Madagascar vs Mali

Madagascar vs Mali: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 250.2 nights in Mali, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mali, by 111.9 nights, or 1.81 times that in Madagascar.

nights a year · CMIP6

Madagascar vs Mali: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 138.3 nights in Madagascar and 250.2 nights in Mali, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mali, by 111.9 nights, or 1.81 times that in Madagascar.
MadagascarMaliCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Mali has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Madagascar at 198.5 nights and Mali at 283.6 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearMadagascarMali
2014138.3250.2
2013138247.3
2012138.3253.1
2011136.8251.9
2010134.2250.4
2009133.5248
2008132.3247.8
2007133.1248.1
2006131.6245.5
2005130.3244.3
2004133.5243.9
2003131247.1
2002131.8245.8
2001131.7245.6
2000127.4243.2
1999128.4242.4
1998128.6240.6
1997125.3240.7
1996121.8236.4
1995123.3238
1994121.8236.2
1993116235.1
1992116.6232
1991124.9238.7
1990126.2241
1989124236.3
1988123.8234.7
1987122.8236.1
1986123.8237.1
1985120235.3
1984118.6233
1983116.5231.2
1982121.8234.9
1981122.1233.9
1980120.3231.5
1979120.7233.8
1978119.3234.8
1977119233.6
1976117.4231.7
1975116.5232.4
1974119.5229.7
1973119230.3
1972117230.7
1971116.3229.5
1970117229.9
1969116.3227.3
1968113.1230.5
1967113229
1966114.1228.1
1965112.2230.2
1964109.6228.9
1963109.7228.2
1962115.3231.7
1961118.5231.6
1960118.2235.1
1959119231.8
1958118.7231.8
1957117.6233.3
1956115.5230.7
1955116.6230.6
1954115.9232
1953116.4228.3
1952117.4229.2
1951116231.4
1950116.3228.6
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearMadagascarMali
2015142.8126.7–159.3247.9231.5–264.7
2016137.8122.2–156248231.3–262.6
2017143.1125.6–159.4252.7233.6–268.2
2018143.7125.9–160.3254.2236.4–269
2019143.4124.4–162.3251.6233.5–272.3
2020143.4125.2–159251.3231.2–270.7
2021145.4128.8–160.4254.8238.5–270
2022150.4133.4–165.2257237.8–275.3
2023149.7132.1–166254.2239.6–269.2
2024150.7131.4–167.9259.3242.3–276.8
2025149128.8–169.1256.2239.2–272.3
2026150.1127.4–169.9256.8237.2–277.8
2027151.8131.9–170.8258.5240.3–273.1
2028154.9137.7–173.1259.7243.6–273.9
2029155.7135.2–173.8260.8240.3–275.3
2030154.8136.4–171.3258.1237.5–272.6
2031158.1141.3–174.8262.2243.4–280.6
2032157.9136.2–178.4260.5242.1–278.2
2033158.9136.7–177.8262.1241.7–280.3
2034158.6140.6–179.6260.7242–275.3
2035161.1140.2–181.6261.5244.8–283.6
2036159.5139.4–177.1262.5244.6–281.1
2037165.8144.7–182.8264.5245.2–279.6
2038166.5149.3–183.9266246.7–283.2
2039164.1145.1–183.9262.3245–281.6
2040162.8144.5–184.8263.6247.5–279.6
2041165.8143.5–183.9264.6250.8–283.1
2042165.1144.3–188.4265.7245.9–283.5
2043165.6148.5–184.7264.8246.9–278.8
2044167.3145.8–187269.3247.4–284.7
2045166.9147.1–187.1265.6248.9–283.7
2046171.4149.6–193269.8247.5–286.4
2047171.7148.8–193.4271.9251.2–290.3
2048173.7151.7–193.6270.4254.4–288.2
2049172.2151.4–192.9272252.1–288.2
2050174.4150.5–193.6269.5250.6–286.4
2051175154.3–195.1268.8251.7–286.9
2052176153.8–196.7270.1252.7–292.1
2053176.6151.1–197.8269.3249.2–288.8
2054175.5152.8–199.2270.3251.7–290.6
2055179.2157.3–196.8270.9252.7–288.1
2056178.8156.5–199.7273248.6–291.4
2057177.7155.5–201275.5255.2–295
2058180.5158.9–202.4271252.7–293.2
2059181.8158.3–202.5274.5259.3–299.6
2060185.1159.5–207.8273.5258–293.7
2061180.6157.6–203.8275.4257–298
2062180.6157.1–205.6270.8251.7–291.8
2063185156.8–210.7275.9256.6–292.2
2064184.7159.1–205.7276.4256.6–298.4
2065183.8157.1–208.5275.3256–295.1
2066187.3159.6–211276.9260–296.5
2067184.9155.9–208.9272.6255.4–293.3
2068187.5161.7–211.1277.5258.1–296.5
2069187.5162–211.3276.1257.7–293.3
2070187.8160.4–213.6277.2256.6–296.6
2071190.7162.7–216.6277.2258.4–295.6
2072191.8168.2–215.8281.9263.8–298.9
2073191.4168.7–214.5276.8257.9–296.8
2074189.4162.6–217.7277.7258.7–295.9
2075189.3163.8–214.2278.5260.1–298.5
2076191.1164.3–214278.1261.1–294.2
2077191.9168.8–217.1283.8263.1–302.3
2078190.1166.5–219.3283.8263.5–299.4
2079190.1163.7–216.2278.9259.2–300.6
2080194.8167.7–219.4281.2262.1–299.4
2081191.7166.7–218.1279.1259.3–301.8
2082193.8169.2–216.7280.2260.2–298.4
2083194.6166.1–218.1280.8260.8–302.3
2084197.9170–219.7280.4263.8–301
2085197.8172.3–223.7284.6259.2–303
2086192.9169.6–220281.9262.8–302.4
2087195.2170.4–220.1279.7258.8–302.8
2088198.1165.1–225.5282.3260.7–303.3
2089196.3167.9–227.6283.4262.4–300.5
2090197.5172.4–228.1283.9259.8–301.9
2091199.2172.7–226.7283.1260.4–304.8
2092202.4170.7–226.6281.6259.7–303.1
2093202.1172.3–230.5284.8265.8–305.4
2094198.3168.6–224284.6262.8–305.6
2095200.7171.7–225.1283.6262–304.6
2096199.8173.6–226.3284.9263.3–306.3
2097201.2170–227.6280261–300.5
2098201.1170.7–227.2282.5262–302.1
2099198.3173.8–225.8285.3266.2–305.4
2100198.5173.3–227.7283.6262.8–304.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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