Eritrea vs Ethiopia: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 132.6 days in Eritrea and 42.9 days in Ethiopia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Eritrea, by 89.7 days, or 3.09 times that in Ethiopia.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

EritreaEthiopiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Eritrea has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Eritrea at 186.1 days and Ethiopia at 80.7 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Eritrea	Ethiopia
2014	132.6	42.9
2013	129.5	42.4
2012	127.6	41.6
2011	129.8	41.7
2010	128	41
2009	126	39.4
2008	122.9	38.4
2007	121.5	37.3
2006	120.4	38.4
2005	120.8	38.5
2004	121.4	37.6
2003	123.2	38.3
2002	123.3	39
2001	125.8	38.7
2000	120.3	37.3
1999	120.1	36.7
1998	117.6	36.8
1997	117.7	35.7
1996	115.1	34.4
1995	114.9	34.2
1994	112.7	32.7
1993	105.3	30.2
1992	105.1	29.7
1991	114.1	34.7
1990	117.8	34.2
1989	115.4	33.7
1988	115.8	34.3
1987	112.9	34.7
1986	114.6	34.2
1985	110.3	32
1984	111	32.1
1983	107.3	31.1
1982	108.5	33.2
1981	114.3	34
1980	113.1	33.9
1979	112.3	33
1978	107.2	32.2
1977	110.4	32.6
1976	109	31.1
1975	106.3	30.4
1974	107.2	31.9
1973	111.6	32.6
1972	107.4	31.4
1971	106.1	30.4
1970	106.3	30.3
1969	107.6	31
1968	106.5	29.8
1967	103.9	29.5
1966	105	30.3
1965	105.5	29.6
1964	100.1	27.2
1963	100.8	28.6
1962	108.5	31.8
1961	111.4	32.6
1960	110.5	31.1
1959	109.7	31.3
1958	108.3	30.9
1957	110.1	32
1956	109.2	31.3
1955	107.9	30.5
1954	110.9	31.1
1953	108	31.7
1952	109.3	31.5
1951	110.4	31.4
1950	108.8	31.4

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Eritrea	Ethiopia
2015	134.6113–150.8	43.232.9–53.6
2016	131.5111.3–151	41.931.5–52.8
2017	134.4112.4–151.6	43.730.8–54.5
2018	131108.2–155.4	43.231.7–56.4
2019	135.7111.4–154.9	43.132.6–54.9
2020	134.2113.2–153.4	45.232.1–57
2021	136.3109.8–155.4	4432.6–55.5
2022	138.8113.4–157	45.633–57.2
2023	138.5114.4–160.3	46.934.4–59.5
2024	142.6117.1–160.6	48.136–61.5
2025	139.6108.4–159.3	46.334.6–58.6
2026	139.4111.1–164.2	45.732.3–63.1
2027	140.5109.1–161.6	46.132.5–61.1
2028	141.1114.3–165.4	47.633.9–62
2029	142.2116.5–161.8	49.435.8–62.7
2030	143.6117.6–165.9	48.535.7–62.6
2031	143.8119.2–168.1	51.139.4–65.9
2032	145.2125.5–168.4	50.137.7–64.1
2033	148126.2–169.2	53.438.5–66.4
2034	148.2122–173.9	51.538.9–67.1
2035	147.4124.1–174.5	51.737.3–67.5
2036	146.4125.8–168.8	50.537.8–64.5
2037	149.4127.4–173.4	52.738.1–68.3
2038	153.1131.7–173.6	53.640.2–68.6
2039	153128.4–172	54.840.3–68.9
2040	149.8127–172.4	53.740.8–71.1
2041	154.4122.9–176.1	55.640.9–72.9
2042	153.3129.7–179	55.742–71.7
2043	154.5122.1–180	54.839.1–72.7
2044	154126.8–179.4	57.440.3–72.9
2045	161.8131.7–180.4	5841.7–76.4
2046	162.9128.6–185.9	60.840.5–78.9
2047	161.7131.5–183.2	61.544–78.8
2048	161.4133.3–186.4	60.143.7–78
2049	162.3135.4–184	62.445.4–81
2050	161.2137.1–189.8	6044.7–80.4
2051	163.6139.2–191.5	62.245.7–85.1
2052	164.7133.3–189.8	62.244.5–79.6
2053	161.8138.2–189.6	61.143.4–81.4
2054	162.9137.3–188.1	59.343.9–79.1
2055	167.9142.9–190.9	64.645.2–84.1
2056	163.5139.2–197	62.243.7–85.5
2057	168.9139–197.2	64.347.1–87.3
2058	170133.2–193.5	65.743.7–87.1
2059	169.8144.6–198.6	66.145.7–88
2060	171.7145.3–199.5	67.546.8–88.1
2061	174.7144.4–195.6	67.548.2–88.8
2062	169.4140.6–201.4	67.146.1–91.6
2063	171.8142.5–197.1	67.648.5–88.1
2064	173.8145.6–197.5	68.946.1–87.5
2065	170.6149–196.7	66.149.5–91.3
2066	175147.5–199.6	68.249.7–87.1
2067	177.3143–202.3	69.348.8–91.1
2068	174.9149.4–204.8	67.548.2–92.4
2069	176.4147.6–203.3	69.450.1–90
2070	174.9147.8–201.1	67.948.5–95.4
2071	180.7145.8–205.7	73.149.8–96.2
2072	178.4151.9–203.4	72.849.4–92.6
2073	179.8153.3–208.3	71.653.2–95.3
2074	177141.3–207.2	68.448.8–96.8
2075	181.4144.3–205.7	72.849.6–96.6
2076	181.3152.1–207	7552.9–98.3
2077	184.9149.1–212.6	77.651.6–104.2
2078	180.8153.9–211.1	72.252.6–97.6
2079	181.4154.7–205	74.452.7–95.3
2080	185.8149.1–210.5	7750.9–100.6
2081	186.4157.9–210.6	78.953.6–104.3
2082	180.9155.5–210.6	77.354.5–99.1
2083	184.7157.6–217.7	78.455.3–102.5
2084	184.9153.4–213.1	7854.4–101.3
2085	186.8155.6–216	78.855–103.6
2086	185.5148.2–218.7	81.653.6–106.3
2087	185.4149.5–215	78.353–102.2
2088	181.1156.8–220.8	7854–103.9
2089	187.5154.4–213.2	78.455.9–100.2
2090	189.9159.1–217.7	82.555.7–105.3
2091	189.7159.9–218.4	82.554.6–108.2
2092	186156.9–214.8	80.652.6–104
2093	187.4163.3–217.7	80.758.9–107
2094	191.1161.8–215.1	81.357.6–105.4
2095	189.1161.1–216.4	8257–107.8
2096	183.6153.9–219.1	80.654–107.6
2097	184.4153.3–219.2	79.556.7–107.5
2098	189151.4–219.9	78.853.4–108.7
2099	189.5158.6–220.2	8155.7–110.5
2100	186.1159.1–219.1	80.755.5–106.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Eritrea vs Ethiopia: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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