Eritrea vs Ethiopia: Infant mortality

Infant mortality in 2023: 27.1 per 1,000 live births in Eritrea and 33 per 1,000 live births in Ethiopia, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Ethiopia, by 5.9 per 1,000 live births, or 1.22 times that in Eritrea.

Watch it change on the map

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

EritreaEthiopiaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Ethiopia has been higher since 1968, when it overtook Eritrea.
In 2023, Eritrea ranked 56 and Ethiopia ranked 35 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Eritrea at 4.1 per 1,000 live births and Ethiopia at 4.3 per 1,000 live births in 2100.
The world as a whole: 27.3 per 1,000 live births in 2023.

Every year

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

Year	Eritrea	Ethiopia	World
2023	27.1	33	27.3
2022	27.9	34	28.2
2021	28.8	35.1	28.4
2020	29.7	36.3	28.7
2019	30.5	37.6	29.2
2018	31.3	38.9	29.7
2017	32.2	40.4	30.3
2016	33.1	42	31.1
2015	34	43.7	32.1
2014	35	45.7	32.9
2013	36	47.7	33.9
2012	37	49.9	35
2011	38.1	52.2	36.8
2010	39.3	54.7	37.7
2009	40.5	57.4	39.1
2008	41.9	60.2	40.4
2007	43.1	63.3	42
2006	44.6	66.6	43.7
2005	46.5	69.8	45.4
2004	48.1	73.2	47.2
2003	49.9	76.8	48.8
2002	51.9	80.2	50.6
2001	54.1	83.8	52.2
2000	58.4	87.3	53.7
1999	66	91.1	55.5
1998	62.1	94.1	57.1
1997	65.5	97.7	58.3
1996	69	101.1	59.6
1995	72.9	104.6	60.8
1994	77	107.9	62
1993	81.1	111.2	62.9
1992	85.4	114.2	64.1
1991	89.3	117.6	64.9
1990	93.1	122.2	64.9
1989	98.5	123.4	66.2
1988	99.9	125.6	68
1987	102.6	127.2	68.6
1986	145.4	167.2	70.8
1985	148.6	170.5	72.9
1984	153.9	176.2	74.6
1983	156.7	178.7	76.1
1982	112.6	138.5	76.6
1981	114.1	140	78.7
1980	115.7	141.5	80.6
1979	117.5	143	82.5
1978	119.3	146.6	84.7
1977	121.3	147.3	86.4
1976	123.5	147.8	88.1
1975	143.8	162.2	89.6
1974	146.8	162.4	90.9
1973	137.8	151.4	92.1
1972	140.8	151.8	93.6
1971	137	145.6	96.1
1970	139.9	145.9	96.9
1969	142.8	146.3	98.3
1968	145.7	146.9	100.2
1967	148.5	147.8	103.1
1966	164.5	162.2	104.9
1965	154.3	151.5	106.4
1964	157.4	153.1	106.1
1963	160.8	155.8	107.7
1962	164.4	158.9	110.2
1961	168.1	162.3	121.5
1960	172.2	165.9	131.8
1959	176.4	169.7	125.7
1958	216.8	210.2	117.7
1957	221.5	214	120
1956	188.8	180.8	121.9
1955	192.9	184.4	124.8
1954	196.5	187.8	127.7
1953	199.8	191	130.1
1952	203.1	194.1	132.7
1951	206.3	197.2	136
1950	209.8	200.1	138.1

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Eritrea	Ethiopia	World
2024	2620.8–31.6	31.926–37.4	26.9
2025	2518–32.7	30.923.3–38.9	26.4
2026	2416.1–34.3	29.920.6–39.8	25.9
2027	23.114.9–35	28.818.2–40.3	25.4
2028	22.213–35.4	27.716.7–40.9	24.9
2029	21.411.9–35.5	26.714.7–41.4	24.5
2030	20.611–35.5	25.713.4–40.8	24
2031	19.99.9–35.8	24.812.3–40.9	23.6
2032	19.19–34.4	23.911.7–41.7	23.2
2033	18.48.5–35	2310.7–41.5	22.8
2034	17.77.7–35.1	22.210.2–41	22.3
2035	17.17.2–34.3	21.49.2–40.7	21.9
2036	16.46.7–33.9	20.78.4–41.5	21.5
2037	15.86.3–33.6	19.97.6–41.7	21.1
2038	15.36–33.9	19.27.3–41.6	20.8
2039	14.75.6–33.5	18.57–41.4	20.4
2040	14.35.4–32.9	17.86.6–41.1	20
2041	13.95.1–32.6	17.26.4–41.5	19.7
2042	13.55–32.8	16.65.9–40.1	19.4
2043	13.14.5–32.3	165.6–40.5	19
2044	12.84.4–31.9	15.55.3–40.2	18.7
2045	12.44.2–32.2	155.2–40.1	18.4
2046	12.14–31.6	14.44.8–39	18.2
2047	11.73.8–31.9	13.94.7–39	17.9
2048	11.43.7–31.6	13.44.4–39.2	17.7
2049	11.13.6–30.6	134.2–36.9	17.5
2050	10.83.5–30.2	12.64.1–38.7	17.3
2051	10.53.4–30.2	12.34–39.1	17.1
2052	10.23.3–30.1	11.93.9–38.5	16.9
2053	9.93.1–28.9	11.63.8–38.2	16.7
2054	9.63–29	11.23.6–37.6	16.5
2055	9.42.9–29.4	113.5–37.8	16.3
2056	9.12.8–29.5	10.73.4–37.1	16.1
2057	8.92.7–30.3	10.43.4–37.9	15.9
2058	8.72.6–30.3	10.13.2–37.1	15.7
2059	8.52.5–30.4	9.83.1–37.3	15.5
2060	8.32.4–29.7	9.53–38.6	15.3
2061	82.3–28.8	9.22.9–37	15.1
2062	7.82.2–29.2	92.8–36.5	14.9
2063	7.62.2–29.2	8.82.8–37	14.7
2064	7.52.1–28.9	8.52.6–36.4	14.5
2065	7.32.1–29.5	8.32.6–35.5	14.3
2066	7.12.1–28.5	8.12.6–35.5	14.1
2067	6.92–28.8	7.82.4–34.6	13.9
2068	6.72–28.6	7.62.4–34.3	13.8
2069	6.61.9–29	7.42.3–34.2	13.6
2070	6.51.9–28.7	7.22.2–32.9	13.4
2071	6.41.8–29.1	72.2–32.2	13.2
2072	6.21.7–29.2	6.92.1–32	13
2073	6.11.7–28.7	6.72.1–32.8	12.9
2074	61.7–27.8	6.62.1–32.2	12.7
2075	5.91.7–27.9	6.42–32.9	12.6
2076	5.81.6–27.7	6.32–32.6	12.4
2077	5.71.6–27.1	6.22–31.7	12.3
2078	5.71.6–26.7	6.11.9–31.8	12.1
2079	5.61.6–26.8	61.9–31.8	12
2080	5.51.6–26.1	5.91.8–31.9	11.8
2081	5.41.5–26.3	5.81.9–31.8	11.7
2082	5.31.5–26.3	5.71.8–30.9	11.6
2083	5.21.4–27.1	5.61.7–31.4	11.5
2084	5.11.5–26.8	5.51.7–30.6	11.4
2085	51.4–27.2	5.41.6–29.8	11.3
2086	51.4–26.3	5.31.7–30.4	11.1
2087	4.91.4–25.6	5.21.6–29.9	11
2088	4.81.3–25.3	5.21.6–29.5	10.9
2089	4.71.3–24.5	5.11.5–30.2	10.8
2090	4.71.3–25.5	51.5–29.4	10.7
2091	4.61.2–25.2	4.91.5–29.8	10.6
2092	4.51.2–24.6	4.81.4–30.1	10.5
2093	4.51.2–25.1	4.81.4–30.2	10.4
2094	4.41.2–24.8	4.71.4–28.8	10.3
2095	4.31.1–24.4	4.61.4–29.5	10.1
2096	4.31.1–23.7	4.61.3–29	10
2097	4.21.1–23.9	4.51.3–28.4	9.9
2098	4.21.1–23.2	4.41.3–28	9.8
2099	4.11.1–23.2	4.41.3–28.2	9.7
2100	4.11.1–24.3	4.31.3–27.9	9.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Babies who die before their first birthday, per 1,000 born alive.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Eritrea vs Ethiopia: Infant mortality

What the numbers say

Every year

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