–210.1187.3159.6–211
2067187.1160.7–214.5184.9155.9–208.9
2068187.6160.4–215.8187.5161.7–211.1
2069187.8165.4–215.8187.5162–211.3
2070187.9161.6–216.9187.8160.4–213.6
2071192.7165.2–219.5190.7162.7–216.6
2072193.6167.4–214.5191.8168.2–215.8
2073193.3169.7–218.7191.4168.7–214.5
2074188.5163.9–219189.4162.6–217.7
2075191.9162.7–218.6189.3163.8–214.2
2076195166.9–218.9191.1164.3–214
2077194.1169.3–223.3191.9168.8–217.1
2078192.1168.4–218.6190.1166.5–219.3
2079193.4166.6–220.9190.1163.7–216.2
2080196.1169.2–222.4194.8167.7–219.4
2081194.6171–221.4191.7166.7–218.1
2082195.4168.8–219.9193.8169.2–216.7
2083194.6168.2–228.7194.6166.1–218.1
2084198.5170.7–224.2197.9170–219.7
2085198.4173.1–226.3197.8172.3–223.7
2086198.6172.3–228.4192.9169.6–220
2087199170.6–226.6195.2170.4–220.1
2088199170.7–227.7198.1165.1–225.5
2089198.6171.2–226.2196.3167.9–227.6
2090198.6173.4–227.7197.5172.4–228.1
2091203.6171.9–232.1199.2172.7–226.7
2092200.7172.5–229.7202.4170.7–226.6
2093201.4175.2–228.6202.1172.3–230.5
2094200.2174–228.9198.3168.6–224
2095203.9175.7–231.9200.7171.7–225.1
2096199.1170.5–230.8199.8173.6–226.3
2097198.4171.8–229.3201.2170–227.6
2098198.7172.1–231.5201.1170.7–227.2
2099201.8172.8–233.3198.3173.8–225.8
2100201.7175.1–231.8198.5173.3–227.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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