Eritrea vs Ethiopia

Eritrea vs Ethiopia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 27.4 °C in Eritrea and 24.1 °C in Ethiopia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Eritrea, by 3.3 °C, or 1.14 times that in Ethiopia.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Eritrea vs Ethiopia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 27.4 °C in Eritrea and 24.1 °C in Ethiopia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Eritrea, by 3.3 °C, or 1.14 times that in Ethiopia.
EritreaEthiopiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Eritrea has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Eritrea ranked 27 and Ethiopia ranked 108 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Eritrea at 29.5 °C and Ethiopia at 25.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearEritreaEritrea: CMIP6 historical run, model medianEthiopiaEthiopia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202527.427.824.124
202427.527.924.324.2
20232827.724.124.1
202227.227.82424
202127.527.723.823.9
20202727.623.823.9
201927.227.623.923.8
201827.327.523.423.9
201727.627.623.923.9
201627.527.524.123.8
201527.727.62423.9
201426.927.423.623.8
201327.327.423.423.8
20122727.323.623.7
201126.727.423.423.8
201027.227.323.623.7
200927.427.22423.6
200826.827.223.323.5
200726.527.223.523.5
200626.827.123.423.5
200526.827.123.523.5
200427.127.123.223.5
20032727.123.323.6
200227.127.123.423.5
200126.827.22323.6
200026.72722.923.4
199926.92723.223.4
199826.92723.623.4
199726.52723.123.3
199626.526.822.923.3
199526.626.923.323.2
199426.626.823.223.1
199326.526.522.822.9
199225.926.522.922.9
199126.926.823.123.2
1990272723.123.3
198926.226.822.623.2
198826.526.823.223.2
198726.826.723.323.2
198626.326.822.723.2
198526.126.622.423
198426.726.722.823.1
198326.126.522.923
19822626.622.623.1
198126.626.822.723.2
198026.726.723.123.2
197926.626.722.723.1
197826.126.622.523
197725.826.622.623.1
197625.926.622.523
197525.626.422.322.9
197425.626.622.323
197326.326.722.923.1
197226.126.622.623
197125.426.522.123
197026.426.622.822.9
196926.826.522.923
196825.926.522.122.9
196725.726.42222.8
196626.426.522.722.9
196525.926.422.422.8
196425.726.322.422.7
196326.426.322.222.7
196226.326.622.223
196125.926.722.323.1
196026.526.622.123
195925.726.622.323
195826.426.622.823
195725.926.622.223
195625.326.522.122.9
195525.626.522.123
195425.226.621.823
195324.526.521.323
195224.926.621.423
19512526.621.323
195023.726.520.723
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearEritreaEritrea: CMIP6 historical run, model medianEthiopiaEthiopia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–27.827–28.5–2423.3–24.8
2027–27.826.9–28.4–2423.3–24.7
2028–27.927.1–28.5–24.223.5–24.8
2029–27.927.2–28.4–24.223.7–24.7
2030–27.927.2–28.5–24.223.6–24.8
2031–2827.3–28.6–24.323.8–24.9
2032–2827.4–28.7–24.323.8–25
2033–28.127.5–28.6–24.423.7–25
2034–28.127.4–28.8–24.323.8–25
2035–28.127.4–28.7–24.423.7–25
2036–28.127.5–28.7–24.323.8–24.9
2037–28.227.7–28.9–24.523.8–25.1
2038–28.327.7–28.8–24.523.9–25.1
2039–28.327.6–28.9–24.523.9–25.1
2040–28.227.6–28.8–24.523.9–25.1
2041–28.327.6–28.9–24.523.9–25.2
2042–28.227.6–29.1–24.524–25.3
2043–28.327.6–29.2–24.523.9–25.3
2044–28.327.4–29.2–24.623.9–25.3
2045–28.427.8–29.1–24.724.1–25.4
2046–28.527.6–29.3–24.823.9–25.6
2047–28.627.7–29.2–24.924.1–25.5
2048–28.527.8–29.4–24.824.1–25.6
2049–28.627.8–29.2–24.924.3–25.6
2050–28.527.9–29.4–24.824.2–25.6
2051–28.628–29.4–24.924.2–25.7
2052–28.527.9–29.5–24.924.2–25.5
2053–28.627.9–29.5–24.924.1–25.6
2054–28.727.9–29.4–24.924.2–25.6
2055–28.728–29.5–2524.2–25.7
2056–28.728–29.7–24.924.1–25.9
2057–28.728.1–29.7–2524.4–25.9
2058–28.927.7–29.6–25.224.1–25.9
2059–28.928.2–29.9–25.124.3–26
2060–2928.2–29.8–25.224.4–26
2061–2928.1–29.6–25.224.3–26.1
2062–28.828–29.9–25.124.2–26.1
2063–2928.2–29.7–25.124.4–25.9
2064–28.928.2–29.7–25.324.4–25.9
2065–28.828.4–29.8–25.124.5–26
2066–2928.3–29.9–25.224.6–25.9
2067–29.128.1–29.9–25.324.4–26.1
2068–29.128.2–30–25.224.4–26.2
2069–29.128.3–29.9–25.224.5–26.2
2070–2928.3–29.9–25.224.5–26.3
2071–29.228.3–30.1–25.424.5–26.4
2072–29.228.4–29.9–25.424.6–26.1
2073–29.228.5–30.2–25.524.8–26.4
2074–2928.2–30.1–25.324.5–26.4
2075–29.328.3–30.1–25.424.4–26.3
2076–29.228.4–30.1–25.524.6–26.4
2077–29.328.2–30.2–25.524.6–26.5
2078–29.228.5–30.3–25.424.7–26.4
2079–29.228.5–30.1–25.524.6–26.3
2080–29.428.3–30.2–25.624.6–26.4
2081–29.428.6–30.1–25.624.8–26.5
2082–29.328.6–30.2–25.624.8–26.4
2083–29.328.6–30.5–25.524.8–26.7
2084–29.428.5–30.3–25.624.8–26.5
2085–29.328.7–30.5–25.624.8–26.6
2086–29.428.3–30.7–25.724.7–26.7
2087–29.528.4–30.5–25.624.7–26.7
2088–29.328.5–30.6–25.624.8–26.7
2089–29.428.5–30.3–25.624.9–26.5
2090–29.528.7–30.5–25.724.9–26.7
2091–29.628.7–30.5–25.924.8–26.7
2092–29.428.6–30.4–25.724.9–26.6
2093–29.428.8–30.5–25.824.9–26.7
2094–29.628.8–30.5–25.725–26.7
2095–29.628.8–30.5–25.825–26.8
2096–29.428.5–30.5–25.724.8–26.8
2097–29.328.6–30.4–25.624.8–26.7
2098–29.528.5–30.7–25.624.8–26.8
2099–29.428.7–30.6–25.824.8–26.9
2100–29.528.7–30.5–25.724.9–26.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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